Latest news with #SvenSundgaard
Yahoo
05-06-2025
- Climate
- Yahoo
Sven Sundgaard: Don't get used to the cooldown — heat and smoke could follow
Sven Sundgaard: Don't get used to the cooldown — heat and smoke could follow originally appeared on Bring Me The News. We really seem to be in a back-and-forth of one week of cooler, wetter weather in the central U.S., and then another week of hotter, drier weather, as the battle between spring and summer continues. The next several days will be marked by a cool upper-level low/trough pattern in the north-central U.S., making for slightly cooler-than-normal temperatures and unsettled, showery weather. The cool front that swept into much of the northern and central U.S. Monday night is still evident — stalled out across the central U.S. Thursday — just by looking at the dew points: The moisture sufficient for any real severe storms (dew points of 60 degrees +) will be confined to the southern half of the country mostly into the weekend. That means severe weather outlooks remain mostly in the central and southern Plains and the Southeast. Portions of northern Texas and Oklahoma have 'slight risks' of severe thunderstorms each of the next four days. But wait, there's more! The pattern shifts again in the middle of next week into next weekend (June 14–15), as another upper-level ridge of heat and high pressure brings relatively dry weather and above-normal temperatures to the central U.S., while the coasts again see cooler, wetter weather. The other thing many northern states are contending with is Canadian wildfire smoke. Thursday, it's affecting the Chicago and Detroit areas after setting records in Minnesota Tuesday. Air quality is unhealthy (red category) for both cities Thursday. That Canadian wildfire smoke has drifted all the way to Europe — in the upper levels of the atmosphere over the U.K. and France now. Unfortunately, with the number of fires and hot, dry conditions in central and western Canada, this will likely be something most northern states have to deal with on and off all summer. Most medium- to longer-range models keep much of central Canada warmer and drier than normal. It will take a sustained cool, wet period to put out most of those story was originally reported by Bring Me The News on Jun 5, 2025, where it first appeared.
Yahoo
30-05-2025
- Climate
- Yahoo
June is Minnesota's peak for severe weather and 2025 may start fast
June is Minnesota's peak for severe weather and 2025 may start fast originally appeared on Bring Me The News. June arrives Sunday and by Monday there could be severe storms ripping through Minnesota. It could signal the start of a busy stretch in what is typically Minnesota's most active month for severe storms. "The start of June is looking anomalously busy from a severe weather/tornado standpoint. Residents across the High Plains, the Central Plains, parts of the Corn Belt and parts of the Upper Midwest should be [alert]," says meteorologist Matthew Cappucci. "The greatest risk for a few tornadic thunderstorms is over western portions of conventional Great Plains Tornado Alley. Farther east, we may see windy storm complexes pass over parts of the Upper Midwest and into Southern Canada as they ride up and over a ridge of high pressure." NOAA Storm Prediction Center has placed an area of the Dakotas and western Minnesota under a slight risk for severe storms on Monday. At this point, it appears Monday's activity will be most potent west of the Twin Cities, though storms in the metro cannot be ruled out. You get a good glimpse of what might happen Monday when you look at the European model's lightning forecast. Look at how it develops an intense line of storms Monday afternoon and evening. "We're going to see storms develop in South Dakota, western Minnesota late Monday, and then we'll see the leftovers Monday night into Tuesday," says Bring Me The News meteorologist Sven Sundgaard. "Looks like the severe threat for eastern Minnesota will be minimal or non-existent." June is also Minnesota's most active month for tornadoes, though Monday's severe threat looks to be more in the form of damaging winds than tornadoes. From 1991 to 2020, Minnesota averaged 46 tornadoes per year, with a peak of 113 in 2010 and a low of 15 in 2013. "Historically and statistically, June is the month of greatest frequency with July not far behind," the Minnesota DNR says. "May has the third greatest frequency, followed closely by August. Over 85% of all tornadoes in Minnesota have occurred between May and August." The European model is dumping a good amount of rain over the southern half of Minnesota and most of Iowa Monday-Wednesday next week. The outlook for June 2-6 calls for a likelihood of above normal temps and precipitation in Minnesota. From June 4-10, temps are forecast to normalize while it remains favorable for above normal precipitation. With summer starting, now is a good time to look how precipitation has evolved statewide, June-August, in Minnesota since 1900. The GIF blow clearly shows how eastern and southeastern Minnesota have trended wetter in the past 120 years. This story was originally reported by Bring Me The News on May 30, 2025, where it first appeared.
Yahoo
17-05-2025
- Climate
- Yahoo
EF2 tornado confirmed in western Wisconsin; St. Louis struck by large twister
National Weather Service crews have determined that a tornado that spun through western Wisconsin on Thursday was fairly strong, having been given a preliminary EF2 rating. "Our survey crew has confirmed a preliminary rating of EF2 damage for the tornado that touched down just southeast of New Richmond, WI (NW of Hammond)," the National Weather Service said. "More information will be released as we finalize the damage assessment." Specifics about the tornado haven't been released, but an EF2 tornado packs winds between 111-135 mph, according to the Enhanced Fujita scale. EF0: 65-85 mph (light damage). EF1: 86-110 mph (moderate damage). EF2: 111-135 mph (significant damage). EF3: 136-165 mph (severe damage). EF4: 166-200 mph (devastating damage). EF5: 201+ mph (incredible damage). According to NOAA, most tornadoes are classified as "weak," with wind speeds 100 mph or less. "Some tornadoes intensify further and become strong or violent. Strong tornadoes last for twenty minutes or more and may have winds of up to 200 mph, while violent tornadoes can last for more than an hour with winds between 200 and 300 mph! These violent tornadoes are rare in occurrence," NOAA says. Damage assessments haven't been revealed for a confirmed tornado that hit near Benson in west-central Minnesota on Thursday. Meanwhile, St. Louis, Missouri, didn't avoid a tornado on Friday like Minneapolis did on Thursday. Minneapolis was in a tornado warning, but nothing touched down. In St. Louis, a large tornado touched down and produced damage through the heart of the city on Friday afternoon. The severe weather outbreak in Missouri, Illinois, Kentucky, Tennessee and surrounding areas on Friday is part of a more active pattern that Bring Me The News meteorologist Sven Sundgaard wrote about.
Yahoo
14-05-2025
- Climate
- Yahoo
Snow is legitimately possible in northern Minnesota this weekend
There isn't a peep about snow in the latest forecast discussion from the National Weather Service in Grand Forks, but why would there be? It's going to be 95 degrees in that part of the region on Tuesday and the temperature skyrocketed to 100 degrees in the northwestern Minnesota town of Hallock on Mother's Day. With the heat, winds gusting to 50 mph and extreme fire risk conditions in play, there's not a lot of time to be focusing a looming temperature crash that could lead to snowfall during the overnight hours this weekend. On Monday, we wrote about how it is plausible that northwestern Minnesota and parts of North Dakota could go from 100 degrees this week to temperatures below freezing this weekend. We also noted how utterly absurd and unbelievable — like, seriously, don't believe it — the American model was with the snow totals it was throwing around. But we're one day closer to the weekend and the more trustworthy model, the Euro, is hinting at the possibility of slushy accumulations in extreme northwestern Minnesota this weekend. You can see the colder air changing rain over to snow in the Euro's simulated radar. Watch how it goes from producing explosive storms in South Dakota and Nebraska late Wednesday into Thursday morning before rain and storms soak Minnesota and Wisconsin Thursday into Friday. On the back side of the system, well to the north, is where the snow potential pops up. Bring Me The News meteorologist Sven Sundgaard says snow is "totally conceivable" when the temperatures drop into the 30s on Saturday night into Sunday morning. Check out the Hallock forecast temps... It's not going to get cold enough for snow as far south as St. Cloud or the Twin Cities, but temps sneaking below 40 appear to be possible overnight Saturday into Sunday morning. Nothing is certain and it's highly unlikely to be disruptive if it does snow way up north, but some snowflakes could be flying in Minnesota on May 17-18.
Yahoo
12-05-2025
- Climate
- Yahoo
From 100 degrees to snow? A wild week of weather ahead in the Upper Midwest
Snow in the middle of May in northern Minnesota and North Dakota? Believe it or not, it's not all that abnormal — and there are some hints that flakes could be floating to the ground at some point in the next week. The National Blend of Models is hinting at a trace of snow in far northern Minnesota by next Sunday. It's something, but nothing to write home about — and certainly nothing like the American model graphics (further below in the story) that have been spreading on social media. The American model simply cannot be trusted beyond a few days out in most cases. Take a look below at the past four updates from the American model. It shows absurd snow totals across North Dakota and Minnesota, with the snow gradually disappearing with each new update. The odds of it happening are pretty much zero. The only reason we're even talking about snow in mid May is due to a highly amplified pattern Bring Me The News meteorologist Sven Sundgaard says has become common in recent years. The pattern allows for extreme temperature swings in short periods. That's what's coming as Minnesota and the Dakotas go from record-breaking warmth to start the week, to temps well below normal by the weekend. Look how the temps are expected to plummet in the Twin Cities this week. In Hallock, located in far northwest Minnesota, temps could go from the 100-degree reading it had on Mother's Day to temps below freezing this weekend. As unlikely as accumulating snow is in the north-central U.S., it does seem plausible across the border in Canada. Here's what the American, European and Canadian models show for snow when you zoom out to get a view of North America. For most of Minnesota, rain is in the forecast for Thursday-Friday as a system swirls through the region. Snow? If it falls, it'll melt. It's still spring in the North, after all, and that means a weather roller coaster should be expected.
