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Yahoo
an hour ago
- Business
- Yahoo
Iran, Israel tensions: What strategists are saying about oil prices
One of the things Wall Street is closely watching in the Iran-Israel conflict is how it is impacting oil prices (CL=F, BZ=F). In the video above, Yahoo Finance Reporters Josh Schafer and Ines Ferré take a closer look at what top strategists are saying about it. To watch more expert insights and analysis on the latest market action, check out more Market Domination here. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
Time Business News
3 hours ago
- Business
- Time Business News
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Yahoo
4 hours ago
- Business
- Yahoo
Why gold's breakout could just be getting started
Gold (GC=F) is up nearly 30% this year as investors rush into safe havens and the US dollar (DX=F, weakens. Yahoo Finance Markets and Data Editor Jared Blikre, who also hosts Yahoo Finance's Stocks in Translation podcast, explains what historic breakout patterns could signal about where gold prices are heading next. Twice a week, Stocks In Translation cuts through the market mayhem, noisy numbers and hyperbole to give you the information you need to make the right trade for your portfolio. You can find more episodes here, or watch on your favorite streaming service. To watch more expert insights and analysis on the latest market action, check out more Catalysts here. Sign in to access your portfolio
Yahoo
5 hours ago
- Business
- Yahoo
Oil slides as Trump delays Iran intervention decision
Oil (CL=F, BZ=F) prices are dipping as investors await a decision from President Trump on potential US intervention in Iran. Yahoo Finance Senior Business Reporter Ines Ferré joins Morning Brief to explain the recent pullback in crude oil and what's weighing on the market. To watch more expert insights and analysis on the latest market action, check out more Morning Brief here. Let's talk a little oil. Oil falling as investors awaiting a decision on US intervention in Iran. Inness Ferre has the latest. Hello, Inness. Hey Brad. Yeah, and just taking a look at where we're at with oil right now, we're looking at WTI that's down about 2/10 of a percent. Brent crude is down about 6/10 of a percent. You had seen quite a bit of a leg lower earlier this morning. Part of this had to do uh with uh President Trump's uh decision to sort of stay the course for the next two weeks uh and make his decision on Iran within the next two weeks. So that really sent futures lower. You also have a report from Reuters that Iran is ready to discuss uh limitations on their nuclear program. So that has also sent oil lower. But still, if you take a look at the last uh five sessions and the last three weeks, oil is on pace for its third week of gains. And I'm going to pull up a year-to-date chart, so you can see that oil is almost flat year to date when it comes to Brent, just slightly positive as well as WTI of more than two and a half percent when it comes to WTI. Look, Wall Street has been saying that we are seeing about a 10% premium on oil prices right now because of the Israel-Iran conflict. And you have uh Goldman Sachs, which came out with a note this week that is saying that they're expecting uh oil prices to go lower in the fourth quarter. Of course, if this conflict doesn't broaden more widely. Also, JP Morgan talking about uh oil supply shocks and the price shocks that you have from conflicts, those are tend to be short-lived. However, if you see a regime change in an oil-producing country, then you will see prices to the upside for an extended period of time. So all, so a lot is riding on what happens with whether or not the US gets directly involved uh in the Israel-Iran war, but nonetheless, we're seeing oil that is on pace still for a third week of gains.
Yahoo
6 hours ago
- Business
- Yahoo
ETF Strategies to Follow If US Joins Israel's Attack
Financial markets could face a sudden selloff if the U.S. military initiates an attack on Iran. Economists caution that a sharp spike in oil prices could further strain a global economy already challenged by U.S. tariffs under President Donald Trump. According to data from prediction market Polymarket, the likelihood of U.S. military action against Iran before July was 63%, down from 82% earlier in the week but still markedly higher than the 35% probability before the recent escalation, as quoted on Yahoo Finance. Middle East tensions add to investor worries already heightened by Trump's trade policies. The World Bank recently cut its global growth forecast for 2025 by 0.4 percentage points to 2.3%, indicating tariffs as major headwinds for nearly all economies. Franklin International Core Dividend Tilt Index ETF DIVI, which yields 3.81% annually, may offer a safer exposure, in this case. The fund is up 18% so far this year. With major U.S. stock indices hovering near record levels, some investors worry that equities may be especially sensitive to further geopolitical turmoil. Chuck Carlson, CEO of Horizon Investment Services, noted that an initial market dip is likely if the United States becomes more deeply involved in the conflict, as quoted on Yahoo Finance. However, he also suggested that a faster escalation could result in the conflict's faster resolution. Seeking exposure to quality ETFs like iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF QUAL makes sense. Growing fears of a broader war in Iran led investors to seek safe havens, causing U.S. Treasury yields to drop. The U.S. dollar strengthened against both the Japanese yen and Swiss franc — traditional safe-haven currencies. Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund UUP added about 1.3% over the past five days (as of June 18, 2025). SPDR Gold Shares GLD is another safe haven bet, while dividend-growth ETFs like SPDR S&P Dividend ETF SDY also offer safer exposure. Barclays analysts warned that if Iranian oil exports were cut in half, crude could climb to $85 per barrel. In a worst-case scenario involving a broader war, prices might soar to $100. Brent crude was recently trading around $76, as quoted on yahoo finance. United States Oil Fund LP USO jumped 11.2% over the past five days. Citigroup economists also flagged the risk of a negative supply shock, warning that higher oil prices would dampen global growth and boost inflation — adding pressure on central banks already grappling with trade-related economic stress, as quoted on yahoo finance. As President Donald Trump considers whether to support Israel in its ongoing strikes against Iran's nuclear facilities, a key concern remains: how might Iran retaliate? The central question lies in the narrow but critical waterway — the Strait of Hormuz. The Strait of Hormuz is a vital maritime chokepoint linking the Persian Gulf to the Arabian Sea and international waters. It lies between Iran to the north and Oman to the south, and is only 35 to 60 miles wide at its narrowest points. Despite its size, it is the world's most crucial passage for fossil fuel exports. Roughly 20% of global oil and seaborne natural gas shipments pass through the strait, making it indispensable for global energy markets. As such, any disruption in the area can cause considerable economic downside. Defense stocks have also seen gains amid rising conflict. The S&P 500 Aerospace and Defense Index reached record highs last week, capping a 30% rebound following losses triggered by Trump's April 2 "Liberation Day" tariff announcement. One can keep an eye on iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report SPDR Gold Shares (GLD): ETF Research Reports Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish ETF (UUP): ETF Research Reports United States Oil ETF (USO): ETF Research Reports SPDR S&P Dividend ETF (SDY): ETF Research Reports iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA): ETF Research Reports iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF (QUAL): ETF Research Reports Franklin International Core Dividend Tilt Index ETF (DIVI): ETF Research Reports This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research ( Zacks Investment Research Sign in to access your portfolio
