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Shayne O'Cass's tips and inside mail for Monday racing at Tamworth and Albury

Shayne O'Cass's tips and inside mail for Monday racing at Tamworth and Albury

News.com.au6 days ago

Form analyst Shayne O'Cass presents his best bets and inside mail for Monday's NSW meetings at Tamworth and Albury.
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TAMWORTH TIPS
BEST BET
Race 4 No.2 EVERLASTING KISS: Local ion a good yard, last start winner over her main rival as well.
NEXT BEST
Race 3 No.3 HELLWITHASMILE: Cody Morgan housed gelding whose trials indicate an early career win.
VALUE
Race 2 No.3 PRIDE OF NATIONS: A $2,000 buy whose trial was not quite priceless, but good anyhow.
QUADDIE
Race 4: 2,3
Race 5: 2,4,5,10
Race 6: 1,2
Race 7: 2,7
JOCKEY TO FOLLOW
Kody Nestor has some good rides on Monday's card.
TAMWORTH INSIDE MAIL
RACE 4: Benchmark 66 (2100m)
EVERLASTING KISS (2) has plenty more to offer on the track but she is a breeder's dream for later on. For starters, she is by Justify but it only gets better when you factor in that her fifth dam is Eight Carat. As far as the 'punt' goes here, Everlasting Kiss is racing at home today having beaten her main rival, DESCENDING MIST (3), when they met at Inverell last start. That said, there wasn't much between them.
BET: EVERLASTING KISS (2) to win (best bet) exacta 2 to beat 3.
NOT IN DOUBT (5) is trained by Cody Morgan who has a 21 per cent winning strike-rate here. With that said, the local Not In Doubt has the visitor's draw but he has been so consistent that it is hard to go around him. GREAT POINT (4) is third-up now and getting close to a win. Those two fifths this prep were behind Tasoraay and Red Rags To Bulls.
BET: NOT IN DOUBT (5) to win, quinella 5,4, Daily Double 1st Leg 5, 2nd Leg 2.
TAVROS (3) is trained here; he has raced at home four times for two wins and a third. On top of that, his jockey Aaron Bullock is one for one on this (bargain) $12,000 yearling. Never won under 1400m but he is fresh-up off a decent trial. STARRY JACK (1) is so used to carrying big weights. Such an honest horse, such an in-form one too being a last start winner. Myalaby has a tidy CV of 12 starts for two wins and four placings. Most impressive at Warren recently.
BET: TAVROS (3) each-way, quinella 1,3.
THIS ONE TIME (2) was a $15,000 weanling, sold again at the Classic Yearling Sale making $36,000. Already a winner of $41,000 in six runs, she has some amazing broodmare sires; Seattle Slew, Secretariat, all the way back to Man O'War. Now for what really matters; she (and her jockey) are on a hat-trick, one for one at track and distance. Dynamic Syndications filly SAGAPONACK (7) is a Snitzel, a great granddaughter of Lady Jakeo and is also on a hat-trick!
BET: THIS ONE TIME (2) to win, quinella 2,7.
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ALBURY TIPS
BEST BET
Race 2 No.2 DONEGAL BAY: Only needed an extra 50m and he wins the 900m maiden; 1000m now.
NEXT BEST
Race 6 No.11 JATO: Neville Begg/Danny Beasley galloper who is talented beyond this grade.
VALUE
Race 7 No.8 JUST LIKE LIAM: Been somewhat unlucky; nice race for him here.
ALBURY INSIDE MAIL
RACE 4: Benchmark 58 (1175m)
TI TREE ROYAL (2) is a Ron Stubbs trained local who led throughout to win rather easily at Corowa first-up with Jason Lyon on from a good draw. same deal today only he is back home. Could/should be hard to run down again. SUNDROP (9) didn't run too badly either side of her Corowa win. Is usually strong late and often in significantly better races than this one on Monday. Luke Pepper's IMABARBIEGIRL (6) has claims.
BET: TI TREE ROYAL (2) to win, SUNDROP (9) to place, exacta 2 to beat 9.
ROCKBARTON SHOUT (1) has raced 13 times for Andrew Dale; winning five, four seconds and twice third. Been here twice for a win and a second. That second was a nose behind Ditterich who will run here as well. back to Rockbarton Shout just to add that she has 'a winning draw' if good enough. MAGNOLIA STAR (13) was too fast for the others when she won here on May 27.
BET: ROCKBARTON SHOUT (1) to win, Daily Double 1sr Leg 1, 2nd Leg 8.
JATO (11) was bought by Neville Begg for $25,000 as a weanling. The Starcraft filly (out of Zabeel Adrian Knox runner-up, Rahveel) has a real future in the mid to long term. The Danny Beasley-trained 3YO has done some good things in her five starts. She is a 64-rater in an 82 but has a lot of upside. SMART POPPY (5) beat Blow In by inches last at Wagga with Saturday's Highway placegetter Salute Again in third that day.
JUST LIKE LIAM (8) hasn't had the best of luck of late. He could have nearly won a Benchmark 66 at Wagga on Town Plate day but for barrier one (boxed in). Back to the mile from two 2000m runs with three weeks off to freshen sets him up to run well. BELLMAN (2) was scratched from a race at home at Wangaratta on Sunday to run here. The Andrew Dale trained Kiwi-bred gelding has finished runner-up in four starts at the Albury 1600m. WHIRLWIND (4) and WARPAINTED (6) are among the chances.

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