IMD issues extremely heavy to very heavy rainfall warning across several states

Pune: India Meteorological Department (IMD) on Saturday issued a comprehensive rainfall warning of extremely heavy to very heavy rainfall (red and orange alerts) across several states over the next week.
Heavy precipitation exceeding 200mm in 24 hours has been forecast for isolated areas of Madhya Pradesh on June 23, with Konkan, Goa, Madhya Maharashtra and Gujarat expected to experience heavy to very heavy rainfall till June 27.
According to the forecast, northwest India is set to experience significant rainfall from June 21-27. Heavy showers are expected in Jammu-Kashmir-Ladakh, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand and east Rajasthan throughout the period.
Punjab, Haryana and Chandigarh are likely to receive heavy rainfall from June 21-26, with intense precipitation likely in Uttar Pradesh till June 24. Delhi can expect heavy rainfall on June 22-23.
Specifically, very heavy rainfall warnings have been issued for east Rajasthan (June 21-23), south Haryana and Punjab (June 22), and Uttar Pradesh (June 22-23).
IMD has forecast further southwest monsoon advancement into remaining parts of Jammu and Kashmir, Ladakh, Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh and Delhi over the next two days, as conditions become increasingly favourable.
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"The monsoon is progressing towards northern states and is likely to advance to more parts, including Rajasthan and Uttarakhand, with some areas already covered. Delhi and other regions may be covered within the next two days through thunderstorms and monsoon activity," a senior IMD official told TOI.
The weather department has also warned of potential impacts of heavy rainfall, including localised flooding, waterlogging and underpass closures in urban areas.
Metropolitan cities may experience reduced visibility, traffic congestion and increased travel time because of waterlogged roads. Pune is expected to see increased rainfall activity from June 23, with light to moderate rain likely.
On the specific weather systems driving this intense activity, the official said, "There is a low-pressure area over the southwest Bihar region, which will move northwestward and gradually weaken by Sunday.
But an associated cyclonic circulation is expected to move in a westward direction. This system is expected to cause extremely heavy rainfall over Madhya Pradesh and adjoining regions on June 23, and heavy to very heavy rainfall activity at isolated places there till June 27.
Since this system is over land, areas under its influence are likely to experience significant impact."
The official said, "Around June 25, a cyclonic circulation is likely to develop over the Gangetic West Bengal and adjoining regions.
We are expecting the westerlies or monsoon winds to strengthen over the west coast, which is why we have issued orange alerts for Konkan and Goa, and Madhya Maharashtra, particularly the Ghat areas of Madhya Maharashtra, from Sunday."
When asked about the timing of alerts, the official said: "The Bay of Bengal system is expected to develop by June 25, but wind strength will start increasing from Sunday because of combined atmospheric activities. The monsoon trough from central Pakistan to Assam is active with embedded circulations, including one over north Rajasthan, indicating active monsoon conditions."

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