logo
The thaw

The thaw

Express Tribune13-05-2025

Listen to article
It is promising that senior military officials, after a four-day brawl of death and destruction, have agreed to hold the fire and work for congeniality. This moment would not have arrived without the tactful mediation of the United States, and will not be able to hold on either if there occurs a slip between the cup and the lip.
The reported first round of talks between the DGMOs of Pakistan and India was, indeed, a jiff of fresh air — hinting that normalcy will soon be on the cards. With no two opinions, the way forward is to iron out the intricate issues on the political front and let warmongering and provocation take a backseat. It is a good omen that an understanding has been reached to ensure troop reduction from the borders and forward areas, and get talking.
The hotline established is an opportunity in disaster, and should not go in vain as it pertains to peace and security of more than two billion people of the region and beyond, whose survival was at stake as the Hindutva-laden mindset unleashed aggression on Pakistan.
Now is the time to ensure that India does not opt for jingoism across the border on the flimsy pretexts that it cannot substantiate. India's unprovoked and reprehensible onslaught across the Line of Control led to the martyrdom of at least 40 civilians and 11 military personnel, as well as injuries to scores of civilians.
The thaw, meanwhile, must proceed on two fronts, instantly: holding of fire; and ushering in necessary confidence building measures so that the tipping point is no more in sight. The duel has brought to the fore a pertinent point and that is the indispensability to address the lingering dispute of Kashmir.
The nod from India to discuss the dispute, and the future status of the occupied territory, is a way forward and should be result-oriented. Washington has a responsibility to dispense in the form of acting as an honest broker, and must prevail over India to rescind its decision to suspend the Indus Water Treaty.

Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

PM Shehbaz speaks with the US Secretary of State Marco Rubio
PM Shehbaz speaks with the US Secretary of State Marco Rubio

Business Recorder

time2 days ago

  • Business Recorder

PM Shehbaz speaks with the US Secretary of State Marco Rubio

Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif received a telephone call from U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio this evening, the Prime Minister's Office said on Friday. During their warm and cordial conversation, MP Shehbaz conveyed his best wishes to President Donald Trump. He praised the President for his bold leadership and appreciated Secretary Rubio's proactive diplomacy that played a pivotal role in helping Pakistan and India to arrive at a ceasefire understanding and averting a major catastrophe between the two nuclear-armed states. The prime minister added that President Trump's positive statements about Pakistan were most encouraging for a durable peace in South Asia, which could only be made possible by initiating meaningful dialogue between Pakistan and India. PM Shehbaz asserts Pakistan's 'right to act in self-defense' in call with US Secretary of State In this context, he reaffirmed Pakistan's willingness for talks with India on all outstanding issues, including Jammu & Kashmir, the Indus Water Treaty, trade and counter-terrorism. The situation in the Middle East, particularly the Iran-Israel crisis, was also discussed, where the prime minister emphasised the need to find a peaceful resolution to this grave crisis through dialogue and diplomacy. He stated that Pakistan was ready to play a constructive role in any effort for peace in the current situation, which was deeply worrying, not only for the region but for the entire world. While recalling President Trump's focus on trade, the Prime Minister stated that Pakistan and the U.S. needed to work together to advance mutually beneficial cooperation across a wide range of areas, including trade, investment, energy, mining, rare earth metals, and IT. On security and counter-terrorism, the Prime Minister reaffirmed Pakistan's resolve to deal with the menace of terrorism from the entire country, particularly the threat from BLA, TTP and other militant groups. In this regard, Secretary Rubio appreciated Pakistan's counter-terrorism efforts and assured Pakistan of full cooperation by the U.S. in countering all such threats. The prime minister noted, with great satisfaction, the most cordial and productive discussion between President Trump and Chief of the Army Staff, Field Marshal Syed Asim Munir, in Washington, earlier this week. Both the Prime Minister and Secretary Rubio agreed that talks between their two countries must now be translated into tangible actions, across all areas. The prime minister also stressed the need for frequent high-level engagements to build upon this positive momentum in Pakistan-U.S. bilateral relations. Trump praises Field Marshal over ceasefire with India In this regard, he reiterated his invitation to President Trump to undertake an official visit to Pakistan and said that he, too, was looking forward to meeting President Trump at his earliest convenience. The prime minister also reiterated his invitation to Secretary Rubio to visit Pakistan at an early date. Thanking the prime minister for receiving his telephone call, Secretary Rubio shared his desire to enhance bilateral cooperation between Pakistan and the U.S. across all areas of shared interest. He also appreciated Pakistan's resolve to uphold the ceasefire understanding with India, as well as its sustained efforts for peace in the region. In this context, he encouraged Pakistan, which enjoys excellent ties with Iran, to continue playing its role in the ongoing peace efforts with Iran. He further noted that the U.S. was committed to working closely with Pakistan to promote regional as well as global peace and stability.

New abnormal
New abnormal

Express Tribune

time6 days ago

  • Express Tribune

New abnormal

After 4 days of combat ending with a ceasefire on 10 May, India claimed to have created a "New Normal" in relations with Pakistan. In reality, this sets the stage for continued hostility between two nuclear powers; a perpetual state of suspended conflict. Such endless strategic instability under the shadow of nuclear weapons will be dangerously unpredictable since any future escalation could go beyond the nuclear threshold. This in fact is a "New Abnormal" which requires Pakistan to further strengthen its conventional and nuclear deterrence to neutralise future Indian adventurism as it did during the May crisis. Indian allegations of Pakistan's involvement in the Pahalgam terrorist incident on 22 April were meant to justify its aggression. No evidence has been provided so far and according to their own official sources, the investigation is still ongoing. This reinforces Pakistan's assessment that this incident was an Indian false-flag operation for achieving Prime Minister Modi's internal and external objectives. Internally, Modi sought to use the crisis for electoral mobilisation in toughly contested forthcoming state elections. A senior India's politician, Yashwant Sinha, has conceded as much in a television interview. The same tactics were used by Modi in February 2019 by staging the Pulwama terrorist incident leading to the clash with Pakistan which ensured a massive electoral victory for him. Externally, Modi used the visit to India by US Vice President Vance to demonise Pakistan just as India had done in 2000 during President Clinton's visit by conducting the Chattisingpura massacre. The Modi government also wanted to try and derail perceived improvement in Pakistan-US relations following President Donald Trump's appreciation of Pakistan's counter-terrorism cooperation in Afghanistan and the American interest in Pakistan's mineral potential. An added objective was to weaponise water by illegally holding the Indus Water Treaty in abeyance. However, the Indian plan backfired, diplomatically and militarily. No country, not even Indian allies like the US or Russia or those in QUAD, blamed Pakistan for the Pahalgam attack. The statement adopted by UN Security Council did not either accuse Pakistan or refer to Pahalgam as part of Indian Territory. Moreover, the Indian attack thereafter was not endorsed by any country. Instead, the international community called for a ceasefire and de-escalation. As such, India stood totally isolated. Militarily, the outcome of the Indian aggression was even worse for Modi. While innocent Pakistani civilians were killed and some mosques were destroyed on 6-7 May, India lost six of its advanced fighter aircraft in the aerial combat. In response to subsequent Indian attacks on military targets, Pakistan carried out its own robust response in which 24 Indian military assets were destroyed or damaged. This compelled India to seek a ceasefire which was first offered by India's own army and air force spokespersons. Eventually, the Americans bailed out India by brokering a ceasefire. President Trump also called for a dialogue to resolve the Kashmir dispute and offered to mediate a solution. This proved to be a further blow for India since Modi's claim about normalcy in Kashmir was exposed along with greater international focus on the dispute as a nuclear flashpoint. However, since Modi and his media minions had built up a frenzied war hysteria, acceptance of the ceasefire was seen as succumbing to American pressure, leading to a strong backlash against his government. Seeking damage limitation, Modi claimed that the military operation had been "paused" and that he had set a new normal or new red-line according to which India would react militarily against Pakistan in case of any terrorist attack without waiting for proof of Pakistani involvement. As such India claimed the right to act unilaterally, pre-emptively and repeatedly, behaving as judge, jury and executioner. Modi also claimed to have called Pakistan's nuclear bluff by not submitting to "nuclear blackmail". As such, India claimed to create space for military operations below the nuclear threshold. This Indian attempt to enforce compellence and coercion against a nuclear power is both unrealistic and dangerous. The glaring fact is that Pakistan effectively deterred India through conventional means and at no point was the nuclear option even considered. More to the point, India itself avoided resort to its Cold Start or Dynamic Response doctrine for war under the nuclear threshold. As such, Pakistan did not need to implement its Full Spectrum Deterrence option. Consequently, Pakistan's conventional capabilities proved sufficient for credible deterrence. Moreover, the so-called "New Normal" ended with Indian acceptance of a ceasefire - just as in the crisis of 2001-2002 and 2019 which is not "New" by any measure. Even objective Indian security analysts have recognised is that while nuclear deterrence prevented outbreak of a full scale war, strategic stability between the two nuclear powers has been undermined. For instance it is claimed that "mere presence of its nuclear arsenal gave Pakistan space for conventional action" and that India "climbed the escalation ladder but lacked an endgame", which "exposed the gap between Modi's bombastic rhetoric and India's strategic calculations". It is also recognised that Modi's new normal is a "hallow" doctrine without any strategic thought behind it and aimed essentially at the domestic audience. From its perspective, Pakistan ensured that deterrence held at all levels - conventional and nuclear - reinforcing that no space exists for conventional war between nuclear powers. Pakistan also demonstrated the required conventional capability to deter a much larger military threat. Pakistan now needs to capitalise on these developments. National defence capabilities in both conventional and strategic domains need to be continuously upgraded. In this regard, our partnership with China has proved to be invaluable which requires further enhancement. Similarly, collaboration with allies like Turkey and Azerbaijan must be strengthened. India should be actively projected on a sustained basis as a reckless rogue state that promotes terrorism in Pakistan, has weaponised water and pursues policies that undermine strategic stability, not only between nuclear powers but also other South Asian neighbours. That is the only way to ensure national security in the future of a "New Abnormal".

Kashmir dispute: JI advocates participation of Kashmiris in talks
Kashmir dispute: JI advocates participation of Kashmiris in talks

Business Recorder

time16-06-2025

  • Business Recorder

Kashmir dispute: JI advocates participation of Kashmiris in talks

LAHORE: A Jamaat-e-Islami's Central Majlis-e-Shura resolution while stressing immediate start of negotiations on Kashmir issue and including the real party Kashmiris in the dialogue process has demanded Pakistan to adopt a clear stance that no solution to Kashmir dispute is acceptable without the participation and will of the Kashmiri people. In result of the inclusion of the real party the dialogues will be more effective and result oriented, the resolution said, adding if this is not happened then the peace of South Asia will be destroyed due to the confrontation of the two nuclear armed powers and its effects will last for a long time. The resolution was presented by Chief of Jamaat-e-Islami Azad Jammu and Kashmir Dr Muhammad Mushtaq Khan. The three-day meeting of the newly elected Majlis-e-Shura chaired by Jamaat-e-Islami Chief Hafiz Naeemur Rehman concluded on Sunday at Mansoorah. The Shura declared that India only understands the language of power and not negotiations. The resolution says that it has been proved in the recent war that India wanted to divert the world attention from Kashmir. It said India considered itself powerful but Pakistan's timely response not only resulted in its humiliation but also exposed its disgusting character at the international level. The resolution says that Pakistan in these circumstances instead of expressing any kind of weakness should speed up its efforts at diplomatic and armed front in favour of legitimate right of Kashmiris. It said that this is the opportunity for securing which the nations have to wait for years. It said that the Kashmiris expectations have been increased due to the excellent opportunity granted by Almighty Allah to Pakistan. At any level of negotiations the first and unwavering demand would be that India should restore prior 5th August 2019 (Article 370 and 35-A) position so that the Kashmir dispute should remain as dispute in front of the world. The Shura demanded that Pakistan should stress that if respect for the international peace, principles and justice is required then the Kashmiris should have to be given the right to self-determination, which has been guaranteed several times by United Nations Security Council (UNSC). The resolution says Pakistan and India temporarily agreed on ceasefire due to international pressure but India is an unpredictable country which has never fulfilled its promises. The resolution says that Pakistan while participating in any negotiation process should demand that India should end military siege of Jammu and Kashmir while considering it a basic issue. It said that India should end the human rights violations and allow entry of the human rights organizations and independent media in the state. The Kashmiri leadership incarcerated in detention centers from last many years should be released, India should quit efforts to construct damns to limit Pakistani share of water while respecting the Indus Water Treaty (IWT). The resolution says in the negotiations the international monitoring and mediation of IWT should be stressed. The resolution says that the meeting hopes that Pakistan will not let go in waste the best opportunity of freedom of Jammu and Kashmir. Copyright Business Recorder, 2025

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store