Adcorp Holdings' (JSE:ADR) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year
Adcorp Holdings Limited (JSE:ADR) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 18th of August to ZAR0.5002. This will take the dividend yield to an attractive 9.8%, providing a nice boost to shareholder returns.
While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. Investors will be pleased to see that Adcorp Holdings' stock price has increased by 44% in the last 3 months, which is good for shareholders and can also explain a decrease in the dividend yield.
Trump has pledged to "unleash" American oil and gas and these 15 US stocks have developments that are poised to benefit.
While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. Based on the last payment, Adcorp Holdings was quite comfortably earning enough to cover the dividend. This means that a large portion of its earnings are being retained to grow the business.
Over the next year, EPS could expand by 68.2% if recent trends continue. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 27%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.
View our latest analysis for Adcorp Holdings
While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2015, the annual payment back then was ZAR1.40, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ZAR0.634. This works out to be a decline of approximately 7.6% per year over that time. A company that decreases its dividend over time generally isn't what we are looking for.
Given that the track record hasn't been stellar, we really want to see earnings per share growing over time. Adcorp Holdings has impressed us by growing EPS at 68% per year over the past five years. The company doesn't have any problems growing, despite returning a lot of capital to shareholders, which is a very nice combination for a dividend stock to have.
In summary, it is always positive to see the dividend being increased, and we are particularly pleased with its overall sustainability. Earnings are easily covering distributions, and the company is generating plenty of cash. All of these factors considered, we think this has solid potential as a dividend stock.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Just as an example, we've come across 3 warning signs for Adcorp Holdings you should be aware of, and 1 of them can't be ignored. Is Adcorp Holdings not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Error al recuperar los datos
Inicia sesión para acceder a tu cartera de valores
Error al recuperar los datos
Error al recuperar los datos
Error al recuperar los datos
Error al recuperar los datos
Hashtags
Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles
Yahoo
26 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Europe Frets About US Retreating From Region Ahead of NATO
(Bloomberg) -- NATO's European allies are focused on getting through this week's summit unscathed. But even if President Donald Trump is satisfied with fresh pledges to ramp up spending, anxiety is growing about the US military presence in the region. Bezos Wedding Draws Protests, Soul-Searching Over Tourism in Venice One Architect's Quest to Save Mumbai's Heritage From Disappearing JFK AirTrain Cuts Fares 50% This Summer to Lure Riders Off Roads NYC Congestion Toll Cuts Manhattan Gridlock by 25%, RPA Reports Only after the June 24-25 summit meeting in The Hague – where North Atlantic Treaty Organization members will pledge to spend 5% of GDP on defense – will the US present its military review, which will spell out the scope of what are likely significant reductions in Europe. With some 80,000 US troops in Europe, governments in the region have factored in at least a reversal of the military surge under former President Joe Biden of about 20,000 troops. The stakes got significantly higher overnight after US struck nuclear sites in Iran with the risk that Trump will get sucked into a spiraling conflict in the Middle East after being a vocal critic of US military involvement overseas. His foreign policy U-turn will be a topic that will be hard to avoid at the gathering, especially with NATO ally Turkey present and a key stakeholder in the region. Europeans have been kept in the dark on the Trump administration's plans. But officials in the region are bracing potentially for a far bigger withdrawal that could present a dangerous security risk, according to officials familiar with the discussions who declined to be identified as closed-door talks take place before the review. Up until early June, no official from the US had come to NATO to talk about the US force posture review, spurring concern among allies that this could be done at very short notice, according to a person familiar with the matter. It's unclear whether European nations have started planning to fill any potential gaps left by US forces. Withdrawing the aforementioned 20,000 troops could also have an even greater impact if other NATO allies follow the US lead and remove their troops from the east. The worry with even deeper cuts impacting US bases in Germany and Italy is they could encourage Russia to test NATO's Article 5 of collective defense with hybrid attacks across the alliance, the person familiar also said. Since returning to the White House, Trump and his allies have warned European capitals that – despite the mounting threat from Russia – they need to take charge of their security as the US turns its military and diplomatic focus to the Indo-Pacific region. Contacted by Bloomberg, NATO declined to respond to questions but referred to a statement by NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte in early June. When asked about a US drawdown from Europe, he said it was normal they would pivot to Asia. 'I'm not worried about that, but I'm absolutely convinced we will do that in a step-by-step approach,' Rutte said then. 'There will be no capability gaps in Europe because of this.' The White House referred questions to the Pentagon. 'The U.S. constantly evaluates force posture to ensure it aligns with America's strategic interests,' a defense official responded. The geopolitical shift is likely to have enormous consequences for the 32-member alliance, which is weathering its greatest challenge since it became the bulwark against Soviet power in the decades after World War II. European militaries long reliant on American hard power will have to fill the gap as Washington scales back. If a troop reduction focuses on efficiency, it would be far less problematic for Europeans than one that hits critical assets and personnel that Europe couldn't replace immediately, according to one European diplomat. The nature of a withdrawal would be more important than the troop numbers, the person said. A dramatic pullout announcement is likely to trigger an instant reaction from eastern member states, with those closer to Russia immediately requesting deployments from Western European allies. The holistic review of the US military, which Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth says should focus on threats facing the US, is meant to reflect the tilt in the global power dynamic, bringing potentially large-scale redeployment of weapons and troops. But European diplomats have bristled at the timing of the review, taking place only after NATO signs off on its most ambitious new weapons targets since the Cold War — with member states agreeing to foot the bill. A withdrawal that is more dramatic than anticipated will mean that, after acceding to Trump's ramp-up in defense spending, they still may be left with a heavy burden to respond to a rapidly growing Russian military. 'We would be remiss in not reviewing force posture everywhere, but it would be the wrong planning assumption to say, 'America is abandoning'' or leaving Europe, Hegseth said in Stuttgart in February. 'No, America is smart to observe, plan, prioritize and project power to deter conflict.' After the Trump administration balked at providing a backstop to European security guarantees to Ukraine, a pullout of more US troops could embolden Russia's Vladimir Putin, according to people familiar with the matter. 'The question is when pressure is on for a greater focus on the Indo-Pacific, what capabilities do they need to think about moving,' said Matthew Savill, director of military sciences at RUSI, a defense think tank. 'I don't get an impression that they have yet decided what that means for force levels in specific terms.' Germany, Europe's richest and most populous nation, is positioning itself to take on the largest share of the redistribution. Defense Minister Boris Pistorius is taking the lead in building out the military after the country scrapped constitutional debt restrictions when it comes to security. Berlin will do the 'heavy lifting,' he's said. Pistorius recently unveiled a new battle tank brigade in Lithuania and has said the country is committed to boosting its armed forces by as many as 60,000 soldiers. The military currently has about 182,000 active-duty troops. European governments are pushing Washington to communicate its plans clearly and space out any troop draw-downs to give them time to step up with their own forces. 'There are some capabilities, like deep precision strikes, where we Europeans need some time to catch up,' said Stefan Schulz, a senior official in the German Defense Ministry. He called for any US reduction to be done in an orderly fashion, 'so that this process of US reduction is matched with the uplift of European capabilities.' The ideal scenario would be an orderly shift within NATO toward a stronger Europe that would take about a decade, said Camille Grand, distinguished policy fellow at the European Council on Foreign Relations and a former NATO assistant secretary general. A more dire scenario would involve a US administration acting out of frustration with European progress and drastically reducing troop presence. Grand said a 'plausible' scenario would be a cut to about 65,000 US troops, matching a low-point figure before Russia's annexation of Crimea in 2014 — a level that NATO could manage. 'But if we go below that, we are entering uncharted waters, a different world,' Grand said. --With assistance from Courtney McBride and Milda Seputyte. (Adds a graph of context referencing developments in the Middle East in fourth paragraph.) Luxury Counterfeiters Keep Outsmarting the Makers of $10,000 Handbags Is Mark Cuban the Loudmouth Billionaire that Democrats Need for 2028? Ken Griffin on Trump, Harvard and Why Novice Investors Won't Beat the Pros The US Has More Copper Than China But No Way to Refine All of It Can 'MAMUWT' Be to Musk What 'TACO' Is to Trump? ©2025 Bloomberg L.P. Error al recuperar los datos Inicia sesión para acceder a tu cartera de valores Error al recuperar los datos Error al recuperar los datos Error al recuperar los datos Error al recuperar los datos
Yahoo
30 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Make Over a 2.4% One-Month Yield Shorting Nvidia Out-of-the-Money Puts
Nvidia Inc. (NVDA) stock is cheap based on free cash flow (FCF) price targets. Investors can short out-of-the-money (OTM) NVDA put options to make a 1-month 2.4% yield. This is at 5% lower exercise prices, providing a cheaper potential buy-in point for investors. NVDA closed at $143.85 on Friday, June 20. In my last Barchart article on May 30, I argued that NVDA stock was worth $191.34 per share. That is still one-third (+33.0%) higher than Friday's price. The Saturday Spread: Statistical Signals Flash Green for CMG, TMUS and VALE Make Over a 2.4% One-Month Yield Shorting Nvidia Out-of-the-Money Puts Stop Missing Market Moves: Get the FREE Barchart Brief – your midday dose of stock movers, trending sectors, and actionable trade ideas, delivered right to your inbox. Sign Up Now! This article will discuss one way to play NVDA by shorting out-of-the-money (OTM) puts. That way, an investor can set a potentially lower buy-in point and get paid for this. But first, let's look at Nvidia's free cash flow and the related price target. In my last Barchart article, I showed that Nvidia's Q1 FCF of $26.125 billion represented an astounding 59.3% of quarterly revenue. That means almost 60% of its sales revenue goes straight into its bank account with no cash outlays on it (even after record-high capex spending). Moreover, I showed that over the last 12 months (LTM), its FCF margin was almost 50% (48.5%). That implies going forward its FCF could rise to a record high. For example, based on analysts' next 12-month (NTM) projections of $225 billion, using a 50% FCF margin free cash flow could exceed $112 billion: $225b x 50% FCF margin = $112.5b FCF How to value NVDA? Let's think about what the market might be projecting. For example, let's assume the market believes Nvidia will make $100 billion in FCF, slightly less than 4 times its Q1 FCF. So, given its market cap today of $3,508 billion, that represents a 2.85% yield: $100b/$3,508 = 0.0285 = 2.850% FCF yield So, using our NTM forecast of $112.5b, its market cap could rise to $3.75 trillion $112.5b / 0.0285 = $3,947 billion NTM mkt cap That represents an upside of 12.5% from today's market cap: $3,947b / $3,508b mkt cap today = 1.125 So, that makes its target price at least 12.5% more: $143.85 x 1.125 = $161.83 However, if Nvidia makes better than 50% FCF margins over the next year, its target price could be much higher. For example, even a 10% higher FCF margin leads to a 24% upside: 0.55 x $225b = $123.75b FCF $123.75b / 0.0285 FCF yield = $4,342 billion mkt cap; $4,342b / $3,508b = 1.2377 = +23.8% upside 1.1238 x $143.85 p/sh = $178 per share The bottom line is that Nvidia's strong FCF and FCF margins will lead to a significantly higher price, between $162 and $178 per share. This coincides with what other analysts are projecting. For example, 66 analysts surveyed by Yahoo! Finance show an average price target of $172.60. Similarly, Barchart's mean survey shows $174.83 per share. In addition, which tracks analysts who have written recently on NVDA stock, has an average price of $179.87 from 40 analysts. My analysis above shows you why these analysts have these higher price targets. But there is no guarantee NVDA will rise to these targets over the next year. So, one way to play this is to sell short out-of-the-money (OTM) puts in nearby expiry periods. In my May 30 Barchart article, I suggest selling short the $128 strike price put expiring July 3 for a 3.125% yield at a 3.72% out-of-the-money (i.e., below the trading price) strike. For example, the midpoint premium was $4.00, so $4.00/$128.00 equals 0.03125. That was for a one-month play (34 days to expiry or DTE). Today, that strike price has a much lower premium of just 39 cents. So, an investor has already made $3.61 (i.e., $4.00-$0.39), or a net 2.82% yield (i.e., $3.61/$128 = 0.028). It makes sense to roll this over and set a new one-month short-put play. That means buying back the short put at 39 cents and reinvesting at a slightly higher strike price one month out. For example, look at the July 25 expiration period (i.e., 34 DTE). It shows that the $137 strike price put options expiring July 25, i.e., 4.7% below Friday's price, have a $3.40 midpoint premium. That means a new short seller of these puts can make a 2.48% yield over the next month (i.e., $3.40/$137.00 = 0.0248). For less risk-averse investors, a 2.70% yield is possible at the $138 strike price(i.e., $3.72/$138.00 = 0.02696). This strike price is just 4% below Friday's close. Moreover, even after rolling the prior trade over, the net yield with the $137 strike put play is still 2.20% (i.e., $3.40-0.39 = $3.01/$137.00 = 0.02197). So, that means over two months, a short seller of these OTM puts will have made 2.82% plus 2.20%, or 5.02% total (2.51% on average for both months). In addition, an investor's breakeven point, even if NVDA falls to $137.00 over the next month, is lower: $137 - $3.40 = $133.60 p/ sh That is -7.125% below Friday's closing price. In other words, this is a good way to set a lower buy-in point for new investors in NVDA stock. For existing investors, it is a way to potentially lower their average cost, as well as produce extra income on their holdings. And don't forget, given the target price of $172.60, the breakeven point presents a potential upside of over 29%: $172.60/$133.60-1 = 1.292 -1 = +29.2% upside The bottom line is that investors can potentially make over a 2% yield over the next month shorting these out-of-the-money (OTM) puts. On the date of publication, Mark R. Hake, CFA did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. This article was originally published on Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
Yahoo
42 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Are Investors Undervaluing Tapestry, Inc. (NYSE:TPR) By 31%?
Tapestry's estimated fair value is US$122 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Tapestry is estimated to be 31% undervalued based on current share price of US$84.33 Our fair value estimate is 37% higher than Tapestry's analyst price target of US$89.08 Today we will run through one way of estimating the intrinsic value of Tapestry, Inc. (NYSE:TPR) by taking the expected future cash flows and discounting them to today's value. This will be done using the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model. Don't get put off by the jargon, the math behind it is actually quite straightforward. We would caution that there are many ways of valuing a company and, like the DCF, each technique has advantages and disadvantages in certain scenarios. If you still have some burning questions about this type of valuation, take a look at the Simply Wall St analysis model. Trump has pledged to "unleash" American oil and gas and these 15 US stocks have developments that are poised to benefit. We are going to use a two-stage DCF model, which, as the name states, takes into account two stages of growth. The first stage is generally a higher growth period which levels off heading towards the terminal value, captured in the second 'steady growth' period. To begin with, we have to get estimates of the next ten years of cash flows. Where possible we use analyst estimates, but when these aren't available we extrapolate the previous free cash flow (FCF) from the last estimate or reported value. We assume companies with shrinking free cash flow will slow their rate of shrinkage, and that companies with growing free cash flow will see their growth rate slow, over this period. We do this to reflect that growth tends to slow more in the early years than it does in later years. A DCF is all about the idea that a dollar in the future is less valuable than a dollar today, and so the sum of these future cash flows is then discounted to today's value: 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 Levered FCF ($, Millions) US$1.15b US$1.20b US$1.33b US$1.43b US$1.52b US$1.60b US$1.68b US$1.74b US$1.81b US$1.87b Growth Rate Estimate Source Analyst x4 Analyst x4 Analyst x2 Est @ 7.68% Est @ 6.26% Est @ 5.26% Est @ 4.56% Est @ 4.08% Est @ 3.74% Est @ 3.50% Present Value ($, Millions) Discounted @ 8.4% US$1.1k US$1.0k US$1.0k US$1.0k US$1.0k US$985 US$950 US$912 US$872 US$832 ("Est" = FCF growth rate estimated by Simply Wall St)Present Value of 10-year Cash Flow (PVCF) = US$9.7b We now need to calculate the Terminal Value, which accounts for all the future cash flows after this ten year period. The Gordon Growth formula is used to calculate Terminal Value at a future annual growth rate equal to the 5-year average of the 10-year government bond yield of 2.9%. We discount the terminal cash flows to today's value at a cost of equity of 8.4%. Terminal Value (TV)= FCF2034 × (1 + g) ÷ (r – g) = US$1.9b× (1 + 2.9%) ÷ (8.4%– 2.9%) = US$35b Present Value of Terminal Value (PVTV)= TV / (1 + r)10= US$35b÷ ( 1 + 8.4%)10= US$16b The total value, or equity value, is then the sum of the present value of the future cash flows, which in this case is US$25b. In the final step we divide the equity value by the number of shares outstanding. Relative to the current share price of US$84.3, the company appears quite good value at a 31% discount to where the stock price trades currently. The assumptions in any calculation have a big impact on the valuation, so it is better to view this as a rough estimate, not precise down to the last cent. The calculation above is very dependent on two assumptions. The first is the discount rate and the other is the cash flows. Part of investing is coming up with your own evaluation of a company's future performance, so try the calculation yourself and check your own assumptions. The DCF also does not consider the possible cyclicality of an industry, or a company's future capital requirements, so it does not give a full picture of a company's potential performance. Given that we are looking at Tapestry as potential shareholders, the cost of equity is used as the discount rate, rather than the cost of capital (or weighted average cost of capital, WACC) which accounts for debt. In this calculation we've used 8.4%, which is based on a levered beta of 1.272. Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility, compared to the market as a whole. We get our beta from the industry average beta of globally comparable companies, with an imposed limit between 0.8 and 2.0, which is a reasonable range for a stable business. See our latest analysis for Tapestry Strength Debt is well covered by earnings and cashflows. Dividends are covered by earnings and cash flows. Weakness Earnings declined over the past year. Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Luxury market. Opportunity Annual earnings are forecast to grow for the next 3 years. Good value based on P/E ratio and estimated fair value. Threat Annual earnings are forecast to grow slower than the American market. Valuation is only one side of the coin in terms of building your investment thesis, and it shouldn't be the only metric you look at when researching a company. The DCF model is not a perfect stock valuation tool. Rather it should be seen as a guide to "what assumptions need to be true for this stock to be under/overvalued?" If a company grows at a different rate, or if its cost of equity or risk free rate changes sharply, the output can look very different. What is the reason for the share price sitting below the intrinsic value? For Tapestry, there are three additional factors you should further research: Risks: To that end, you should be aware of the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Tapestry . Management:Have insiders been ramping up their shares to take advantage of the market's sentiment for TPR's future outlook? Check out our management and board analysis with insights on CEO compensation and governance factors. Other High Quality Alternatives: Do you like a good all-rounder? Explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there you may be missing! PS. The Simply Wall St app conducts a discounted cash flow valuation for every stock on the NYSE every day. If you want to find the calculation for other stocks just search here. Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
