
European shares slip as US strikes on Iran fuel Middle East escalation fears
European shares
fell on Monday after the U.S. decision to join Israel in striking Iran's nuclear facilities over the weekend heightened
investor fears
of an escalation in the
Middle East conflict
.
The pan-European STOXX 600 index was down 0.3% at 535.11 points, as of 07.12 GMT. Other major regional indexes also traded lower.
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Iran and Israel exchanged air and missile strikes on Monday, as global tensions rose over Tehran's expected response to a U.S. attack on its nuclear facilities over the weekend.
In a post to the Truth Social platform on Sunday, U.S. President Donald Trump questioned the possibility of regime change in Iran.
Markets fear that an Iranian retaliation may include a closure of the
Strait of Hormuz
, the world's most important oil artery.
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Bucking the sombre mood, the oil and gas sector led gains in the regional index, rising 0.7%, as
oil prices
jumped on fears of supply disruption following the weekend strike.
Travel and leisure stocks lost 0.8%.
Among stocks, Spectris rose 14.6% after private equity firm Advent said it will acquire the scientific instruments maker in a deal valued at 4.4 billion pounds ($5.91 billion).
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Business Standard
28 minutes ago
- Business Standard
Brent crude may cross $110 if Hormuz oil flow halves: Goldman Sachs
Goldman Sachs estimates Brent crude prices could temporarily spike to $110 per barrel (/bbl) if the flow of oil through the key Strait of Hormuz shrinks by 50 per cent for a month and remains down by 10 per cent over the following 11 months. In that case, crude prices will settle to an average of $95 per barrel in the fourth quarter of 2025, the bank said in a note released on Monday. In a more severe scenario where Iranian output remains suppressed, Brent would still peak at $90 but then stabilise at $70–80 per barrel in 2026, as global inventories shrink and spare capacity drops. The latest forecast comes days after Citigroup warned oil could cross $90/bbl if the strait is shut. Brent crude prices have risen 13 per cent since the conflict began on June 13, while WTI has gained around 10 per cent. Brent oil futures rose to a five-month high of $78/bbl on Monday, before falling to $75.4/bbl at the time of writing this report. For India, an estimated 10 per cent increase in crude prices may not have much of an impact on the economy where fundamentals remain robust, but a prolonged effect may cause harm, Madan Sabnavis, chief economist at Bank of Baroda, said. 'But if it is over $100 for a prolonged period of time it would mean virtually a 25 per cent increase over the base case assumption and can have a major impact on these variables,' he pointed out. At the beginning of the year, the assumption was that oil would be around $80, and hence anything more than this will raise a red flag, he stressed. The impact on GDP will be driven primarily by how inflation behaves and affects consumption, Sabnavis said. Closing the strait Citing data from prediction market Polymarket, Goldman Sachs noted that markets now price in a 52 per cent probability of Iran closing the strait in 2025, though it emphasised that liquidity on such platforms remains limited. In an unprecedented step, Iran's Parliament voted on Sunday to allow emergency measures to block the narrow, strategic waterway, state media reported. However, the final decision rests with the country's Supreme National Security Council. 'With 20 million barrels per day of oil and 83–84 metric tonnes per year of liquefied natural gas (LNG), the strait accounts for 27 per cent and 20 per cent of global oil and LNG trade, respectively. It is unlikely that it will be impacted for long. Any short-term impact can lead to a further spike in oil prices,' Kotak Institutional Equities pointed out. Arguing that the recent oil price spike is primarily driven by market worries, it noted that prior to the conflict, oil markets were well-supplied and the planned reversal of voluntary cuts by the OPEC+ bloc was an overhang. Iranian supply According to Goldman Sachs estimates, a six-month-long cut in Iranian oil supply by 1.75 million bpd, followed by a gradual recovery, could drive Brent prices to $90 per barrel before declining into the $60 range by 2026. Despite international sanctions, China remains Iran's largest oil customer, accounting for 80–90 per cent of exports. In 2024 and early 2025, Iran's crude exports averaged between 1.38 million and 1.7 million bpd. In March 2025, exports reportedly surged to 1.71–1.8 million bpd amid fears of tighter American sanctions, according to global energy trackers. Kotak said Iranian oil production has been impacted and currently stands at 3.5 million bpd, while exports are at 1.7 million bpd. It is also not in Iran's interest to close the Gulf at a time when the country has been racing to get its oil out. Bloomberg reported last week that Iran has exported an average of 2.33 million barrels per day since June 13, fearing strikes on key oil infrastructure. Large amounts of crude have been brought to Kharg Island, Iran's key oil export terminal in the northern Persian Gulf.


Hans India
30 minutes ago
- Hans India
The covert US strike that targeted Iran's nuclear core
In an unprecedented show of military precision, the United States carried out a high-stakes mission dubbed Operation Midnight Hammer, targeting three of Iran's most secure nuclear facilities using stealth bombers, cruise missiles, and an elaborate web of decoys. The 18-hour round-trip strike was launched from Whiteman Air Force Base in Missouri under complete secrecy at 12:01 AM EDT. Seven B-2 Spirit stealth bombers armed with GBU-57 "bunker buster" bombs took off silently, flying low across the Atlantic Ocean with minimal communications. Each bomber was accompanied by support aircraft, joining the formation in the Middle East to ensure the mission went undetected. The Pentagon revealed that another set of B-2s flew west toward the Pacific Ocean in a sophisticated diversion tactic, leading the world to believe the US was preparing for a separate offensive near Guam. This decoy mission was known only to a select group of top military planners and senior leadership, including President Donald Trump, Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, who monitored the mission from the White House Situation Room. At the heart of the strike was Iran's Fordo nuclear enrichment facility—deeply buried beneath a mountain, believed to be 80-90 meters (262-295 feet) underground. This target required the rarely used GBU-57 Massive Ordnance Penetrators (MOPs)—each capable of piercing over 18 meters (60 feet) of reinforced concrete or up to 61 meters (200 feet) of earth. The Pentagon confirmed that 14 MOPs were dropped across Fordo and a second facility at Natanz. In tandem, Tomahawk cruise missiles launched from a US Navy submarine in the Arabian Sea struck a third nuclear site near Isfahan—delivering a synchronized, multi-pronged offensive in under 30 minutes. Despite extensive radar systems in Iran, no air defenses fired during the operation. According to defense analysts, Israel's prior control over Iranian airspace may have paved the way for the bombers to operate unchallenged. While US officials hailed the mission as a tactical success and claimed the destruction of key nuclear capabilities, Iran has acknowledged the strikes but downplayed the extent of the damage. Experts say it could take weeks or even months to assess the true impact, especially given how deeply the facilities are fortified underground. In total, more than 125 US aircraft and 75 precision-guided munitions were used in the assault. The entire operation spanned multiple continents, required numerous mid-air refuelings, and remains a benchmark for modern stealth warfare. 'This was the kind of coordinated, complex military strike only the US could pull off,' said Dr. Stacie Pettyjohn, a defense expert at the Center for a New American Security. 'But whether it truly resets Iran's nuclear program remains to be seen.' The world now watches closely, as both Iran and the US weigh their next moves—militarily and diplomatically.


India Today
32 minutes ago
- India Today
Iran's retaliation against US strikes could come in next 48 hours: Report
Iran could launch retaliatory attacks against US forces in the Middle East within the next 48 hours, further escalating the conflict in the region following US airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities over the the Trump administration is continuing diplomatic efforts to prevent further conflict, two US officials, speaking on condition of anonymity to news agency Reuters, said intelligence assessments point to a heightened threat window in the next day or has vowed to defend itself after the US struck multiple targets, including components of its nuclear infrastructure, in what Washington described as a preemptive move to prevent an "unacceptable escalation" in the region. The strikes have prompted fears of a broader military conflict between the long-time President Donald Trump, who authorised the mission dubbed Operation Midnight Hammer, warned that any Iranian retaliation would be met with "a force far greater than that used in the weekend US attacks".In preemptive moves, General Dan Caine, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, said that the US military has heightened protection measures for its troops in the region, including those stationed in Iraq and US maintains around 40,000 troops across the Middle East, many of whom operate high-value assets including air defence systems, fighter aircraft, and warships—all of which could be vulnerable in the event of a coordinated Iranian week, the Pentagon began repositioning some of those assets to reduce exposure. Among the moves was the moving out of aircraft from the sprawling Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar, which houses around 10,000 US personnel and serves as a strategic hub for operations across the its vows to retaliate, Tehran has so far refrained from attacking US positions or attempting to close the Strait of Hormuz, a vital waterway through which roughly a quarter of the world's oil shipments al-Rahim Mousavi, Chief of Staff of the Iranian Armed Forces, said the country will respond appropriately to the American aggression."Regardless of the damage caused to the three nuclear facilities, we will respond against the US simply because it attacked our country," Mousavi said.- EndsMust Watch