Jaguars 2025 free agency predictions: Does G Brandon Scherff return?
Over the coming weeks with the NFL's free agency period on the horizon, I will be taking a closer look at each of the Jacksonville Jaguars' pending free agents and predicting whether or not each player will return or sign elsewhere.
Up next is guard Brandon Scherff, but if you missed any of our other previews up to this point, you can find them below:
Mac Jones
Luke Farrell
D'Ernest Johnson
Scherff has been a reliable presence in the Jaguars' offense the last three seasons, starting all 51 regular season games during that span.
As the Jaguars' right guard, Scherff has been particularly good in pass protection, which includes this past season not giving up a single sack and ranking fourth among his position group in PFF's pass-blocking efficiency metric. In run-blocking grade, however, Scherff ranked 57th.
As new head coach Liam Coen said, the Jaguars have to get better along the offensive line. In one respect, having a proven veteran presence like Scherff to lean on and provide some stability as Jacksonville attempts to reshape this unit does have some value.
However, the sense I get from Coen's comments is that through free agency and/or the draft, the Jaguars are going to heavily address the offensive line and that may mean going in a different direction at guard and younger as well, with Scherff 33-years-old.
'I think we would all agree that it needs to improve,' said Coen. 'I think that when you look at, first and foremost, the offensive side of the ball, you want that unit and that group–it's the first thing that when you break the huddle the defense sees. I want that to mean something. We want that to mean something and it will.
'That's a mentality, that's personnel, that's scheme, that's technique, that's fundamentals, and that's attitude. That's something that we need to make sure we instill.'
Another part of the equation with Scherff is because of a contract restructure last offseason and the use of void years, even if he's playing elsewhere in 2024, he leaves behind a dead cap hit of $14 million, according to Over the Cap.
To avoid that much dead cap in one season, the Jaguars and Scherff can agree to an extension by February 17th, which would allow them to push some of those cap charges to future season.
But for a Jaguars team that is in the midst of a transition, the new general manager may prefer to just eat all that dead cap this year and then have Scherff's contract off the books completely in 2026.
And if the Jaguars re-sign Scherff after the February 17th deadline, they take on the $14 million dead cap hit plus whatever his cap hit would be on the new deal–and that doesn't seem like a prudent salary cap maneuver either.
So you add all of that together, and I think Scherff ends up playing elsewhere in 2025.
Prediction: Brandon Scherff signs with another team.
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