What is cut line at 2025 PGA Championship? Tracker, who could miss projected cut

The action has teed off for the 2025 PGA Championship, as more than 150 golfers are at Quail Hollow Club vying to win the second major of the year.
While there are plenty of big names and top contenders to win the PGA title, the first step golfers must make in order to have a successful weekend in Charlotte, North Carolina is to make the cut line. The PGA Championship has a different cut line from most PGA events, as the top 70 golfers − including ties − on the leaderboard after 36 holes will qualify for the third and fourth round. That likely means about half of the field will be cut after two days of play.
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Thursday's first round is over and while there's still another full day of golf to be played, plenty of golfers can change their fortunes. But it's not too early to see what the field will need to do in order to ensure being able to play on Saturday and Sunday, and who could be in danger of having an early exit at Quail Hollow.
PGA Championship projected cut line
As of 8:30 p.m. ET Thursday, the projected cut line for the 2025 PGA Championship is +2, according to the predictive model used by Datagolf.com. The site says there's a 41.9% chance 2-over-par is the cut line after Friday.
Since there's still another day of golf left to be played, Datagolf.com notes there are strong chances the cut line moves around. There is a 29.9% chance it's +1, and a 17.7% chance it's +3. Those scores would be much lower than when the event was held at the same course in 2017, when the cut line was +5.
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Last year at Valhalla Golf Club in Louisville, the cut line was -1, the lowest in PGA Championship history. Here is the recent history of the cut line at the PGA Championship:
2024: -1 (Valhalla Golf Club in Louisville, Kentucky)
2023: +5 (Oak Hill Country Club in Rochester, New York)
2022: +4 (Southern Hills Country Club in Tulsa, Oklahoma)
2021: +5 (The Ocean Course in Kiawah Island, South Carolina)
2020: +1 (TPC Harding Park in San Francisco, California)
2019: +4 (Bethpage Black Course in Farmingdale, New York)
2018: E (Bellerive Country Club in Town and Country, Missouri)
2017: +5 (Quail Hollow Club in Charlotte, North Carolina)
PGA Championship 2025 cut line: golfers to watch
Scores as of 8:30 p.m. ET Thursday
Xander Schauffele: +1
Will Zalatoris: +1
Patrick Reed: +1
Hideki Matsuyama: +1
Wyndham Clark: +1
Sepp Straka: +2
Rickie Fowler: +2
Shane Lowry: +2
Jason Day: +2
Max Homa: +2
Justin Thomas: +2
Patrick Cantlay: +3
Rory McIlroy: +3
Brooks Koepka: +4
Cameron Smith: +4
Jordan Spieth: +5
Dustin Johnson: +7
Phil Mickelson: +8
This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: PGA Championship projected cut 2025: Current cut line, scores

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