IMD says monsoon might reach many parts of North-West India by June 25

After stalling since May 26, the southwest monsoon is expected to make a strong revival, covering most parts of Central and East India by June 18 and subsequently advancing over many parts of Northwest India during the following week, ending June 25.
Northwest India includes the capital Delhi and its adjoining regions, which have been reeling from a severe heatwave in recent days.
The heatwave is expected to abate over most parts of North India in the next two days, with temperatures likely to drop by 2–3 degrees Celsius (°C), the India Meteorological Department (IMD) said.
Overall, rainfall activity is likely to be above normal across most parts of the country, except for the South Peninsular region, where below-normal rainfall is expected during the week ending June 19, the Met department added.
The pause in the southwest monsoon after its early onset has pushed the rainfall deficit to nearly 34 per cent, compared to around 25 per cent as of June 9.
The IMD said neutral El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) conditions currently prevail over the Equatorial Pacific region. The latest climate model forecasts suggest that these neutral conditions are likely to persist throughout the monsoon season.
Neutral Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) conditions are also being observed over the Indian Ocean. However, the latest forecast indicates that weak negative IOD conditions are likely to develop during the season.
The Met department added that the Madden-Julian Oscillation, another weather phenomenon that influences the southwest monsoon, is likely to remain weak in the coming weeks.
'No significant change in maximum temperatures is likely over Northwest and Central India during the next two to three days, followed by a gradual fall of 2–4°C. In East India, no major change is expected in maximum temperatures over the next 24 hours, followed by a gradual drop of 2–3°C over the subsequent four days,' the Met said.
For the week starting June 19, the IMD said maximum temperatures are likely to decrease over Northwest India compared to the previous week.
'These are likely to be below normal across most parts of the country, except for areas in Northwest India — specifically the Western Himalayan region and Rajasthan — where temperatures are expected to remain near normal,' the Met department said.
For the June to September period, the IMD has revised its monsoon forecast for 2025 upwards to 106 per cent of the Long Period Average (LPA), compared to 105 per cent predicted in April. It also forecast that June rainfall would be above normal, at over 108 per cent of LPA.
The seasonal forecast carries a margin of error of plus/minus 4 per cent. The LPA of seasonal rainfall over the country for the period 1971–2020 is 87 centimetres.
The Met department also said that the monsoon is expected to be normal to above normal in almost all homogeneous regions of the country, except the Northeast and parts of Bihar.
Only Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, and Meghalaya are likely to receive below-normal rainfall this year, the IMD's regional forecast said.

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Learn with AIFact CheckingText to SpeechAI Summary

Related Articles

The Hindu

3 hours ago

• The Hindu

Thunderstorm likely in Delhi on June 21: IMD

A thunderstorm is likely in Delhi on Saturday (June 21, 2025) night with the maximum temperature expected to settle around 35 degrees Celsius, the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) said. The national capital recorded a minimum temperature of 26.8 degrees Celsius, a notch below the season's average, it said. IMD said that the relative humidity was logged at 77 per cent at 8.30 am. The air quality was recorded in the "satisfactory" category at 9 am on Saturday, with an Air Quality Index (AQI) reading of 82, Central Pollution Control Board (CPCB) data showed. According to the CPCB, an AQI between zero and 50 is considered 'good', 51 to 100 'satisfactory', 101 to 200 'moderate', 201 to 300 'poor', 301 to 400 'very poor', and 401 to 500 'severe'.

NDTV

3 hours ago

• NDTV

Why Are Railway Tracks Buckling In Britain? Know The Reason And Why Services Have To Be Stopped

With temperatures expected to reach record highs across the UK, the public transport network faces a big challenge. Rail routes across England, Scotland and Wales are already experiencing delays, cancellations, and a further increase in mercury could bring the entire network to a standstill. While countries with extreme temperatures are able to maintain and operate their rail networks, why do trains get cancelled when the temperatures reach north of 30 degree Celsius in the UK? As per Network Rail, abnormally high temperatures can cause steel rails across the network to buckle. During a summer heatwave, rails in direct sunlight can be up to 20 degrees Celsius hotter than the air temperature. "Because rails are made from steel, they expand as they get hotter, and can start to curve. This is known as buckling," Network Rail explained. Most of the network can operate when track temperatures hit up to 46 degree Celsius. However, with temperatures in parts of the UK set to hit 32 degree Celsius this weekend, parts of the rails may start to buckle. When the remote monitoring systems detect that a section of track might be expanding too much, the authorities are forced to introduce local speed restrictions. Slower trains exert lower forces on the track, reducing the chance of buckling. However, despite slowing the trains, the railway lines can still buckle. When this happens, the entire line is closed and repaired before trains can run again. This closure causes cancellations and inevitable delays. 40 degrees Celsius summer Earlier this week, the Met Office warned that the UK is now 20 times more likely to witness 40 degrees Celsius heat than it was in the 1960s. "Because our climate continues to warm, we can expect the chance [of 40 C heat] to keep rising. We estimate a 50-50 chance of seeing a 40 C day again in the next 12 years," Dr Gillian Kay, lead author of a Met Office study into heatwaves, told Metro. "We also found that temperatures several degrees higher than we saw in July 2022 are possible in today's climate." She warned that the UK must 'prepare for even higher heat extremes in the near future'. When UK temperatures went over 40C for the first time that year, it was seen as a shocking outlier.

Hans India

4 hours ago

• Hans India

Rain forecast issued for Telangana and AP for next two days

The Hyderabad Meteorological Centre has forecasted light to moderate rainfall across Telangana this weekend, influenced by surface circulation in the Bay of Bengal and the southwest monsoon. The Meteorological Department predicts scattered thunderstorms and gusty winds throughout the state, with wind speeds reaching 30 to 40 kilometres per hour in certain districts. On Saturday and Sunday, there is a likelihood of moderate rains accompanied by thunderstorms and lightning in various districts. Additionally, strong gusty winds, potentially exceeding 50 kilometres per hour, are expected statewide. The districts likely to experience thunder, lightning, and light rain include Adilabad, Komarambhim, Mancherial, Nirmal, Nizamabad, Jagtial, Rajanna Sircilla, Karimnagar, Peddapalli, Jayashankar Bhupalapalli, Mulugu, Bhadradri Kothagudem, Khammam, Nalgonda, Suryapet, and Mahabubabad. Regarding temperatures, Khammam-1 is predicted to reach a maximum of 37.4 degrees Celsius on Saturday, while Mahabubnagar may see a minimum temperature of 30.5 degrees Celsius. In Andhra Pradesh, similar weather conditions are anticipated, with the possibility of moderate to light rain across many districts, also stemming from the same climatic factors affecting Telangana.