One word dominates the Met Office's new forecast for the coming month
One word dominates the Met Office's new long range forcast for the rest of May and most of June: Changeable. The forecaster's prediction for the next four weeks is that we're going to see some wide variation.
In its forecast, the UK's respected weather forecasting body says we should expect rainy conditions, dry interludes, cooler temperatures but also some "very warm, perhaps hot" conditions. And that could bring thunderstorms.
After weeks of sunshine this weekend's windy weather and some rain heralds a very changeable picture.
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The Met Office long range forecast for the UK covers two periods. Firstly the coming fortnight to Sunday June 8. And then a second forecast for Monday, June 9 to Monday June 23.
It says that in the next two weeks the weather will be "likely changeable with frontal systems running east into the UK will bring further spells of rain, with showery interludes in-between. Strong winds may also develop at times, particularly in the north and northwest.
This weather will "increasingly track to the northwest of the country" with the south probably starting to see longer, drier interludes while the northwest continues to see more in the way of rain and at times strong winds, the Met Office adds.
Temperatures are expected to be around normal overall for the time of year in June, but will be cooler in any prolonged periods of rainfall. Meanwhile there is the possibility of some very warm, perhaps hot conditions developing, especially in the south and these bring with them the chance of thunderstorms - so a very changeable picture. Get daily breaking news updates on your phone by joining our WhatsApp community here. We occasionally treat members to special offers, promotions and ads from us and our partners. See our Privacy Notice
In the second period, the weather again remains "changeable... with a mixture of Atlantic weather systems moving in from the west interspersed with dry and sunny periods. Wetter conditions tending to be across the northwest of the UK, with the south and southeast likely to see more in the way of dry weather.
"Temperatures are most likely to be near normal or slightly above, perhaps with some hot spells at times, especially across the south.
Forecasts for five days and beyond are written on the scale of the UK as a whole. This is because when looking at forecasts beyond five days into the future "the chaotic nature of the atmosphere starts to come into play", the Met Office said.
Small weather events currently over the Atlantic can have potentially significant impacts on our weather in the UK in several days' time. So, whilst forecasters can still predictt the general feel of the weather to a relatively high level of accuracy, it's harder to offer local detail to as high a level of accuracy as for shorter range forecasts.
The Met Office long range forecast, updated on a daily basis, offers an indication of how the weather might change, or be different from normal, (i.e. warmer, colder, wetter, drier) across the whole UK.
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