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Brexit reset deal: A TBC agreement with a lot still to be worked out with EU

Brexit reset deal: A TBC agreement with a lot still to be worked out with EU

Yahoo19-05-2025

Sir Keir Starmer used the opulent surroundings of London's Lancaster House to declare with certainty that this is a "landmark deal" that will grow the British economy and put money in people's pockets.
It is evidence, the prime minister said, of Britain back on the world stage. European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen and European Council president Antonio Costa addressed him as "dear Keir". Times have changed.
Politics latest:
Symbolically - nearly a decade after Brexit and all the battles and feuds which followed - it is a big moment to see a prime minister warming up relations with the EU.
But when you read the nine-page Cooperation Agreement, it is very clear this is just the starter, not the full meal; the opening scene rather than the final curtain. In other words, most of what the government says are negotiated wins are in fact TBC.
The deal The government claims it will add nearly £9bn (around 0.3% of GDP) to the British economy by 2040.
A security and defence partnership has been struck; trumpeted as a way UK defence firms can access the EU's £150bn procurement fund. The text only says the UK and EU "should swiftly explore the possibilities", of doing so. Starmer said it would "open the door" for UK firms to benefit,
On trade, the UK government sees the big wins economically - but there are costs and trade-offs. The food deal - or to give it its full name the sanitary and phytosanitary (SPS) agreement - would eliminate some of the barriers to trade erected during Brexit.
Paperwork has undoubtedly held up exports, and some products, such as sausages, other cold meats and shellfish, cannot be sold to the EU. The idea is this red tape would be swept away - which has been welcomed by retailers, supermarkets and food processors,
But this comes with conditions - admin costs; and the need to align with EU rules and standards now and into the future.
Read more:UK-EU deal tips Britain down path towards Swiss-style arrangement
Those rules are set by member states, not the UK, and overseen by the European Court of Justice. All of the red lines of the past. Brexiteers are calling it a "betrayal" and the UK going back to being a "rule taker". The specifics would need legislation to go through parliament, so more votes loom.
The biggest trade-off is on fishing, a key sticking point in the negotiations from countries such as France. This deal enables EU member states to fish in our water for another 12 years beyond the current deal - until 2038.
The government points out that the food deal is indefinite, and the fishing rights have a time limit. But what was agreed was three times longer, it is claimed, than the four years the government had hoped for.
Nigel Farage said it would "destroy the fishing industry". All deals involve trade-offs but what has it bought in return?
The suggestion that holidaymakers could avoid "huge queues" at airports through an agreement for British travellers to use e-Gates at European airports.
The agreement states that there will be "no legal barriers to eGate use for British nationals travelling to and from member states" - but nothing firmer. It's up to member states to implement.
A youth mobility scheme - which the government has now branded a "youth experience scheme", will happen, despite months of ministers denying one was on the cards.
The terms must be mutually agreed, and the final numbers, how the cap will apply and the time limits are yet to be worked out.
Starmer is gambling that - based on polling showing most Brexit voters feel the original deal negotiated by Boris Johnson has failed - voters will accept the trade-offs.
He said it was time to move away from the "stale" arguments of the past and move on. It's notable that while Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch has slammed Starmer's deal as a "sell out", she concedes it needs to be looked at again.
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Given the threat from Reform, the prime minister has been careful to steer very clear of free movement and any concession on student fees. But those questions will come back as the details are hammered out.
Whether on food prices or airports, the negotiations could continue for weeks, months or years. There may be many more EU summits for this and subsequent governments.
It may not be the end of the Brexit wrangling - as the prime minister hopes - but the start of a new phase in which costs, caps and quotas are discussed regularly, and seized on by his political opponents.
The gains are some way off, given that the Office for Budget Responsibility estimated the hit of Brexit to the economy (4%) to be far larger.
This is a significant move closer to the EU at a time when the Ukraine war and Donald Trump's diplomacy are shaking up the old order. But for a big concession, whether this can be sold to voters as a good deal is a question for further down the line.

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Efforts under way to evacuate Irish citizens from Israel
Efforts under way to evacuate Irish citizens from Israel

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Efforts under way to evacuate Irish citizens from Israel

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What The June 28 European Accessibility Act Deadline Means For Brands
What The June 28 European Accessibility Act Deadline Means For Brands

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  • Forbes

What The June 28 European Accessibility Act Deadline Means For Brands

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Avila continues, 'For organizations just getting started, the most important steps to take now to mitigate risk are demonstrating that you're taking action to make sustained progress, and beginning to put processes in place aligned with EAA requirements. One of the biggest gaps we observe is third-party content. Companies often assume that embedded tools or plugins are outside their responsibility, but under the EAA, they're very much in scope. We recommend that organizations make accessibility a requirement during the procurement process and request documented proof of accessibility (e.g., a completed VPAT report) from vendors prior to making a purchase.' Eric Portis, a Developer Evangelist at Cloudinary, a software company that helps organizations manage their visual content online, also agrees that it's still not too late to get started with EAA compliance. 'The best time to consider the accessibility of a project was before you shipped it, but the second-best time is today. 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To remediate accessibility on the average of 85% of pages where it is required would take 3,480 workdays, or 13 full-time staff working for a year (per org). In terms of cost, this equates to $767,000 per company just for initial compliance, let alone maintenance. Scaled across the full Valuable 500, that's over $380 million and 9 years of full-time work at current capacity. 'We argue that only a risk-managed, AI-powered approach can address the scale, cost, and operational complexity. It's not a 'nice-to-have' - it's fundamental,' commented AAAnow CEO Lawrence Shaw in an earlier interview. Regulation is not something to fear Instinctively, when any type of new regulation comes into force, particularly one that potentially involves fines and other punitive measures, fear and trepidation tend to be the most common reactions off the bat. 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How the Attacks on Iran Are Part of a Much Bigger Global Struggle
How the Attacks on Iran Are Part of a Much Bigger Global Struggle

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timean hour ago

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How the Attacks on Iran Are Part of a Much Bigger Global Struggle

There are so many things to say in the wake of the U.S. bombing of three key Iranian nuclear facilities that it is easy to get lost in the gripping details. So for now, let me try to step back and explore the global, regional and local forces shaping this story. What's really going on here? It is a very, very big drama, and it is not confined to the Middle East. To my mind, Vladimir Putin's invasion of Ukraine in 2022, with the sole aim of wiping its democracy off the map and absorbing it into Russia, and the attacks on Israel in 2023 by Hamas and Iran's proxies in Lebanon, Yemen and Iraq were manifestations of a global struggle between the forces of inclusion and the forces of resistance. That is a struggle between countries and leaders who see the world and their nations benefiting from more trade, more cooperation against global threats and more decent, if not democratic, governance — versus regimes whose leaders thrive on resisting those trends because conflict enables them to keep their people down, their armies strong and their thieving of their treasuries easy. The forces of inclusion had steadily been growing stronger. Ukraine in 2022 was getting closer to joining the European Union. This would have been the biggest expansion of a whole and free Europe since the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989, because it would have added to the West a huge agricultural, technological and military power and left Russia more isolated — and looking more out of step to its own people — than ever. At the very same time, the Biden administration was making rapid headway on a deal for the U.S. to forge a security alliance with Saudi Arabia. In return, Saudi Arabia would normalize relations with Israel, and Israel would begin talks with the Palestinians on possible statehood. This would have been the biggest expansion of an integrated Middle East since the Camp David peace treaty between Egypt and Israel in 1979. In short, Ukraine looked poised to join the West, and Israel looked poised to join the East. So what happened? Putin invaded Ukraine to stop the first movement, and Hamas and Iran's other proxies attacked Israel to stop the second. Want all of The Times? Subscribe.

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