MLB Probable Starters Plus Underdog Winners, 6/17
MLB Probable Starters Plus Underdog Winners, 6/17 originally appeared on Athlon Sports.
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Monday, June 17th, 2025
6:10pm EST — O/U 8.5
PHI Jesus Luzardo: -204; 67.1% Implied Probability
MIA Cal Quantrill: +171; 36.9% Implied Probability
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6:40pm EST — O/U 8.5
PIT Bailey Falter: +171; 36.9% Implied Probability
DET Casey Mize: -204; 67.1% Implied Probability
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6:45pm EST — O/U 9.5
COL Antonio Senzatela: +168; 37.3% Implied Probability
WSH Mike Soroka: -200; 66.7% Implied Probability
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7:05pm EST — O/U 9.5
LAA Kyle Hendricks: +212; 32.1% Implied Probability
NYY Will Warren: -256; 71.9% Implied Probability
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7:07pm EST — O/U 8.5
ARI Brandon Pfaadt: +106; 48.5% Implied Probability
TOR Chris Bassitt: -125; 55.6% Implied Probability
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7:10pm EST — O/U 8.5
MIN David Festa: +106; 48.5% Implied Probability
CIN Andrew Abbott: -125; 55.6% Implied Probability
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7:15pm EST — O/U 8.5
NYM David Peterson: +113; 46.9% Implied Probability
ATL Spencer Schwellenbach: -133; 57.1% Implied Probability
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7:35pm EST — O/U 9.5
BAL Dean Kremer: +104; 49.0% Implied Probability
TB Zack Littell: -122; 55.0% Implied Probability
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7:40pm EST — O/U 8.5
STL Matthew Liberatore: -152; 60.3% Implied Probability
CHW Shane Smith: +129; 43.7% Implied Probability
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8:05pm EST — O/U 8.5
MIL Chad Patrick: +129; 43.7% Implied Probability
CHC Ben Brown: -159; 61.4% Implied Probability
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8:05pm EST — O/U 8.5
KC Seth Lugo: +114; 46.7% Implied Probability
TEX Jack Leiter: -133; 57.1% Implied Probability
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9:40pm EST — O/U 7.5
BOS Walker Buehler: +151; 39.8% Implied Probability
SEA Bryan Woo: -179; 64.2% Implied Probability
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9:45pm EST — O/U 7.5
CLE Slade Cecconi: +140; 41.7% Implied Probability
SF Robbie Ray: -167; 62.5% Implied Probability
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10:05pm EST — O/U 10.5
HOU Jason Alexander: -143; 58.8% Implied Probability
ATH JP Sears: +121; 45.2% Implied Probability
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10:10pm EST — O/U 9.5
SD Randy Vasquez: +182; 35.5% Implied Probability
LAD Matt Sauer: -217; 68.5% Implied Probability
LAGHEZZA'S LEANS:
My first read usually comes down to one thing: underdogs at plus odds with a 50/50 chance to win outright — Today's are NYM, BAL, CHW, MIL, and KC. Remember, baseball's inherently variant and backing dogs greatly lowers the necessary win/loss record to profit long-term.
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This story was originally reported by Athlon Sports on Jun 17, 2025, where it first appeared.

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