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Institutional investors are Sandfire Resources Limited's (ASX:SFR) biggest bettors and were rewarded after last week's AU$294m market cap gain
Institutional investors are Sandfire Resources Limited's (ASX:SFR) biggest bettors and were rewarded after last week's AU$294m market cap gain

Yahoo

time27-05-2025

  • Business
  • Yahoo

Institutional investors are Sandfire Resources Limited's (ASX:SFR) biggest bettors and were rewarded after last week's AU$294m market cap gain

Institutions' substantial holdings in Sandfire Resources implies that they have significant influence over the company's share price The top 7 shareholders own 52% of the company Using data from analyst forecasts alongside ownership research, one can better assess the future performance of a company This technology could replace computers: discover the 20 stocks are working to make quantum computing a reality. Every investor in Sandfire Resources Limited (ASX:SFR) should be aware of the most powerful shareholder groups. With 71% stake, institutions possess the maximum shares in the company. Put another way, the group faces the maximum upside potential (or downside risk). And last week, institutional investors ended up benefitting the most after the company hit AU$5.2b in market cap. One-year return to shareholders is currently 20% and last week's gain was the icing on the cake. In the chart below, we zoom in on the different ownership groups of Sandfire Resources. View our latest analysis for Sandfire Resources Many institutions measure their performance against an index that approximates the local market. So they usually pay more attention to companies that are included in major indices. Sandfire Resources already has institutions on the share registry. Indeed, they own a respectable stake in the company. This implies the analysts working for those institutions have looked at the stock and they like it. But just like anyone else, they could be wrong. It is not uncommon to see a big share price drop if two large institutional investors try to sell out of a stock at the same time. So it is worth checking the past earnings trajectory of Sandfire Resources, (below). Of course, keep in mind that there are other factors to consider, too. Institutional investors own over 50% of the company, so together than can probably strongly influence board decisions. We note that hedge funds don't have a meaningful investment in Sandfire Resources. The company's largest shareholder is Australian Super Pty Ltd, with ownership of 15%. In comparison, the second and third largest shareholders hold about 8.5% and 7.7% of the stock. We also observed that the top 7 shareholders account for more than half of the share register, with a few smaller shareholders to balance the interests of the larger ones to a certain extent. Researching institutional ownership is a good way to gauge and filter a stock's expected performance. The same can be achieved by studying analyst sentiments. Quite a few analysts cover the stock, so you could look into forecast growth quite easily. The definition of company insiders can be subjective and does vary between jurisdictions. Our data reflects individual insiders, capturing board members at the very least. Company management run the business, but the CEO will answer to the board, even if he or she is a member of it. Most consider insider ownership a positive because it can indicate the board is well aligned with other shareholders. However, on some occasions too much power is concentrated within this group. Our information suggests that Sandfire Resources Limited insiders own under 1% of the company. It is a pretty big company, so it would be possible for board members to own a meaningful interest in the company, without owning much of a proportional interest. In this case, they own around AU$7.4m worth of shares (at current prices). It is always good to see at least some insider ownership, but it might be worth checking if those insiders have been selling. The general public-- including retail investors -- own 29% stake in the company, and hence can't easily be ignored. While this group can't necessarily call the shots, it can certainly have a real influence on how the company is run. I find it very interesting to look at who exactly owns a company. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. I like to dive deeper into how a company has performed in the past. You can find historic revenue and earnings in this detailed graph. If you would prefer discover what analysts are predicting in terms of future growth, do not miss this free report on analyst forecasts. NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures. Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned. Sign in to access your portfolio

Sandfire Resources downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman Sachs
Sandfire Resources downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman Sachs

Yahoo

time02-05-2025

  • Business
  • Yahoo

Sandfire Resources downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman Sachs

Goldman Sachs downgraded Sandfire Resources (SFRRF) to Neutral from Buy with a price target of A$9.60, down from A$10.20. The company reported a weaker-than-expected March quarter result, heavily impacted by wet weather at both operations in Spain and Botswana, while unit costs at both Motheo and Matsa increased sequentially, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The stock has rallied 17% since being added to the firm's Buy list three weeks ago and now looks fairly valued, the firm added. Discover companies with rock-solid fundamentals in TipRanks' Smart Value Newsletter. Receive undervalued stocks, resilient to market uncertainty, delivered straight to your inbox. Published first on TheFly – the ultimate source for real-time, market-moving breaking financial news. Try Now>> See today's best-performing stocks on TipRanks >> Read More on SFRRF: Disclaimer & DisclosureReport an Issue Sandfire Resources downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Macquarie Sandfire Resources Reports Strong Q3 Despite Weather Challenges Sandfire Resources upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman Sachs Sandfire Resources Secures New $650M Revolver Facility to Streamline Debt Principal Global Investors Acquires Substantial Stake in Sandfire Resources Sign in to access your portfolio

Sandfire Resources Limited's (ASX:SFR) Has Performed Well But Fundamentals Look Varied: Is There A Clear Direction For The Stock?
Sandfire Resources Limited's (ASX:SFR) Has Performed Well But Fundamentals Look Varied: Is There A Clear Direction For The Stock?

Yahoo

time15-03-2025

  • Business
  • Yahoo

Sandfire Resources Limited's (ASX:SFR) Has Performed Well But Fundamentals Look Varied: Is There A Clear Direction For The Stock?

Sandfire Resources' (ASX:SFR) stock is up by 9.0% over the past three months. However, the company's financials look a bit inconsistent and market outcomes are ultimately driven by long-term fundamentals, meaning that the stock could head in either direction. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Sandfire Resources' ROE today. Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity. View our latest analysis for Sandfire Resources The formula for ROE is: Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Sandfire Resources is: 4.8% = US$84m ÷ US$1.7b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2024). The 'return' is the yearly profit. So, this means that for every A$1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of A$0.05. Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features. On the face of it, Sandfire Resources' ROE is not much to talk about. We then compared the company's ROE to the broader industry and were disappointed to see that the ROE is lower than the industry average of 11%. For this reason, Sandfire Resources' five year net income decline of 31% is not surprising given its lower ROE. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For example, it is possible that the business has allocated capital poorly or that the company has a very high payout ratio. However, when we compared Sandfire Resources' growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 19% in the same period. This is quite worrisome. Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Has the market priced in the future outlook for SFR? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report. While the company did payout a portion of its dividend in the past, it currently doesn't pay a regular dividend. This implies that potentially all of its profits are being reinvested in the business. In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Sandfire Resources' performance. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more. Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Sandfire Resources Limited Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
Sandfire Resources Limited Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Yahoo

time21-02-2025

  • Business
  • Yahoo

Sandfire Resources Limited Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Last week saw the newest half-year earnings release from Sandfire Resources Limited (ASX:SFR), an important milestone in the company's journey to build a stronger business. Revenues were US$558m, approximately in line with expectations, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) performed substantially better. EPS of US$0.11 were also better than expected, beating analyst predictions by 13%. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results. See our latest analysis for Sandfire Resources Following the latest results, Sandfire Resources' 15 analysts are now forecasting revenues of US$1.18b in 2025. This would be a solid 8.9% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to jump 41% to US$0.27. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of US$1.21b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.29 in 2025. It's pretty clear that pessimism has reared its head after the latest results, leading to a weaker revenue outlook and a small dip in earnings per share estimates. The analysts made no major changes to their price target of AU$10.61, suggesting the downgrades are not expected to have a long-term impact on Sandfire Resources' valuation. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. There are some variant perceptions on Sandfire Resources, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at AU$12.00 and the most bearish at AU$9.10 per share. This is a very narrow spread of estimates, implying either that Sandfire Resources is an easy company to value, or - more likely - the analysts are relying heavily on some key assumptions. Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of Sandfire Resources'historical trends, as the 19% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 is roughly in line with the 16% annual growth over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 4.7% per year. So it's pretty clear that Sandfire Resources is forecast to grow substantially faster than its industry. The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Sandfire Resources. Regrettably, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, but the latest forecasts still imply the business will grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates. With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Sandfire Resources. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have estimates - from multiple Sandfire Resources analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here. You can also view our analysis of Sandfire Resources' balance sheet, and whether we think Sandfire Resources is carrying too much debt, for free on our platform here. Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Sandfire Resources (ASX:SFR) shareholder returns have been solid, earning 142% in 5 years
Sandfire Resources (ASX:SFR) shareholder returns have been solid, earning 142% in 5 years

Yahoo

time10-02-2025

  • Business
  • Yahoo

Sandfire Resources (ASX:SFR) shareholder returns have been solid, earning 142% in 5 years

The most you can lose on any stock (assuming you don't use leverage) is 100% of your money. But on a lighter note, a good company can see its share price rise well over 100%. Long term Sandfire Resources Limited (ASX:SFR) shareholders would be well aware of this, since the stock is up 103% in five years. It's also up 8.1% in about a month. Since it's been a strong week for Sandfire Resources shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals. See our latest analysis for Sandfire Resources Sandfire Resources wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally hope to see good revenue growth. That's because it's hard to be confident a company will be sustainable if revenue growth is negligible, and it never makes a profit. In the last 5 years Sandfire Resources saw its revenue grow at 18% per year. Even measured against other revenue-focussed companies, that's a good result. So it's not entirely surprising that the share price reflected this performance by increasing at a rate of 15% per year, in that time. This suggests the market has well and truly recognized the progress the business has made. Sandfire Resources seems like a high growth stock - so growth investors might want to add it to their watchlist. You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image). Sandfire Resources is a well known stock, with plenty of analyst coverage, suggesting some visibility into future growth. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts We've already covered Sandfire Resources' share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR attempts to capture the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested) as well as any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings offered to shareholders. Sandfire Resources' TSR of 142% for the 5 years exceeded its share price return, because it has paid dividends. It's good to see that Sandfire Resources has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 52% in the last twelve months. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 19%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. If you would like to research Sandfire Resources in more detail then you might want to take a look at whether insiders have been buying or selling shares in the company. Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings. Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Australian exchanges. Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned. Sign in to access your portfolio

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