Latest news with #NiftyIT
Economic Times
7 hours ago
- Business
- Economic Times
Stock market update: Nifty IT index advances 0.84%
NEW DELHI: The Nifty IT index closed on a positive note on Friday. ADVERTISEMENT Shares of Persistent Systems Ltd.(up 3.53 per cent), Coforge Ltd.(up 2.12 per cent), MphasiS Ltd.(up 1.81 per cent), HCL Technologies Ltd.(up 1.52 per cent) and Oracle Financial Services Software Ltd.(up 0.74 per cent) ended the day as top gainers in the pack. On the other hand, finished as the top losers of the day. The Nifty IT index closed 0.84 per cent up at 38991.45. Benchmark NSE Nifty50 index ended up 319.16 points at 25112.4, while the BSE Sensex stood up 1046.3 points at 82408.17. Among the 50 stocks in the Nifty index, 46 ended in the green, while 4 closed in the red. ADVERTISEMENT Shares of Vodafone Idea, RattanIndia Power, Vishal Mega Mart, Suzlon Energy and YES Bank were among the most traded shares on the NSE. Shares of Quality Power Electr, Prostarm Info System, Gallantt Metal, Gillanders Arbuthnot & Co and Indiabulls Enterprises hit their fresh 52-week highs in today's trade, while Navkar Builders, Sadhana Nitro, Lasa Supergenerics, Siemens Energy India and Chembond Chem hit their fresh 52-week lows. ADVERTISEMENT (You can now subscribe to our ETMarkets WhatsApp channel)
Economic Times
9 hours ago
- Business
- Economic Times
IT stocks up 35% in less than 2 months. Can it withstand Fed caution and geopolitical risk?
Fed Pushes Back on Rate Cuts Live Events Geopolitical Risks Tariff Threats Outlook (You can now subscribe to our (You can now subscribe to our ETMarkets WhatsApp channel After a sharp sell-off earlier this year, Indian IT stocks have delivered a striking comeback. The Nifty IT index has surged 10.5% in under two months, with several individual stocks posting even stronger gains. But with global headwinds intensifying—from a cautious US Federal Reserve to rising geopolitical tensions—the sustainability of this rally is now in question. Coforge has rallied nearly 35%, while Tech Mahindra and LTIMindtree are up 28% each. Persistent Systems Oracle Financial Services Software (OFSS), and Mphasis have posted gains of 16% to 22%. Even large-caps like Infosys and Wipro delivered double-digit returns in the same the rebound is starting to face resistance. Following the US Fed 's June policy meeting, the Nifty IT index slipped nearly 1%, signalling renewed caution among Federal Reserve kept its benchmark rate unchanged in June but raised its core PCE inflation projection—its preferred inflation measure—from 2.8% to 3.1% for 2025. Headline PCE is now expected to reach 3%, up from earlier estimates, indicating that price pressures are proving persistent.'The Federal Reserve's decision to hold interest rates steady comes as no surprise, given the persistent inflationary pressures in the U.S. economy,' said Suresh Darak, Founder, Bondbazaar. 'These pressures were... exacerbated by global conflicts pushing up oil prices and sustaining inflation.'At the same time, US GDP growth expectations have been revised down to 1.4%, raising concerns about delayed tech spending by large clients. 'Growth and inflation outlook is at loggerheads at this moment,' said Vaqarjaved Khan, Senior Fundamental Analyst at Angel One. 'Markets are interpreting this tone as somewhat hawkish.'With only one rate cut now likely in FY26, Indian IT companies that rely on US enterprise spending may see continued pressure on deal as rate uncertainty builds, global tensions are driving a fresh spike in oil prices. Over the last week, conflict between Iran and Israel has intensified, and there are fears that the US may get involved. Iran's Supreme Leader has threatened to block the Strait of Hormuz, a vital passage for nearly 20% of the world's oil shipments, while US President Donald Trump has hinted at a more aggressive US a result, Brent crude prices jumped more than 18% to $79, while WTI rose 18.5% to $75.7 over just seven trading Indian IT firms, a prolonged oil rally could lead to higher inflation globally, currency volatility, and tighter tech budgets for energy-sensitive risks are also back in focus as the US heads toward its presidential election. Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently warned that 'tariff effects on inflation can be persistent,' sparking concern for Indian IT exporters that depend on stable global trade flows.'Going forward, if the US Fed delivers a 50-bps rate cut in 2025, it would increase liquidity in the global markets,' said Khan. 'However... Middle East tension and tariff-related announcements by the US... could increase inflation expectations globally. If any of these risks play out at a larger extent, the upside scenario in Indian equities might get halted.'The recent 35% rally in IT stocks has been driven in part by easing attrition, improving margins, and hopes of a demand revival. But with the Fed turning cautious and geopolitical risks rising, the sector's near-term trajectory looks uncertain.'Jerome Powell's comment that 'despite heightened uncertainty, the economy is in solid position' is important. However, he has warned that 'tariff effects on inflation can be persistent'... With only 1.4% GDP growth expected this year, the US is unlikely to attract a lot of capital flows,' said Dr. VK Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist, Geojit IT names like LTIMindtree and Tech Mahindra dropped over 3% in a single session on June 19—reflecting the sector's sensitivity to global IT index's sharp bounce from its early-2025 lows shows that investors remain optimistic about long-term fundamentals. However, the path forward is likely to be sticky inflation, oil-driven macro risks, tariff uncertainty, and a cautious Fed, the sector's recovery rally faces real tests. Whether the momentum can continue—or gives way to another round of selling—may depend on how these risks evolve over the next quarter.: Recommendations, suggestions, views, and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of Economic Times)
Time of India
9 hours ago
- Business
- Time of India
IT stocks up 35% in less than 2 months. Can it withstand Fed caution and geopolitical risk?
Coforge has surged nearly 35%, with Tech Mahindra and LTIMindtree each rising 28%. Persistent Systems, HCLTech, Oracle Financial Services Software (OFSS), and Mphasis have recorded gains between 16% and 22%. Even large-cap players like Infosys and Wipro have delivered double-digit returns during the same period. Tired of too many ads? Remove Ads Fed Pushes Back on Rate Cuts Tired of too many ads? Remove Ads Tariff Threats Tired of too many ads? Remove Ads Outlook After a sharp sell-off earlier this year, Indian IT stocks have delivered a striking comeback. The Nifty IT index has surged 10.5% in under two months, with several individual stocks posting even stronger gains. But with global headwinds intensifying—from a cautious US Federal Reserve to rising geopolitical tensions—the sustainability of this rally is now in question. Coforge has rallied nearly 35%, while Tech Mahindra and LTIMindtree are up 28% each. Persistent Systems Oracle Financial Services Software (OFSS), and Mphasis have posted gains of 16% to 22%. Even large-caps like Infosys and Wipro delivered double-digit returns in the same the rebound is starting to face resistance. Following the US Fed 's June policy meeting, the Nifty IT index slipped nearly 1%, signalling renewed caution among Federal Reserve kept its benchmark rate unchanged in June but raised its core PCE inflation projection—its preferred inflation measure—from 2.8% to 3.1% for 2025. Headline PCE is now expected to reach 3%, up from earlier estimates, indicating that price pressures are proving persistent.'The Federal Reserve's decision to hold interest rates steady comes as no surprise, given the persistent inflationary pressures in the U.S. economy,' said Suresh Darak, Founder, Bondbazaar. 'These pressures were... exacerbated by global conflicts pushing up oil prices and sustaining inflation.'At the same time, US GDP growth expectations have been revised down to 1.4%, raising concerns about delayed tech spending by large clients. 'Growth and inflation outlook is at loggerheads at this moment,' said Vaqarjaved Khan, Senior Fundamental Analyst at Angel One. 'Markets are interpreting this tone as somewhat hawkish.'With only one rate cut now likely in FY26, Indian IT companies that rely on US enterprise spending may see continued pressure on deal as rate uncertainty builds, global tensions are driving a fresh spike in oil prices. Over the last week, conflict between Iran and Israel has intensified, and there are fears that the US may get involved. Iran's Supreme Leader has threatened to block the Strait of Hormuz, a vital passage for nearly 20% of the world's oil shipments, while US President Donald Trump has hinted at a more aggressive US a result, Brent crude prices jumped more than 18% to $79, while WTI rose 18.5% to $75.7 over just seven trading Indian IT firms, a prolonged oil rally could lead to higher inflation globally, currency volatility, and tighter tech budgets for energy-sensitive risks are also back in focus as the US heads toward its presidential election. Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently warned that 'tariff effects on inflation can be persistent,' sparking concern for Indian IT exporters that depend on stable global trade flows.'Going forward, if the US Fed delivers a 50-bps rate cut in 2025, it would increase liquidity in the global markets,' said Khan. 'However... Middle East tension and tariff-related announcements by the US... could increase inflation expectations globally. If any of these risks play out at a larger extent, the upside scenario in Indian equities might get halted.'The recent 35% rally in IT stocks has been driven in part by easing attrition, improving margins, and hopes of a demand revival. But with the Fed turning cautious and geopolitical risks rising, the sector's near-term trajectory looks uncertain.'Jerome Powell's comment that 'despite heightened uncertainty, the economy is in solid position' is important. However, he has warned that 'tariff effects on inflation can be persistent'... With only 1.4% GDP growth expected this year, the US is unlikely to attract a lot of capital flows,' said Dr. VK Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist, Geojit IT names like LTIMindtree and Tech Mahindra dropped over 3% in a single session on June 19—reflecting the sector's sensitivity to global IT index's sharp bounce from its early-2025 lows shows that investors remain optimistic about long-term fundamentals. However, the path forward is likely to be sticky inflation, oil-driven macro risks, tariff uncertainty, and a cautious Fed, the sector's recovery rally faces real tests. Whether the momentum can continue—or gives way to another round of selling—may depend on how these risks evolve over the next quarter.: Recommendations, suggestions, views, and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of Economic Times)
Mint
11 hours ago
- Business
- Mint
CLSA and Morgan Stanley advise caution on Indian IT stocks; prefer Infosys, TCS, Wipro, Persistent, Coforge
As investor interest in technology stocks resurges, the Indian IT sector has staged a modest recovery in recent weeks. The Nifty IT index has risen nearly 4 percent over the past month, reflecting improving sentiment. However, global brokerage firms CLSA and Morgan Stanley remain cautious in their outlook, warning that weak discretionary spending and persistent global macroeconomic uncertainties could limit further gains. Despite the recent uptick, the Nifty IT index has lagged behind the broader markets in 2025, declining nearly 11 percent year-to-date, compared to a 5 percent gain in the Nifty 50. Both CLSA and Morgan Stanley believe the current environment is still challenging for the Indian IT sector. While the recent rebound in Nifty IT reflects investor interest, the ground reality across core verticals remains tepid. CLSA noted that discretionary IT spending remains soft, especially in segments like retail and automotive, although it also suggested that a broad-based economic slowdown could later prompt companies to ramp up their IT investments as a cost-optimization strategy. Morgan Stanley, echoing similar concerns, reported that interactions with IT companies revealed weak deal pipelines and limited demand recovery. The firm emphasized that any turnaround in the sector is likely to be gradual, uneven, and selective, depending heavily on geography, industry, and client budgets. Despite their shared caution, the two brokerages diverge in their near-term positioning strategies. CLSA remains relatively optimistic, highlighting potential in the banks, financial services, and insurance (BFSI) verticals, which it believes could see a V-shaped recovery. The firm also considers current valuations to be compelling, backing stocks like Infosys, Tech Mahindra, and Persistent Systems. However, it advised holding LTIMindtree, pending clearer earnings visibility. On the other hand, Morgan Stanley has taken a more defensive tone. While it acknowledged a slight improvement in revenue forecasts, it continues to foresee a prolonged slowdown in the sector for the next two years. Morgan Stanley advised investors to use any rally as an opportunity to book profits, citing stretched valuations relative to fundamental performance. The brokerage prefers TCS, Infosys, and Wipro among large-cap names and backs Coforge and Mphasis in the mid-cap space. Conversely, it recommends avoiding HCLTech, LTIMindtree, and Tech Mahindra. Notably, Tech Mahindra was downgraded to 'Underweight' with a target price of ₹ 1,575, while Wipro was upgraded to 'Equal-Weight' with a target of ₹ 265. In terms of strategy, CLSA suggests staying invested, particularly in companies with strong order books and sectoral tailwinds, such as BFSI. In contrast, Morgan Stanley urges caution, advocating a rotational approach where investors trim exposure during rallies and focus on undervalued, defensive large-cap stocks. Valuation-wise, CLSA believes Indian IT stocks are attractive when compared to their long-term averages, making selective opportunities worth exploring. Morgan Stanley, however, pointed out that while valuations have come off their peaks, they are not cheap, especially in the context of muted growth expectations. It added that further correction is possible if earnings growth fails to meet estimates in the upcoming quarters. In summary, global brokerages CLSA and Morgan Stanley advise a measured and selective approach to Indian IT stocks. While recent gains may reflect early signs of recovery, macroeconomic fragility, inflationary pressures, and weak discretionary IT spending continue to pose challenges. CLSA sees opportunity in BFSI-focused IT names at current valuations, while Morgan Stanley urges caution, advising investors to lock in profits during rallies and adopt a defensive allocation strategy until stronger signs of recovery emerge. For investors, the key will be to differentiate between short-term optimism and long-term resilience within the IT space. Disclaimer: The views and recommendations made above are those of individual analysts or broking companies, and not of Mint. We advise investors to check with certified experts before making any investment decisions.
Time of India
a day ago
- Business
- Time of India
China's rare-earth squeeze alarms tech; Groww's new play
China's rare-earth squeeze alarms tech; Groww's new play Want this newsletter delivered to your inbox? Also in the letter: Alarms ring at speaker, wearables, TV makers on Chinese rare-earth squeeze Driving the news: Of the seven rare earth metals now under export curbs, terbium and dysprosium are essential for making neodymium-iron-boron (NdFeB) magnets. These magnets are widely used in high-performance, portable and compact audio products. They typically account for 5–7% of the bill of materials, and Indian electronics makers remain almost entirely dependent on Chinese imports, according to a white paper by the Electronics Industries Association of India (ELCINA). Current state: China is holding back shipments of these magnets and related products at its ports, demanding end-use declarations before allowing export. This has disrupted operations at speaker assembly units in India and caused delays in deliveries to local TV and audio brands, according to ELCINA. To navigate the bottleneck, speaker manufacturers and importers have sought government help to secure end-use certificates, which Chinese exporters now require to obtain export licences, backed by full traceability documentation. Tell me more: Also Read: Groww looks to offer trading in corporate bonds, to apply for Sebi licence Driving the news: Signifiance: The OBPP licence will allow Groww to compete with platforms such as Wint Wealth and Grip Invest. It also positions the company to tap into India's underpenetrated bond distribution market, where retail participation has been steadily growing. That said, recent concerns around issuers like BluSmart have shaken confidence in the space. Expansion bid: With an initial public offering (IPO) on the horizon, Groww is steadily diversifying beyond stockbroking. It recently entered the credit space after receiving a non-banking finance company (NBFC) licence from the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). The firm has expanded into wealth management with its acquisition of Fisdom and began offering margin trade funding to investors last year. Background: Sponsor ETtech Top 5 & Morning Dispatch! Why it matters: The opportunity: Reach a highly engaged audience of decision-makers. Boost your brand's visibility among the tech-savvy community. Custom sponsorship options to align with your brand's goals. What's next: IT stocks slip up to 3.5% after Fed holds rates, flags persistent inflation What happened: Big losers: LTIMindtree: Dropped 3.5% intraday, closed 1.6% lower. Tech Mahindra: Fell nearly 3%, closed down about 2%. The Nifty IT index slipped 1.4%. Infosys also slipped, closing down about 0.1%. Mid-sized firms, including Persistent Systems, Coforge, and Mphasis, declined between 1% and 2.6%. Why this matters: Explained: Sebi's new Esop norms for IPO-bound startup founders, reverse-flipping What's the news: Old rules: Founders were classified as "promoters" at the time of initial public offering (IPO) filings, which barred them from holding or being granted Esops. If they held any, they had to liquidate them. Founders were classified as "promoters" at the time of initial public offering (IPO) filings, which barred them from holding or being granted Esops. If they held any, they had to liquidate them. New norms: Founders who received Esops at least one year before filing the draft red herring prospectus (DRHP) can now retain them post-listing. Founders who received Esops at least one year before filing the draft red herring prospectus (DRHP) can now retain them post-listing. Flipback: Sebi will now also permit equity shares resulting from the conversion of Compulsorily Convertible Securities (CCS) to be included in an Offer for Sale (OFS), facilitating capital raising through public issues. About time: Microsoft prepared to abandon high-stakes talks with OpenAI Driving the news: The tech giant is reportedly considering pausing negotiations if the parties cannot reach an agreement on key issues, including the size of Microsoft's future stake in OpenAI. For now, Microsoft plans to lean on its existing commercial deal, which gives it access to OpenAI's technology through 2030, the FT report added. Meanwhile: Also Read: China's rare earth export controls are concerning Indian electronic manufacturers, who are facing production halts. This and more in today's ETtech Top 5.■ IT stocks tank■ Explained: Sebi's new Esop norms■ Microsoft vs OpenAIChina's curbs on rare earth curbs on rare earth exports have set off alarm bells across the electronics industry, with speaker, wearable, and television manufacturers warning of looming shortages of permanent magnets. Production could grind to a halt unless supplies resume, industry executives and associations sourcing from Japan, Vietnam, or even recycled magnets within India comes at a steep cost. ELCINA's price analysis shows these options nearly double input costs, with supply remaining patchy and unreliable.(L-R) Harsh Jain, Neeraj Singh, Lalit Keshre and Ishan Bansal, founders, GrowwOnline stockbroker Groww is planning to expand its mobile app to include trading in corporate Bengaluru-based firm plans to apply for an Online Bond Platform Provider (OBPP) licence, sources told us. While it already facilitates the primary sale of newly listed corporate bonds, it aims to offer secondary trading once it secures regulatory May, Groww confidentially filed its draft red herring prospectus with Sebi, aiming to raise between $700 million and $1 company recently raised $250 million in a funding round led by GIC , which valued it at $6.5 billion. For FY25, it reported total revenue of Rs 4,056 crore and a net profit of Rs 1,819 Top 5 and Morning Dispatch are must-reads for India's tech and business leaders, including startup founders, investors, policy makers, industry insiders and Reach out to us at spotlightpartner@ to explore sponsorship IT stocks slipped in Thursday's trade after the US Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged, with LTIMindtree and Tech Mahindra leading the Fed held its benchmark rate steady at 4.25% to 4.5%, citing ongoing inflation concerns and a cautious economic marks the sixth consecutive meeting without a rate change. However, the latest 'dot plot'— a chart that reflects individual policymakers' forecasts—shows policymakers still expect two cuts in how major IT firms reacted:The Fed's cautious stance raises uncertainty around US growth and inflation. For Indian IT firms, which derive significant revenue from US clients, this could dampen client spending and contract Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) has approved several measures to ease doing business, including a long-awaited change for startup founders The market regulator will allow startup founders to retain their employee stock options (Esops) even after their companies go has recognised past regulatory grey areas. Founders have long argued that the rules were unfair, often forcing them to exit early and miss out on long-term value CEO Sam Altman with Microsoft CEO Satya NadellaMicrosoft is prepared to step back from 'high-stakes' talks with OpenAI over the future of their alliance, the Financial Times reported on executives have discussed accusing Microsoft of anticompetitive behaviour, the Wall Street Journal reported on Monday . The two companies are also renegotiating the terms of Microsoft's investment, including its future equity position in the AI firm.
