logo
OPEC Expects Slower Growth in Oil Supply from Rivals in 2025 Following Price Drop - Jordan News

OPEC Expects Slower Growth in Oil Supply from Rivals in 2025 Following Price Drop - Jordan News

Jordan News14-05-2025

OPEC Expects Slower Growth in Oil Supply from Rivals in 2025 Following Price Drop The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) on Wednesday revised down its forecast for oil supply growth from the United States and other non-OPEC+ producers for this year, citing an expected decline in capital spending due to falling oil prices. اضافة اعلان In its monthly report, OPEC stated that supply from countries outside the Declaration of Cooperation — the official name for the OPEC+ alliance — is projected to increase by around 800,000 barrels per day in 2025, down from last month's forecast of 900,000 barrels per day. A slowdown in supply growth from outside OPEC+, which includes OPEC, Russia, and other allies, would make it easier for the group to balance the global oil market. The rapid growth of U.S. shale oil and production from other countries has impacted prices over the past few years. OPEC left its forecast for global oil demand growth unchanged for both 2025 and 2026, following a downward revision last month. The organization cited the impact of first-quarter demand data and the influence of tariffs.
Reuters

Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Oil prices rise as Iran-'Israel' tensions enter 7th day
Oil prices rise as Iran-'Israel' tensions enter 7th day

Roya News

time3 days ago

  • Roya News

Oil prices rise as Iran-'Israel' tensions enter 7th day

Oil prices climbed Thursday amid ongoing military escalation between Iran and 'Israel', now in its seventh consecutive day, as concerns over potential US involvement fueled investor caution and heightened volatility in global energy markets. Brent crude futures rose $2.15, or 2.8%, to close at $78.85 per barrel. US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude for July delivery gained $1.72, or 2.3%, to settle at $76.86 per barrel. Trading volumes were light in US markets due to holiday, but geopolitical tensions remained the dominant force driving prices. Geopolitical Risk Premium 'There's a healthy risk premium priced in right now,' said Tony Sycamore, an analyst at IG trading platform, noting that markets are bracing for either a US strike on Iran or a diplomatic breakthrough. Goldman Sachs echoed this sentiment, stating that a geopolitical premium of around $10 per barrel is currently justified, citing reduced Iranian oil supply and the rising risk of wider conflict. The bank warned Brent could surge past $90 a barrel if the crisis deepens. Phil Flynn, senior analyst at Price Futures Group, said a return to $60, oil levels seen just a month ago, is unlikely even if the Middle East situation de-escalates, given the current market dynamics. Uncertainty Over US Response Trump stated he had not yet made a final decision on whether to intervene directly against Iran, promising to announce his position within two weeks. Priyanka Sachdeva, an analyst at Phillip Nova, said Trump's unpredictable foreign policy stance "keeps markets jittery, awaiting clearer signals that could impact supply flows and regional stability." RBC Capital's Helima Croft warned that any existential threat to Iran could provoke attacks on oil tankers or regional energy infrastructure, especially if Washington becomes directly involved in the conflict. Iran and the Strait of Hormuz Iran, the third-largest oil producer in OPEC, pumps about 3.3 million barrels per day and plays a crucial role in securing the Strait of Hormuz, a key waterway through which between 18 and 21 million barrels of oil and petroleum products pass daily. Any military disruption could choke global energy flows and send prices soaring. Russia and OPEC+ Reassess Strategy Speaking at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak reiterated the need to stay the course on production plans under the OPEC+ alliance. He projected rising oil demand in the coming summer months and emphasized the importance of market stability amid geopolitical headwinds.

Barclays warns Brent Crude Oil could hit $100 amid Iran-'Israel' escalation
Barclays warns Brent Crude Oil could hit $100 amid Iran-'Israel' escalation

Roya News

time3 days ago

  • Roya News

Barclays warns Brent Crude Oil could hit $100 amid Iran-'Israel' escalation

Brent crude prices could climb to $85 per barrel if Iranian oil exports are cut in half, according to new projections from Barclays. The bank also warned that prices could surpass $100 in a worst-case scenario involving a broader war with Iran. In a research note dated Thursday, Barclays analysts said escalating military tensions between Iran and 'Israel' have placed global oil markets under extreme stress, especially amid concerns over potential US involvement in the conflict. Oil Prices Edge Higher Global oil markets have already begun reacting to geopolitical jitters. Brent futures rose 25 cents, or 0.33%, to $76.70 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude gained 30 cents, or 0.40%, to settle at $75.14. Consultancies Warn of Diverging Price Scenarios Advisory firm Ritterbusch and Associates noted that continued conflict could either drive Brent prices up to $83 or send them crashing to $68, depending on how the geopolitical landscape evolves. Analysts at ING issued a sharper warning, calling the potential closure of the Strait of Hormuz the biggest threat to oil markets. The strategic waterway is responsible for roughly one-third of the world's seaborne oil trade. A major disruption could push oil prices as high as $120 per barrel, the firm said. Russia and OPEC Monitor Market Shifts Meanwhile, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak and OPEC Secretary-General Haitham Al Ghais met to discuss recent developments in the global oil market.

Oil prices keep climbing as Iran-Israel conflict enters sixth day
Oil prices keep climbing as Iran-Israel conflict enters sixth day

Ammon

time4 days ago

  • Ammon

Oil prices keep climbing as Iran-Israel conflict enters sixth day

Ammon News - Oil prices rose in Asian trade on Wednesday, extending a 4% gain from the previous session on worries that the Iran-Israel conflict could disrupt supplies. Brent crude futures rose 26 cents, or 0.3%, to $76.71 a barrel by 0440 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose 35 cents, or 0.5%, to $75.19 per barrel. U.S. President Donald Trump on Tuesday called for Iran's "unconditional surrender" as the Iran-Israel air war entered a sixth day. The U.S. military is deploying more fighter aircraft to the region to bolster its forces, three officials said on Tuesday. Analysts said the market was largely worried about supply disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, which carries a fifth of the world's seaborne oil. Iran is OPEC's third-largest producer extracting about 3.3 million barrels per day (bpd) of crude oil, but spare capacity among producers in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and their allies can readily cover this. Brent crude oil prices have gained about $10 a barrel over the past two weeks, and Fitch analysts said they expect the geopolitical risk premium in oil prices to be contained at around $5 to $10. Markets are also looking ahead to a second day of U.S. Federal Reserve discussions on Wednesday, in which the central bank is expected to leave its benchmark overnight interest rate in the 4.25%-4.50% range. Lower interest rates generally boost economic growth and demand for oil. Reuters

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store