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Asia rice: Prices in India edge up as demand improves; muted activity seen elsewhere
Asia rice: Prices in India edge up as demand improves; muted activity seen elsewhere

Business Recorder

time15 hours ago

  • Business
  • Business Recorder

Asia rice: Prices in India edge up as demand improves; muted activity seen elsewhere

BENGALURU/MUMBAI/BANGKOK/DHAKA AND HANOI: Indian rice export prices edged up from two-year lows this week, helped by improving demand, while a lack of buying activity and higher supplies weighed on Thailand and Vietnam rates. India's 5% broken parboiled variety was quoted at $380-$386 per ton, up from the last week's $378-$384. Indian 5% broken white rice was priced at $373 to $377 per ton this week. 'The weak rupee is helping exporters a bit. We can see some demand coming back,' said Himanshu Agrawal, executive director at Satyam Balajee, a leading rice exporter. India's state reserves of rice, including unmilled paddy, totalled a record 59.5 million metric tons as of June 1, far exceeding the government's target of 13.5 million tons for July 1. Vietnam's 5% broken rice was offered at $387 per metric ton on Thursday, down slightly from $388 a week ago, according to the Vietnam Food Association. 'Trading activity is muted, but the authorities are seeking to boost shipments to China,' a trader based in Ho Chi Minh City said. A delegation of 20 Vietnamese rice processors and exporters led by trade ministry officials visited China's Guangdong province last week to seek buyers, the trader said. Thailand's 5% broken rice slipped to $397 per tonne from $398 quoted last week, on a stronger baht and weak demand. 'I'm very worried about farmers, there is a lot of supply and the new crop should have good yield from good water levels,' a Bangkok-based trader said. Meanwhile, domestic rice prices in Bangladesh remain high despite the government's efforts to cool the market, traders said. Measures such as increased government procurement, easing import duties and market monitoring have so far failed to significantly reduce the prices of the staple grain. Retailers are still selling coarse and medium-grain rice at prices far beyond the reach of many low-income consumers.

India's rice exports gain edge as Vietnam, Thailand face subdued markets: Report
India's rice exports gain edge as Vietnam, Thailand face subdued markets: Report

India Today

timea day ago

  • Business
  • India Today

India's rice exports gain edge as Vietnam, Thailand face subdued markets: Report

Rice prices in India have experienced a modest increase this week as global demand for the staple begins to recover. This comes as markets in Vietnam and Thailand remain subdued due to slow buying and abundant price for 5% broken parboiled rice, a common export product from India, has risen to $380–$386 per tonne, compared to last week's $378–$384 per tonne. Similarly, 5% broken white rice prices have also seen a slight uptick, now trading between $373 and $377 per Agrawal, executive director at Satyam Balajee, one of India's leading rice exporters, attributes this price rise to currency fluctuations. "The weaker rupee is giving exporters a small boost, and we're seeing demand pick up again," he told news agency Reuters. This currency shift has provided a competitive edge for Indian exporters as they navigate the current global market rice supply remains strong, with government reserves reported at 59.5 million metric tonnes as of June 1. This figure is over four times the official target for July, highlighting the country's substantial rice stockpile. The large reserves may help stabilise local prices while meeting growing international the other hand, rice prices in Vietnam have dipped slightly to $387 per tonne from $388 last week. A trader in Ho Chi Minh City told Reuters that despite slow sales, the government is actively seeking to bolster exports to China. Last week's visit by a delegation of Vietnamese rice exporters to China's Guangdong province reflects these on the other hand, experienced a minor reduction in rice prices, falling to $397 per tonne from $398. The demand in Thailand remains weak, compounded by a stronger local currency that has rendered exports more costly. "There's a lot of rice available, and we're expecting a good harvest this year," commented a trader in Bangkok. However, concerns persist regarding the impact on farmers, as "prices are not holding up."In Bangladesh, rice prices remain elevated despite governmental measures aimed at market cooling. Efforts such as increasing public stock purchases, reducing import taxes, and imposing stricter market controls have not significantly alleviated the high retail prices. These costs continue to strain lower-income families, making staple varieties prohibitively expensive for scenario across these countries underscores the complex interplay of local and international factors influencing rice markets. While India benefits from a weaker currency and robust reserves, Vietnam and Thailand grapple with subdued demand and challenging export conditions. Meanwhile, Bangladesh struggles with domestic price pressures, reflecting varied challenges in global rice production and the evolving dynamics in the global rice market highlight the intricacies of agricultural trade and the significant impact of economic and policy factors on staple food prices worldwide. As countries navigate these challenges, the outcomes will be crucial for farmers, traders, and consumers inputs from ReutersMust Watch

Global rice prices have hit a floor, but India's supply glut will smother any gains
Global rice prices have hit a floor, but India's supply glut will smother any gains

Business Times

time07-05-2025

  • Business
  • Business Times

Global rice prices have hit a floor, but India's supply glut will smother any gains

[MUMBAI] Global rice prices, which have tumbled to multi-year lows, are unlikely to fall further with top exporter India's currency firming, but bulging Indian stockpiles and a bumper Asian crop will cap any rebound this year, industry executives say. While lower rice prices will benefit price-sensitive consumers in Africa and other regions, they are likely to further squeeze the already meagre earnings of farmers across Asia, which produces nearly 90 per cent of the world's rice. The market slumped in April, a month after Delhi removed the last of its export curbs on the grain imposed in 2022, sending Indian parboiled rice export prices to a 22-month low. Prices in Thailand dropped to their lowest in more than three years, while in Vietnam, they sank to near five-year lows. Following a slide of nearly one-third from their 2024 peaks, prices have found a floor, traders and industry executives said, but will hold there for the rest of 2025 limited by surpluses in all major exporting countries. 'Even after the recent significant correction, we don't expect a price rebound. The supply glut will likely prevent prices from increasing,' said BV Krishna Rao, president of the Rice Exporters Association. The association expects prices will fluctuate within a US$10 range around US$390 per tonne for 5 per cent broken rice for the rest of the year. BT in your inbox Start and end each day with the latest news stories and analyses delivered straight to your inbox. Sign Up Sign Up 'Prices will remain around the current level unless the monsoon pulls a surprise and affects production,' said Himanshu Agrawal, executive director at Satyam Balajee, a leading rice exporter. Bumper outlook for Indian exports A good spell of monsoon rains is vital for the rice crop, which requires copious amounts of water. India's state-run weather office has forecast above-average monsoon rains for a second consecutive year in 2025, which will boost production. Global rice output is expected to reach a record 543.6 million tonnes in 2024/25, up from 535.4 million tonnes the previous year, according to estimates from the Food and Agriculture Organization. Total global supply, including stocks, is seen at 743 million tonnes, well above demand that is expected to rise to 539.4 million tons, the FAO estimates. In India alone, rice stocks, including unmilled rice paddy, in government warehouses totalled 63.09 million tonnes on Apr 1, nearly five times a government target of 13.6 million tonnes. With massive stocks and the expected rebound in production, buyers are in no rush to make purchases, while sellers are competing for market share – keeping global prices under pressure, said Agrawal. The Rice Exporters Association expects shipments from India to rise by nearly 25 per cent from a year earlier to a record 22.5 million tonnes this year. Olam Agri India, one of the world's top rice exporters, is even more bullish, projecting exports could climb to as much as 24 million tonnes. The jump is likely to propel India back to its dominant share of the global market, which stood at more than 40 per cent before it curbed exports in 2022, surpassing the combined sales of the next four largest suppliers – Thailand, Vietnam, Pakistan, and the US. 'India has already started to reclaim its lost market share,' said Nitin Gupta, senior vice-president at Olam Agri India. Rupee rebound, state demand create a floor When India's broken rice came back to the market in March, demand was stoked by a weak rupee, trading around 87.2 against the US dollar, which helped to drive prices down. However, the rupee has since recovered to 84.55 against the US dollar, and other exporting nations' currencies have strengthened, too, which has prevented global rice prices from falling further, three grain dealers said. Further providing a floor, Indian farmers have the option to sell paddy to the government. If exporters begin offering lower prices than the state-fixed price, farmers will start selling to the government. The government raises its minimum support price annually, another factor that will keep export prices from dropping further. Rattled rivals Forecasts of higher supplies from India have rattled rival suppliers. In the first quarter of 2025, Thailand's rice exports fell 30 per cent to 2.1 million tonnes, as India offered the staple at lower prices prompting buyers to switch, said Chookiat Ophaswongse, honorary president of the Thai Rice Exporters Association. For 2025, Thailand's exports are likely to drop 24 per cent from a year ago to 7.5 million tonnes, while Vietnam's are expected to fall 17 per cent, also to 7.5 million tonnes, trade bodies in the two countries estimate. A 30 per cent year-on-year slide in rice paddy prices in Thailand in February sparked protests by farmers and prompted the government to offer a subsidy to rice growers. In an effort to support its farmers, Thailand has sought cooperation from India and Vietnam to address falling rice prices, the Thai commerce minister said in March. Benefiting from the price slump are the top rice-importing countries – the Philippines, Indonesia, Saudi Arabia, and African countries such as Senegal, Nigeria, and Ghana. In Ivory Coast, rice demand has grown with an influx of people from neighbouring countries, said Yacouba Dembele, director of the Agency for the Development of the Rice Sector. 'India's export curbs were a bonanza for other Asian suppliers in the past two years. Now, the resumption in exports would make buyers happy with the moderation in prices,' said Rao at the Rice Exporters Association. REUTERS

India allows exports of broken rice to cut stockpiles
India allows exports of broken rice to cut stockpiles

Voice of America

time10-03-2025

  • Business
  • Voice of America

India allows exports of broken rice to cut stockpiles

India allowed the export of 100% broken rice, the government said in a notification late on Friday, after inventories reached a record high at the start of February, nearly nine times the government's target. Exports of 100% broken rice could help reduce stocks in the world's biggest exporter and enable poor African countries to secure the grain at lower prices, as well as support Asian animal feed and ethanol producers that rely on the grade. India had banned exports of 100% broken rice in September 2022 and then imposed curbs on exports of all other rice grades in 2023 after poor rainfall raised concerns over production. However, as the supply situation improved after the country harvested a record crop, New Delhi removed curbs on exports of all grades except 100% broken rice. "Now that broken rice exports are allowed, we anticipate exporting around 2 million tons of this grade in 2025," said B.V. Krishna Rao, president of the Rice Exporters' Association (REA). India exported 3.9 million metric tons of broken rice in 2022, mainly to China for animal feed and to African countries such as Senegal and Djibouti for human consumption. Broken rice is a byproduct of milling, and African countries prefer this grade because it is cheaper than other grades. Indian broken rice is currently offered at $330 per metric ton, compared to approximately $300 from rival suppliers like Vietnam, Myanmar, and Pakistan, said Himanshu Agrawal, executive director at Satyam Balajee, a leading rice exporter. "However, these competing countries have limited stocks. As their stocks deplete, buyers will switch to India, and exports will pick up in coming months." State granary reserves of rice, including unmilled paddy, totalled 67.6 million tons as of Feb. 1, compared to the government's target of 7.6 million tons, data compiled by the Food Corporation of India showed.

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