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India well positioned to regain strong export growth as global trade conditions likely to stabilize in H2 of 2025: Experts
India well positioned to regain strong export growth as global trade conditions likely to stabilize in H2 of 2025: Experts

India Gazette

time4 days ago

  • Business
  • India Gazette

India well positioned to regain strong export growth as global trade conditions likely to stabilize in H2 of 2025: Experts

New Delhi [India], June 17 (ANI): India's trade performance in May 2025 has shown strength and stability, despite uncertain global conditions, according to views shared by industry experts and economists. FIEO President S C Ralhan highlighted that India's total exports, including goods and services, increased by 2.8 per cent to USD 71.12 billion in May 2025, up from USD 69.20 billion in May 2024. The growth was mainly driven by services such as software, consultancy, and financial services. Even though merchandise exports dipped slightly to USD 38.73 billion, the continued service momentum helped support overall performance. 'Exporters are adapting well to a tough global environment,' said Ralhan. 'The ability to sustain export growth despite logistical disruptions, especially in the Middle East, is a testament to the sector's agility and policy support.' On the import front, merchandise imports eased to USD 60.61 billion, while overall imports (goods and services) stood at USD 77.75 billion, down from USD 78.55 billion in May 2024. He added, 'With appropriate policy interventions and global conditions expected to stabilise in the second half of 2025, India is well-positioned to regain a strong export growth trajectory'. Pankaj Chadha, Chairman of EEPC India, stated that the engineering exports sector has managed to stay steady despite continued international challenges. While there was a minor decline of 0.8 per cent in engineering goods exports in May 2025, down to USD 9.89 billion from USD 9.97 billion in the same month last year, the overall numbers remain encouraging. He said, 'Overall global situation, however, remains volatile. Uncertainty has only been mounting due to geopolitical tensions in key parts of the world. The latest Israel-Iran conflict threatens to multiply the challenges for the exporting community. Apart from a rise in input costs as a result of a jump in crude prices, there is heightened concern around the blocking of the Straits of Hormuz by Iran in case tensions further intensify. Aditi Nayar, Chief Economist at ICRA, noted that India's merchandise trade deficit reduced significantly to USD 21.9 billion in May 2025 from USD 26.4 billion in April. This is expected to help contain the current account deficit (CAD) for Q1 FY2026 to around USD 13 billion, or 1.3 per cent of GDP. She said, 'If crude oil prices average around USD 75/barrel over the remainder of this fiscal, we foresee the CAD at 1.2-1.3 per cent of GDP for FY2026. While India's exports contracted slightly in May 2025, this was entirely led by oil exports. Non-oil exports posted a YoY growth for the second consecutive month, led by electronic goods, garments, organic and inorganic chemicals, and marine products, which helped to moderate the trade deficit. Further, the YoY contraction in oil and gold imports helped to contain the merchandise trade deficit'. (ANI)

India's services exports shine amid global challenges: FIEO
India's services exports shine amid global challenges: FIEO

Hans India

time4 days ago

  • Business
  • Hans India

India's services exports shine amid global challenges: FIEO

New Delhi: India's latest trade figures reflect the robust performance of its services sector, which continues to act as a buffer against the challenges of muted global demand, geopolitical tensions, and high interest rates, the Federation of Indian Export Organisations (FIEO) said on Monday. Despite global economic headwinds, India's overall exports (merchandise and services combined) demonstrated resilience, registering a 2.8 per cent growth in May 2025. Total exports reached $71.12 billion, up from $69.20 billion in May 2024. 'This uptick was primarily driven by continued strength in services exports, particularly in software, consultancy, and financial services,' said SC Ralhan, President, FIEO. 'Exporters are adapting well to a tough global environment. The ability to sustain export growth despite logistical disruptions, especially in the Middle East, is a testament to the sector's agility and policy support,' said Ralhan. Overall imports (goods + services) saw a marginal dip to $77.75 billion, compared to $78.55 billion in May 2024, suggesting stable domestic demand for essential inputs and services. Ralhan pointed out that the decline in merchandise imports could also reflect growing success in import substitution and domestic capacity building, aligned with the government's push for self-reliance. To sustain and accelerate export growth, the FIEO President emphasised the urgent need for continued support for MSMEs through the Interest Equalisation Scheme; Expedited Free Trade Agreement (FTA) negotiations to boost market access particularly BTA with US; simplification and digitisation of trade procedures to reduce transaction costs; and making e-commerce exports seamless by addressing various procedural issues. Looking ahead, Ralhan urged the government to maintain a sharp focus on sector-specific issues, and capitalise on India's growing services strength by investing in digital infrastructure, talent development, and targeted global promotion. 'With appropriate policy interventions and global conditions expected to stabilize in the second half of 2025, India is well-positioned to regain a strong export growth trajectory,' he noted.

India's exports set to cross $1 trillion in FY26 on robust global demand, says FIEO
India's exports set to cross $1 trillion in FY26 on robust global demand, says FIEO

Time of India

time28-05-2025

  • Business
  • Time of India

India's exports set to cross $1 trillion in FY26 on robust global demand, says FIEO

India's total goods and services exports are projected to surge over 21% year-on-year to touch $1 trillion in the fiscal year 2025-26, according to the Federation of Indian Export Organisations ( FIEO ). In 2024-25, the country's exports stood at $824.9 billion. FIEO President S C Ralhan attributed the projected growth to global buyers looking to diversify their sourcing strategies amid ongoing geopolitical and economic uncertainties. 'The free trade agreements, which India is finalising, would also help in pushing the country's outbound shipments,' he noted. For FY26, merchandise exports are expected to rise by 12% to $525-535 billion, up from $437 billion in FY25. Services exports are projected to grow about 20% year-on-year to $465-475 billion, compared to $387 billion last fiscal, PTI reported. Ralhan said that all major sectors are likely to witness robust growth, including electronics, engineering, chemicals, textiles and clothing, pharmaceuticals, and agriculture. Petroleum and gems and jewellery exports are also expected to rebound into positive territory. Export estimates for 2025-26 include $60 billion from electronics and electricals, $40 billion from machinery, $40 billion from chemicals, $30 billion from pharmaceuticals, $70 billion from petroleum products, $23–25 billion from apparel and made-ups, $30–35 billion from gems and jewellery, and $55 billion from agriculture. A key growth driver for the electronics segment will be the Production Linked Incentive (PLI) scheme. Ralhan also pointed to rising trade diversification as a catalyst, especially with U.S. buyers increasingly looking beyond China. As evidence of the shift, Apple supplier Foxconn invested $1.48 billion (around Rs 12,800 crore) in its India unit during May 14–19, according to regulatory filings. 'It is not just Apple—many other companies are also looking at India. Trade diversion from China will bring at least an additional $5 billion worth of opportunity,' said Ajay Sahai, Director General and CEO of FIEO. India's ongoing negotiations for free trade agreements with the UK, the European Free Trade Association (EFTA), and the European Union (EU) are expected to further support export growth. Additionally, an interim trade deal with the U.S., which may exempt India from reciprocal tariffs, could give Indian exporters a competitive edge, Sahai said. In FY25, the gems and jewellery sector saw exports of $29.8 billion, but the sector has experienced a decline over the past two years due to weakening demand and challenges in sourcing natural diamonds. While the outlook remains strong, Sahai cautioned about emerging headwinds, particularly from non-tariff and technical barriers. A major upcoming challenge is the EU's implementation of the Digital Product Passport (DPP) from January 1, 2026. Initially covering electronics, batteries, textiles, and construction materials, the regulation is set for broader rollout by 2030. The DPP will require detailed digital documentation of a product's life cycle—from raw material sourcing to recycling and disposal—which could significantly increase compliance costs, especially for Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs). 'These are clearly protectionist measures,' Sahai said, warning that failure to comply could lead to shipment rejections or competitiveness loss in the EU market, which is increasingly focused on sustainability. The DPP follows a series of EU regulations including the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism, anti-deforestation rules, and the Eco Design Sustainable Product Regulation, all coming into effect from January 1, 2026. On a positive note, Sahai mentioned that geopolitical disruptions in key trade routes like the Red Sea have subsided, with shipping operations gradually resuming despite recent conflicts in the Russia-Ukraine and Israel-Hamas regions.

India's exports may touch $1 trillion in FY26, headwinds remain: FIEO
India's exports may touch $1 trillion in FY26, headwinds remain: FIEO

Indian Express

time27-05-2025

  • Business
  • Indian Express

India's exports may touch $1 trillion in FY26, headwinds remain: FIEO

India's overall goods and services exports are expected to grow by over 21 per cent year-on-year to $1 trillion during FY26 from $825 billion in the last fiscal, largely due to a jump in exports to the US, Federation of Indian Export Organisations (FIEO) President S C Ralhan said on Tuesday. Ralhan said the healthy growth may result from international buyers seeking to diversify their sourcing amid global economic uncertainties, aided by free trade agreements that India is finalising. However, he added that despite the healthy outlook, some headwinds are expected from technical and non-tariff barriers. The latest challenge facing the industry is the implementation of the Digital Product Passport (DPP), which will be introduced by the EU from 1 January 2026. It will be mandatory for a wide range of products, starting with sectors like electronics, batteries, textiles, and construction materials, with wider rollouts expected by 2030. DPP aims to digitally record, store, and share information about a product's entire life cycle—from raw materials to manufacturing, usage, recycling, and disposal. In FY26, merchandise exports are expected to grow 12 per cent to $525–535 billion from $437 billion in 2024–25, while services exports are likely to rise by about 20 per cent year-on-year to $465–475 billion from $387 billion in the last fiscal, Ralhan said. All the major sectors are expected to show a significant jump in shipments this fiscal, he said, adding that healthy growth is expected in electronics, engineering, chemicals, textiles and clothing, pharmaceuticals, and even agriculture. Petroleum and gems and jewellery exports will also be in the positive zone in the coming year. DPP may increase the compliance burden, particularly for exporters from the Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) sector. 'These are clearly protectionist measures,' Sahai said. Non-compliance with DPP requirements may lead to rejection of consignments or loss of competitiveness in the EU market, which is becoming increasingly sustainability-focused, Sahai said. This DPP follows the EU's carbon tax, deforestation regulations, and the Eco Design Sustainable Product Regulation—all of which will come into force from 1 January 2026. He also said that issues pertaining to the Red Sea and the wars between Russia–Ukraine and Israel–Hamas have eased, and in fact, ships have started moving through the Red Sea. Ravi Dutta Mishra is a Principal Correspondent with The Indian Express, covering policy issues related to trade, commerce, and banking. He has over five years of experience and has previously worked with Mint, CNBC-TV18, and other news outlets. ... Read More

Export boost: Government restores RoDTEP scheme, allows leather exports from all ports
Export boost: Government restores RoDTEP scheme, allows leather exports from all ports

The Hindu

time27-05-2025

  • Business
  • The Hindu

Export boost: Government restores RoDTEP scheme, allows leather exports from all ports

The Ministry of Commerce and Industry has, over the last few days, taken steps to enhance the competitiveness, cost-effectiveness and reach of India's exports, including for leather items made in Tamil Nadu. On Monday (May 26, 2025) evening, the government announced that the Directorate General of Foreign Trade had removed port-related restrictions on the export of certain types of leather. Earlier, finished leather, wet blue leather, and East India tanned leather had to be exported from particular notified ports. Now, all such restrictions have been lifted, meaning these leather items can be exported from any port or inland container depot. East India tanned leather, produced using a special process involving vegetable dyes, has earned Tamil Nadu a Geographical Indication (GI) tag, giving the product an exclusive branding like Darjeeling Tea or Kanchipuram silk sarees. In addition, the government has also done away with the mandatory requirement for testing and certification by the Central Leather Research Institute (CLRI) for the export of these leather items. 'These procedural requirements were originally instituted to monitor export of value-added leather products and distinguish them from raw hides and dutiable items,' the Ministry of Commerce and Industry said in a release. 'However, with the removal of export duties on such leather categories and the clear physical distinction between processed and raw leather, the existing checks were considered redundant,' it added. Restoration of scheme for reimbursing exporters Another decision that could have a major impact on boosting India's export competitiveness is Tuesday's announcement of the restoration of the Remission of Duties and Taxes on Exported Products (RoDTEP) scheme for exporters done by Advance Authorization (AA) holders, Export-Oriented Units (EOUs), and units in Special Economic Zones (SEZs). Initiated in 2021, the RoDTEP scheme reimburses exporters for any embedded duties, taxes, or levies that are not otherwise reimbursed under any other existing scheme. The aim was to make Indian exports more competitive. The scheme benefits were available till February 5 of this year, following which export bodies lobbied hard for an extension, which has now come to pass. The move was cheered by export bodies. SC Ralhan, the president of the Federation of Indian Export Organisations (FIEO) said that it would go a long way in 'improving the global competitiveness of Indian exporters' and that the extension of RoDTEP benefits to AA, EOU, and SEZ units 'reflects the government's recognition of their critical role in India's export ecosystem'. While the government has said the benefits would be restored from June 1, 2025, Mr. Ralhan requested the government to make them available from February 7, 2025, as this would ensure a seamless transition between when the benefits were revoked and when they were restored.

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