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Iranian Government Aircraft Make Mysterious Dash To Oman

Iranian Government Aircraft Make Mysterious Dash To Oman

Yahoo2 days ago

Iran's primary presidential plane and two other government airliners have touched down in the Omani capital Muscat. The highly unusual arrivals come amid reports that the regime in Tehran is looking to negotiate an end to the ongoing conflict with Israel, as well as growing speculation that the United States may be about to directly enter the fighting in a major way.
Where exactly the Iranian aircraft, a pair of Airbus A321s and an Airbus A340, originally departed from is unclear. The trio of aircraft used the callsigns JJ25, JJ26, and JJ28. At the time of writing, there has been no official word about the purpose of the flights or who might be on them.
The 3 aircraft that have left Iran and landed in Muscat, Oman are 2 x A321 and 1 x A340. pic.twitter.com/8aelNJs9Cq
— Flightradar24 (@flightradar24) June 18, 2025
שלושה מטוסים ממשלתיים של איראן המריאו בשעה האחרונה מדרום המדינה ונחתו במסקט בירת עומאן. אחד מהם הוא המטוס הנשיאותי, אשר שימש עד לאחרונה את הנשיא מסעוד פזשכיאן. מטרת הטיסה לא ברורה: האם הגיעו לשיחות תיווך בעומאן, או שמא מולטו מן המדינה ועליהם נוסעים. pic.twitter.com/GRGYEfnnmB
— avi scharf (@avischarf) June 18, 2025
Publicly available air traffic control recordings suggest that a fourth aircraft from Iran may be inbound to Muscat. However, there does not appear to be any clear indication of this yet from available online flight tracking data.
Per @liveatc JJ25 advising Muscat Ground that there are going to be a total of four aircraft coming from Iran? What's going on? pic.twitter.com/UwTv2UIswV
— Thenewarea51 (@thenewarea51) June 18, 2025
As noted, the Iranian A340, which carries the Iranian registration code EP-IGA, has been used to transport Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian in the past, including to the United States for the main annual United Nations General Assembly meeting last year.
Islamic Republic of Iran Air Force (IRIAF) used the Airbus A340-313X aircraft (Serial 5-8405, registration EP-IGA) to carry the Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian to the New York's John F. Kennedy Airport.This aircraft (MSN:257) was part of the fleet of Air Canada (C-GDVV),… pic.twitter.com/ILWzTpcUW8
— FL360aero (@fl360aero) September 23, 2024
There are several possible reasons for the arrival of the Iranian aircraft in Oman.
A major Iranian delegation could have arrived in Muscat for new negotiations around ending the current conflict with Israel. Iran and Oman have solid diplomatic ties, and the latter has often served as an intermediary between the regime in Tehran and the West. Oman had just recently been facilitating talks between the United States and Iran over the latter country's nuclear ambitions.
Iran has been reportedly reaching out to foreign partners about the possibility of a deal to end the current crisis, though publicly the regime in Tehran remains defiant in the face of ongoing Israeli strikes.
'They want to negotiate. I ask: why didn't they negotiate two weeks ago,' U.S. President Donald Trump told reporters today, while also raising the prospect of an Iranian delegation visiting the White House. 'It is very late to be talking.'
Trump on the Iranians: "they even suggested to come to the White House"Says it's "very late" to be talking, "there's a big difference between now and a week ago" (these bits are in a different clip) https://t.co/avSXPhp7HC
— Gregg Carlstrom (@glcarlstrom) June 18, 2025
'I may do it. I may not do it. I mean, nobody knows what I'm going to do,' Trump also said when asked about whether the U.S. military might begin to launch its own strikes on Iran.
When asked it the US would strike Iran's nuclear facilities, Trump said: 'I may do it. I may not do it. I mean, nobody knows what I'm going to do"Trump also asked what his message is to the Supreme Leader of Iran and said: 'I say good luck.'
— Selina Wang (@selinawangtv) June 18, 2025
There remains no clear evidence of American forces taking a new offensive role in the conflict, though a major U.S. build-up is continuing, as you can read more about here. Online flight tracking data today did show two U.S. Air Force KC-135 aerial refueling tankers flying eastward over Israel and then up along the Jordanian-Iraqi border, the purpose of which is also unclear.
Pair of tankers working just south of the Syrian border over Jordan.
KC-135R 58-0069 #AE04F6
KC-135R 63-7985 #AE036Apic.twitter.com/FPsI4YXKAD
— Evergreen Intel (@vcdgf555) June 18, 2025
Two U.S.
KC-135R Stratotanker planes are flying over Israel
. pic.twitter.com/zGIpq8wvfK
— ILRedAlert (@ILRedAlert) June 18, 2025
In response to Trump's remarks, Iran's mission to the United Nations made a post on X publicly rejecting the possibility of a White House visit and negotiations while 'under duress.' Israeli authorities have also rejected talk of a diplomatic resolution to the current conflict.
Iran mission to UN not surprisingly rejects Trump's apparent idea for the Iranians to come to the White House pic.twitter.com/nnoTV7H7ov
— Laura Rozen (@lrozen) June 18, 2025
If the Iranian aircraft touching down in Oman are not tied to a diplomatic mission, they could also be carrying individuals seeking to escape the current conflict. Israel has notably been striking Iran's capital Tehran, as well as other locations across western Iran, with virtual impunity for days now.
Similarly, the movement of the aircraft could be about keeping them safe from expanding Israeli strikes on Iranian air bases in the event that they might be called upon to help senior regime officials evacuate in the future. As an interesting comparative case, during the Gulf War in 1991, Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein ordered much of his country's air force to flee to neighboring Iran, despite the historical enmity between the two regimes, to escape destruction by the U.S.-led coalition.
A number of Iranian airliners, including ones belonging to Mahan Air and Fars Air Qeshm, which have been linked to Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), were previously tracked leaving Tehran over the weekend. As TWZ noted at the time, those flights were already risky given Israeli air activity.
Out of Tehran now pic.twitter.com/XgimYy3aSt
— Status-6 (Military & Conflict News) (BlueSky too) (@Archer83Able) June 14, 2025
Fars Air QeshmBoeing 747-281F#Tehranpic.twitter.com/pkEQL9wKd1
— 360°Radar (@wipljw) June 14, 2025
TWZ has reached out to the White House and the U.S. State Department for additional information. In response to our queries, U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) also directed us to contact the White House.
With Iran's main presidential plane and other government-operated airliners now in Oman, more details about why they have made the trip may now begin to emerge.
Howard Altman contributed to this story.
Contact the author: joe@twz.com

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The Strait Of Consequences: World Braces For Potential Energy Shock
The Strait Of Consequences: World Braces For Potential Energy Shock

Forbes

time4 minutes ago

  • Forbes

The Strait Of Consequences: World Braces For Potential Energy Shock

ANKARA, TURKIYE - JUNE 17: An infographic titled "Strait of Hormuz" created in Ankara, Turkiye on ... More June 17, 2025. Connects oil and LNG production in the Middle East to global markets via the Arabian Sea and the Indian Ocean. (Photo by Murat Usubali/Anadolu via Getty Images) There are several important energy chokepoints around the world, but none is more significant and vulnerable than the Strait of Hormuz. Now, following the U.S. bombing of Iranian nuclear facilities on Saturday, the Iranian Parliament has reportedly voted to close this important energy transit chokepoint. Such a move could severely disrupt the world's energy markets. While the final decision still rests with Iran's Supreme National Security Council--and Iran has failed to follow through on previous threats to close the Strait--the vote signals intent to weaponize one of the world's most economically sensitive maritime corridors. If carried out, the consequences would be swift, severe, and global. Let's take a closer look at how we got here—and why the stakes are so high. Background On June 21, the United States launched coordinated airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Esfahan. The strikes marked the most serious U.S.–Iran escalation in over a decade. The campaign featured B-2 stealth bombers and submarine-launched Tomahawk missiles. In his remarks following the strike, President Trump struck a conciliatory tone, stating, 'Now is the time for peace.' Iran, unsurprisingly, interpreted it differently. Within hours, the Iranian parliament voted to close the Strait of Hormuz—a move the U.S. would certainly interpret as a major escalation. Secretary of State Marco Rubio told Fox News, "If they do that, it will be another terrible mistake. It's economic suicide for them if they do it. And we retain options to deal with that, but other countries should be looking at that as well. It would hurt other countries' economies a lot worse than ours." Why the Strait of Hormuz Matters The accompanying picture illustrates why the Strait of Hormuz is so vital. At just 21 miles wide at its narrowest point--and significantly bordered by Iran--the Strait of Hormuz handles the transit of nearly 20% of global oil supply. But that's only part of the story. It is also a critical artery for liquefied natural gas (LNG) transit. Many important energy-producing countries rely on the Strait of Hormuz to get these products to market. There are three major global LNG producers, each with about 20% of the global market: The U.S., Qatar, and Australia. Qatar ships around 77 million metric tons of LNG annually, most of it passing through the Strait. Its customers include energy-hungry economies such as Japan, South Korea, China, and India, as well as parts of Europe. If Qatar is cut off, those nations lose part of their energy supply almost overnight. And LNG isn't as fungible as oil. While oil can be rerouted and drawn from strategic reserves, LNG infrastructure is far more rigid. Ships must be able to dock at specially equipped terminals, and production and liquefaction aren't easily shifted. The LNG market is fragile, and supply shocks can ripple fast and violently. Consequences of a Closure If Iran follows through with closing the Strait of Hormuz, the impact on global energy markets would be immediate and far-reaching. Energy prices would spike across the board. Oil could surge past $90 per barrel, and LNG spot prices—particularly in Asia and Europe—could return to levels not seen since 2022. For countries that rely heavily on imported natural gas, the consequences would be renewed inflation, worsening energy insecurity, and even the possibility of fuel rationing as winter approaches. Shipping and insurance markets would be thrown into disarray. Tanker traffic through the Persian Gulf would grind to a halt. Maritime insurers may suspend coverage for vessels transiting the Strait or demand prohibitively high war-risk premiums. Some shipping companies would avoid the region altogether, forcing longer routes and tighter global shipping capacity—raising costs not just for energy, but for commodities and consumer goods across the board. Strategic petroleum and gas reserves would likely be tapped as immediate substitutes. Countries like Japan, South Korea, and India—heavily dependent on Persian Gulf energy flows—would be among the first to draw from their stockpiles. But those reserves are limited, and a prolonged closure of the Strait would quickly strain their ability to buffer continued supply disruptions. Broader economic consequences would follow. As energy prices rise, so do input costs for key sectors like transportation, chemicals, and heavy manufacturing. Inflation would reaccelerate globally, putting renewed pressure on central banks and undermining recent progress in stabilizing prices. Some emerging economies, which lack the finances to subsidize rising energy costs, would be hit hardest, but developed economies would feel the squeeze too. Finally, a sustained disruption would accelerate the global energy realignment already underway. Policymakers would move quickly to diversify energy sources—fast-tracking LNG terminals, expanding storage capacity, and increasing imports from more stable suppliers like the U.S. It would also strengthen the case for more long-term investments in nuclear power and renewables, both of which offer insulation from the geopolitical volatility that continues to define fossil fuel markets. A Risky Game Closing the Strait would also damage Iran's own economy, which relies heavily on maritime exports. But history shows that governments under pressure don't always act rationally—especially when nationalism and survival are in play. Tehran may view the closure as a way to rally domestic support, push back against the West, or extract concessions in future negotiations. But it is a high-stakes move with no easy exit. The U.S. has made clear that such an act would be seen as hostile—and not just by Washington. Many of the world's major economies have a vested interest in keeping the Strait open, and a multinational response is more than likely. Bottom Line The world is watching closely. Energy companies are reviewing contingency plans, and governments are dusting off emergency protocols. Even in the absence of direct military escalation, the growing geopolitical risk is already being priced into oil and LNG futures. But it's worth noting that the Strait of Hormuz has never been fully closed in modern history—not even during periods of intense regional conflict. The closest call came during the Iran–Iraq War of the 1980s, particularly during the 'Tanker War,' when both countries targeted commercial shipping and laid mines throughout the Persian Gulf. Despite the violence, the Strait remained open—albeit under heavy military escort and with soaring insurance costs. Iran has issued similar threats before—most notably in 2011–2012 and again in 2019—in response to sanctions and military pressure. In each case, the threat alone was enough to shake global energy markets, even without an actual blockade. This time may be no different. But markets are rightly on edge, because the Strait of Hormuz isn't just a shipping lane—it's a pressure point for the entire global economy. And right now, that pressure is building.

US leaders warn Iran against retaliation after strikes on nuclear facilities

time5 minutes ago

US leaders warn Iran against retaliation after strikes on nuclear facilities

In the hours after its military strikes on Iranian nuclear sites, U.S. officials suggested Iran ought to embrace a diplomatic off-ramp rather than choosing to retaliate. "Iran, the bully of the Middle East, must now make peace," President Donald Trump said late Saturday in an address to the nation, flanked by Vice President Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth. "This cannot continue. There will be either peace or there will be tragedy for Iran far greater than we have witnessed over the last eight days," Trump said. U.S. officials on Sunday morning doubled down on the president's message, calling for a diplomatic process and threatening Iran with additional military action should it choose to retailiate for the U.S. attack. Vance suggested the U.S. was not interested in a broader war or a conflict beyond its strikes on the Iranian nuclear program. 'We're not at war with Iran; we're at war with Iran's nuclear program,' Vance said on ABC News' "This Week." At a Pentagon news conference, Hegseth said the nuclear program was 'the line the president set' and that the 'overwhelming' military action should invite peace. 'Iran, in that sense, has a choice,' Hegseth said. 'But we've made it very clear to them -- this is nuclear sites, this is nuclear capabilities. This is the line that the president set, and we set that back.' 'Now is the time to come forward for peace,' he said. The defense secretary did not clarify any potential parameters for negotiations but said the U.S. was sending messages directly to Iran and 'giving them every opportunity to come to the table.' 'They understand precisely what the American position is, precisely what steps they can take to allow for peace, and we hope they do so,' he said. Hegseth said the scope of the U.S. attack -- which struck three nuclear sites including the uranium enrichment facility located deep underground in Fordo -- was 'intentionally limited" and not aimed at "regime change." Trump ordered that the offensive "is most certainly not open-ended,' Hegseth said, calling the attack 'a focused, powerful and clear mission on the destruction of Iranian nuclear capabilities.' 'Those were the targets. That's what was struck. That was overwhelming,' the defense secretary said. Hegseth and Gen. Dan Caine, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, told reporters at the Pentagon on Sunday that the U.S. was prepared for a potential response from Iran. Caine said 'any Iranian retaliation or proxy attacks…would be an incredibly poor choice,' and Hegseth noted U.S. and allies' assets near Iran. The secretary said the strikes -- which included 14 massive ordnances flown by seven stealth bombers -- "devastated" their targets and left Tehran's nuclear ambitions "obliterated." Caine said a damage assessment was " way too early" to report, but said the operation had 'severely damaged' the targeted facilities. The president suggested Saturday that Iranian retaliation would amount to an escalation and would warrant U.S. attacks which would be 'far worse' than the strikes on nuclear sites. Instead, Trump, Vance, Rubio and Hegseth are signaling to Iran that it should return to the negotiating table to discuss Iran's nuclear program. The U.S. and Iran held five rounds of diplomatic talks -- with a sixth round scheduled -- before Israel attacked Iran last week and the U.S. joined with strikes of its own on Saturday. 'I think it is irrelevant to ask Iran to return to diplomacy because we were in the middle of diplomacy,' Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said Sunday. 'We were in the middle of talks with the United States when [the] Israelis blew it up. And again, we were in the middle of talks and negotiation with Europeans, [which] happened only two days ago in Geneva, when this time Americans decided to blow it up,' he said,– referencing his hastily arranged meetings with European leaders on Friday. 'So we were in diplomacy. But we were attacked,' he added. Rubio, America's top diplomat, characterized those talks as delaying tactics by Tehran. 'They play too many games,' he said Sunday on Fox News. 'They use diplomacy to hide behind and obfuscate and think they can buy themselves time. They think they're cute, they're not cute, and they're not going to get away with this stuff, not under President Trump.' Rubio said repeatedly that regime change was not the objective of the attacks, but he suggested a renewed Iranian nuclear buildup would change Washington's calculus. 'If Iran is committed to becoming a nuclear-weapons power, I do think it puts the regime at risk. I think it would be the end of the regime if they tried to do that,' he said.

Satellite photos: See aftermath of US bombing on Iranian nuclear sites
Satellite photos: See aftermath of US bombing on Iranian nuclear sites

USA Today

time12 minutes ago

  • USA Today

Satellite photos: See aftermath of US bombing on Iranian nuclear sites

Satellite images from the aftermath of the United States' attack on Iranian nuclear facilities have emerged following the bombings. The U.S. struck three nuclear sites at Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan June 21 in what has been dubbed "Operation Midnight Hammer." The effectiveness of the strikes is unclear. Rafael Grossi, the head of the International Atomic Energy Agency, told CNN that there had been a strike at Fordow but that it was too early to judge how much damage it caused. The IAEA also told the network that the strikes damaged electrical infrastructure at Natanz. The IAEA released a statement saying that so far it had not detected an increase in "off-site radiation levels," one of the feared consequences of the strikes. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth claimed Iran's nuclear ambitions "have been obliterated," however Iranian officials have downplayed the damage with Hassan Abedini, the deputy political director of Iran's state broadcaster, saying on state television the nuclear sites "didn't suffer a major blow because the materials had already been taken out," according to Al Jazeera. Satellite images show at least six impact craters and significant discoloration of the earth around them at the Fordow facility. 40,000 reasons to worry: U.S. troops in Middle East vulnerable to counterattack Satellite photos: Iran strike aftermath

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