Latest news with #NationalBlendofModels
Yahoo
21-05-2025
- Climate
- Yahoo
Forecast: A look at the holiday weekend
DES MOINES, Iowa — Our wet weather has continued into the day, and we'll likely see a few more showers this evening. Your weather timeline takes you into Thursday afternoon: It will be another chilly night with lows in the forties in most areas. Rain chances will diminish quite a bit as we move into Wednesday and Thursday, as the StormPath slideshow below illustrates. Expect a few sprinkles and breezy conditions both days. We should see a bit of sun on Friday, though an isolated shower can't be ruled out late in the day in western Iowa. Rain chances increase again late Saturday afternoon into Sunday morning. Sunday afternoon and Monday look dry. Your WHO 13 7-day forecasts follow. Highs for the next six days are above. The temps from the raw National Blend of Models (computer model data) do show a warming trend again heading into next week, but we probably won't see 80s again until June. Copyright 2025 Nexstar Media, Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.
Yahoo
18-05-2025
- Climate
- Yahoo
Soaking storm system to impact Minnesota early this week
The active weather pattern now gripping the country will bring steady rain to Minnesota Monday and Tuesday. "Showers arrive Monday and continue Tuesday with the highest amounts favoring southern Minnesota. A few thunderstorms are possible, but no severe weather is expected," the National Weather Service says. According to the NWS, the best chance for soaking rain will be in western and southern Minnesota, near the Interstate 90 corridor. The chances lower north of Interstate 94. Rain should begin Monday morning in southwestern Minnesota, leaving the Twin Cities mostly dry until later in the day. However, the rain will ramp up in coverage throughout the day Monday, and likely continue raining until Tuesday night. Sign up for our BREAKING WEATHER newsletters The NBM model (National Blend of Models) does a nice job showing rain potential, with the highest amounts — 1.5 to 2 inches — in far southern Minnesota. However, we can't throw the other models out just yet. The European model goes big, with totals of 2-4+ inches over a very large area, including the Twin Cities, Mankato and Rochester. The NAM model is showing signs of agreeing with the Euro. On the flip side, the Canadian model leaves the Twin Cities mostly dry.
Yahoo
12-05-2025
- Climate
- Yahoo
From 100 degrees to snow? A wild week of weather ahead in the Upper Midwest
Snow in the middle of May in northern Minnesota and North Dakota? Believe it or not, it's not all that abnormal — and there are some hints that flakes could be floating to the ground at some point in the next week. The National Blend of Models is hinting at a trace of snow in far northern Minnesota by next Sunday. It's something, but nothing to write home about — and certainly nothing like the American model graphics (further below in the story) that have been spreading on social media. The American model simply cannot be trusted beyond a few days out in most cases. Take a look below at the past four updates from the American model. It shows absurd snow totals across North Dakota and Minnesota, with the snow gradually disappearing with each new update. The odds of it happening are pretty much zero. The only reason we're even talking about snow in mid May is due to a highly amplified pattern Bring Me The News meteorologist Sven Sundgaard says has become common in recent years. The pattern allows for extreme temperature swings in short periods. That's what's coming as Minnesota and the Dakotas go from record-breaking warmth to start the week, to temps well below normal by the weekend. Look how the temps are expected to plummet in the Twin Cities this week. In Hallock, located in far northwest Minnesota, temps could go from the 100-degree reading it had on Mother's Day to temps below freezing this weekend. As unlikely as accumulating snow is in the north-central U.S., it does seem plausible across the border in Canada. Here's what the American, European and Canadian models show for snow when you zoom out to get a view of North America. For most of Minnesota, rain is in the forecast for Thursday-Friday as a system swirls through the region. Snow? If it falls, it'll melt. It's still spring in the North, after all, and that means a weather roller coaster should be expected.
Yahoo
10-03-2025
- Climate
- Yahoo
Northern California prepares for gusty winds and rain from new low-pressure system
( — Dry and seasonable weather with some breezy winds into early this week with a change in the weather pattern expected from Wednesday to the end of the week in Northern California. Between Tuesday night and Wednesday, the National Blend of Models has a 15 to 40 percent chance of gusts that are 40 mph or higher in the southern Sacramento and northern San Joaquin Valleys, northern Sacramento Valley, central, and the foothills will see 50 to 85 percent, and a 40 to 75 percent chance of 50 mph or higher gusts coming into the mountains, according to National Weather Service. NWS said that overnight Tuesday into Wednesday a new low-pressure system arrives in the area, bringing rain and gusty winds. The greatest impact of this system won't be fully felt until Wednesday. Woman in custody after stabbing husband in Sacramento County NWS has issued a Winter Storm Watch for the Greater Lake Tahoe Area including the cities of Coleville, Stateline, Westwood, Loyalton, Bridgeport, Incline Village, Susanville, Markleeville, South Lake Tahoe, Truckee, Sierraville, Glenbrook, Portola, Lee Vining, Mammoth Lakes, and Tahoe City. The watch will be in effect from Tuesday evening through Thursday evening as heavy snow comes in adding up to two to three feet near the Sierra crest with up to 12 to 18 inches in the Sierra communities with some wind gusting as high as 70 mph, said NWS. NWS said that the impact will be the travel which can go from being very difficult to impossible as the strong winds cause damage to trees and power lines as well as blowing snow that could cause near whiteout conditions. As of 2 p.m., on Sunday, in Sacramento, the sun is out with the temperature being at a high of 69 degrees Fahrenheit with some calm winds coming from the south with around five mph speed going into tonight we continue to see clear skies with low temperatures of 42 degrees Fahrenheit and some light winds, said NWS. WEATHER PAGE NWS said that Sacramento residents may notice a small change in the weather on Tuesday as we see winds coming in from the southwest with five to nine mph leading into high gusts as high as 18 mph, but we continue to see sunny weather with the temperature being at a high 86 degrees Fahrenheit. Heading towards the night on Tuesday, the Sacramento region will see cloudy skies with a 30 percent chance of showers with the temperature being at a low 48 degrees Fahrenheit, said NWS. On Wednesday, that pattern change comes in with a 100 percent chance of rain with the temperature being at a high of 56 degrees Fahrenheit and as we go towards the night, we continue to see showers with mostly cloudy skies and the temperature being dropped to 42 degrees Fahrenheit, according to NWS. On Tuesday, Stockon residents will see sunny skies with the temperate being at a high of 69 degrees Fahrenheit with some calm winds coming from the West with a speed of five mph and as we head towards the night, we see partly cloudy skies with the temperate being at a low of 48 degrees Fahrenheit. NWS said that from Thursday to Friday some parts of Northern California will continue to see showers with mostly cloudy skies and temperatures being in the range of high 50s to low 40s. Copyright 2025 Nexstar Media, Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.
Yahoo
10-02-2025
- Climate
- Yahoo
Back-to-back winter storms to bring snow to KC. Could third snow event be close behind?
A pair of winter storms will likely bring accumulating snow to the Kansas City area, with the possibility of more snow or a wintry mix of precipitation from a third weather system over the weekend, according to the National Weather Service. The possibility of three winter storms has the National Weather Service in Kansas City asking if the metro and surrounding areas asking in a post on X, formerly Twitter: 'Are y'all ready for a 3-peat?' In advance of the inclement weather, Kansas City will see temperatures on the chilly side, reaching around 37 degrees Sunday afternoon. The metro typically sees temperatures of 42 degrees this time of year. Overnight temperatures will dip into the mid-20s. Temperatures will be similar on Monday, climbing to around 38 degrees. Kansas City should expect mostly quiet weather through most of the day Monday, the weather service said. The first possibility of snow is expected late Monday into early Tuesday. 'Accumulations are expected to mostly stay below 2 inches across the area,' the weather service said. Recent runs of forecast models have become less bullish about this snow event. 'This event is expected to impact Tuesday morning commute so please plan accordingly,' the weather service said. The snow is expected to move out of the area by early afternoon. 'Unfortunately, this is just the opening act for a much more significant snowfall event late Tuesday into early Wednesday,' the weather service said. The following winter storm system will be stronger, approaching from the southwest and drawing upon a wealth of moisture from the Gulf, the weather service said. The storm is expected to bring significant snow early Wednesday through early Thursday, the weather service said. 'This system is expected to be strong, with the potential for 5-10 inches of snow across much of the area,' the weather service said. 'Locally higher amounts cannot be ruled out.' The National Blend of Models, which combines data from multiple forecast models, indicates that there's a 75% chance that the Kansas City metro and surrounding areas could see a foot or less of snow. The weather service said there is moderate to high confidence in accumulating and impactful snow, but the confidence in the snow amounts is low to moderate. The morning and evening commutes are expected to be 'significantly impacted.' Temperatures are expected to plummet Tuesday through Thursday, dropping 15 to 20 degrees colder than seasonal averages, the weather service said. The coldest morning is expected to be Thursday, with temperatures in the single digits. Temperatures will be in the upper 20s Tuesday and low 20s Wednesday and Thursday. Overnight temperatures will be in the teens Tuesday and single digits Wednesday and Thursday. Friday will be warmer, but temperatures will struggle to climb a few degrees above freezing. 'The pattern stays active as another system moves through the area late Friday into Saturday giving us another chance for mixed (wintry) precipitation,' the weather service said. 'However there is low confidence in this forecast being this far out.'
