Best MLB prop bets June 17: Ronald Acuna Jr. has value amid scorching start
The Boston Red Sox, who've won six games in a row, face a tough road tonight against Bryan Woo and the Seattle Mariners.
Today's MLB props narrative: Woo, who has consistently given the Mariners length all season, struck out a season-high eight batters when he faced Boston in April. Elsewhere, Ronald Acuna Jr. looks to stay hot against a division rival at home.
Check out the best MLB prop bets for June 17, also featuring Gleyber Torres.
MLB prop bets
Best Bet: Torres over 1.5 total bases (+117)
Torres is on a one-year, prove-it contract with the Detroit Tigers, and he's certainly doing his part to earn a bigger payday in the offseason.
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A lot of that has to do with his ability to pounce on left-handed pitching.
Check out Torres' MLB ranks vs. LHPs among 160 qualified hitters:
Tonight, Pirates southpaw Bailey Falter will be on the mound looking to extend a superb run. But I'm not buying it.
In eight starts since the beginning of May, Falter has a 1.61 ERA ... despite a far less impressive 4.69 xFIP in the same span, per FanGraphs.
Falter ranks in the second percentile for whiff rate (16.8%) and the sixth percentile for K rate (15.4%), per Baseball Savant. So I don't expect him to fool Torres at the dish.
At a price like this, only the most elite lefties might steer me away from backing Torres. Falter isn't in that category, so I'm content rolling with Detroit's star middle infielder.
Key stat: Torres is averaging 1.5 total bases per game this year (91 in 59 starts).
Best MLB picks
Acuna over 1.5 total bases (-107): I know David Peterson (5-2, 2.49 ERA) is having a nice run on the mound for the Mets right now, but it pales in comparison to what Acuna is doing.
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Acuna made his season debut on May 23 and homered on his very first swing. Honestly, he hasn't really slowed down from there.
In 21 games, he has a .390/.478/.701 slash line with 54 total bases (2.6/game). He's 13-8 vs. this prop.
Acuna is 5-for-18 with two extra-base hits against Peterson (.500 SLG). The outfielder has also walked five times in this matchup, but hopefully he gets something good to hit on Tuesday night.
Woo over 18.5 outs (-104): Betting on any pitcher to push past the six-inning mark is tough, but Woo has been as consistent as a modern-day workhorse can be.
Despite hefty innings totals, Woo isn't overworked. He's reached 100 pitches just once this year, yet he's consistently going deep.
An exceptionally low walk rate (3.7%, 98th percentile) has a lot to do with that. He forces hitters to put the ball in play, and that strategy works in the offensively suppressed T-Mobile Park.
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The Red Sox have won six straight games, but they're batting just .213 with 17 total runs during that streak. That's not exactly a heater.
MLB prop picks made at 9:45 a.m. ET on 06/17/2025.
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