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Turkey's ‘Asia Anew' isn't just a slogan—it's a growing strategic surprise for India
Turkey's ‘Asia Anew' isn't just a slogan—it's a growing strategic surprise for India

The Print

time2 hours ago

  • Business
  • The Print

Turkey's ‘Asia Anew' isn't just a slogan—it's a growing strategic surprise for India

Amid this global instability, Turkey is quietly deepening its footprint in the Indian subcontinent. Hours after Israel launched Operation Rising Lion, the Turkish Navy's Ada-class corvette, TCG Büyükada , docked in Colombo—its sixth such visit to Sri Lanka in a year. The personal reception by Sri Lanka's acting Defence Minister, Major General Aruna Jayasekara (Retd), signals Ankara's rising influence in the region. Once focused largely on Muslim-majority nations, Turkey's evolving engagement with non-Muslim states like Sri Lanka hints at a broader strategic pivot—one that deserves close attention in New Delhi's long-term security assessments. India finds itself navigating one of the most turbulent geopolitical periods in recent memory. The strategic alignment between Pakistan and China during Operation Sindoor—India's first two-front war—and Islamabad's engagement with the United States after that have complicated India's regional and global strategic calculus. In recent years, Turkey has rapidly expanded its defence footprint in the Indian subcontinent, emerging as the second-largest arms supplier, after China, to both Pakistan and Bangladesh. The strategic depth of its engagement with Pakistan is particularly evident in joint defence initiatives like the Turkish fifth-generation fighter project, Kaan. Beyond South Asia's continental core, Ankara is also extending its reach into the Indian Ocean Region (IOR), including into the Maldives. However, it is Turkey's growing ties with Sri Lanka—a non-Muslim-majority state and one of the six key island nations in the IOR—that suggest a more comprehensive regional recalibration. Few have noted that Turkey has played a significant role in modernising Sri Lanka's naval capabilities—a point acknowledged by Jayasekara. Since 2021, Ankara has sought to intensify defence cooperation with Colombo, even as its partnerships with Pakistan and Bangladesh drew the spotlight in New Delhi. Today, both Sri Lanka and Turkey describe each other as 'extremely valuable allies,' signalling a strategic convergence that goes beyond defence. For the uninitiated, the six island nations of strategic importance—Sri Lanka, Maldives, Seychelles, Mauritius, Madagascar, and Comoros—may be small in landmass but command vast maritime zones. Turkey's growing assertive engagement in this arena shows a shift from identity-based diplomacy to one driven by geopolitical calculus. For India, this should raise concern not just over Turkey's growing presence in its maritime periphery, but also the potential for alignment with China—hinting at a broader strategy to counterbalance India's influence in the Indo-Pacific. But what strategic framework, then, enables NATO-member Turkey to deepen its Asian and Indo-Pacific ambitions? Also read: China's growing influence in Indian Ocean is worrying. It harms the region's stability Turkey's 'Asia Anew' Unveiled in August 2019, Turkey's 'Asia Anew' initiative represents a recalibrated foreign policy approach aimed at leveraging Asia's geopolitical and economic centrality in a multipolar world. Framed around cooperation in diplomacy, trade, education, and culture, 'Asia Anew', at first glance, appears to promote inclusive engagement. Yet beneath its inclusive rhetoric lies a more selective reality—most notably in the defence sector. While Ankara has expanded arms sales to countries such as Pakistan and Bangladesh, India—Asia's dominant regional power—has been conspicuously excluded, or rather blacklisted. Economically, Asia represents both promise and peril for Turkey. Although the region constitutes a third of Ankara's global trade, an overwhelming trade deficit—primarily with China—clouds the picture. Through free trade agreements with South Korea, Malaysia, and Singapore, Turkey seeks to integrate more deeply into regional supply chains. These efforts, bolstered by domestic export incentives, paint a positive economic narrative. However, this is only part of the picture. Strategically, Ankara is attempting a balancing act—strengthening ties with Asian powers while remaining anchored to NATO and the West. Yet internal policy debates reflect a deeper ambivalence. Eurasianists push for closer ties with China, while traditionalists caution against undermining transatlantic relationships. In practice, 'Asia Anew' has not yet produced transformative outcomes. A recent scholarly analysis noted the limited impact of the initiative across East and Southeast Asia, despite its four-year run. Still, Turkey possesses certain diplomatic assets. With 54 missions across Asia and leadership roles in regional forums like the Asian Parliamentary Assembly, Ankara has institutional tools to deepen ties. A thriving defence industry is another tool. Localised successes—especially in defence-industrial cooperation with Pakistan, Malaysia, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, and others—hint at important footholds if not yet strategic breakthroughs. From India's perspective, Turkey's narrative of 'shared Asian values' often rings hollow. Ankara's open alignment with Pakistan—especially its 360-degree support during Operation Sindoor and on the Kashmir issue—has significantly damaged its credibility in Indian policy circles. Far from appearing as a neutral, cooperative actor, Turkey increasingly looks like a state pursuing selective partnerships shaped by rivalry, not regional harmony. Ultimately, 'Asia Anew' is neither an empty slogan nor a fully realised strategy. It is a fluid, opportunistic framework—one that enables Ankara to frame its geopolitical ambitions under the broader guise of multipolarity. For New Delhi, this selective engagement raises red flags, as it reflects less a genuine Asian convergence and more a calculated attempt to reshape regional alignments—often in ways that directly challenge Indian interests. A subset of Asia Anew still requires separate mention. Also read: Amid Red Sea crisis and China's belligerence, Indian Ocean countries agree to keep zone stable Turkish presence in the IOR Turkey's push for indigenous defence production has allowed it to reduce dependency on its traditional Western allies and expand its strategic autonomy—especially in emerging geopolitical theatres. Remember that the Indian Ocean links Africa and Asia through an extensive network of Pacific waterways and ports. Turkey's growing defence exports have made significant inroads into Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries and parts of the Horn of Africa, where Ankara's influence is increasingly visible. Somalia, in particular, exemplifies this transformation. With strong political and military agreements in place, Turkey is cementing its presence in the Horn and Red Sea regions—areas of vital strategic interest for India. Notably, the Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) of Somalia is witnessing increased Turkish naval activity, and discussions are underway for establishing a missile and space rocket test site there. This would not only bolster Ankara's long-range missile capabilities but also mark its entry into the global space arena—further enhancing its defence export appeal. In parallel, Turkey is extending its reach into the other sides of the Indian Ocean Region (IOR) as well. In 2024, the Maldives signed a major drone deal with Ankara and hosted the Turkish warship TCG Kinaliada, at a time when its relations with India were severely strained. This follows six Turkish naval visits to Sri Lanka within a single year—an engagement largely overlooked in Indian strategic discourse. While India's defence circles have monitored Turkey's growing alignment with Pakistan, they have not registered the broader, more subtle but steady encroachment occurring across the IOR. With India's strategic mindset still largely fixated on countering China, Turkey's growing regional assertiveness has slipped under the radar. Strategic discourse in India is still focussed on counterbalancing Turkey by deepening ties with Greece and Cyprus. While that is important, it may not be enough. Operation Sindoor may have been a turning point. The operation helped spark a more vigilant approach within Indian security circles toward regional developments. Turkey's emergence as a disruptive actor and potential arch-rival in India's maritime periphery should not be underestimated. The lack of peer-reviewed research or robust media engagement on this topic has been a strategic blind spot. If India fails to rigorously assess Ankara's evolving role in its near and extended backyard, it risks being encircled on yet another front. A comprehensive strategic review is no longer optional—it is imperative. Swasti Rao is a consulting editor at ThePrint and a foreign policy expert. She tweets @swasrao. Views are personal. (Edited by Prashant)

These five nations impose severe restrictions on their Muslim population due to...; not India, US, UK, Germany, the names are...
These five nations impose severe restrictions on their Muslim population due to...; not India, US, UK, Germany, the names are...

India.com

time2 hours ago

  • Politics
  • India.com

These five nations impose severe restrictions on their Muslim population due to...; not India, US, UK, Germany, the names are...

Representational Image/AI-generated. Islam is currently fastest growing religion in the world and the global Muslim population is increasing at a rapid pace, which is estimated to hit 3 billion mark by the year 2060, according to a study by the Pew Research Center. The majority of Muslim population is concentrated in Muslim-majority nations, (India is the exception here), with Indonesia topping the list followed by Pakistan, India and Bangladesh, in addition to the Middle East and North Africa. However, a large number of Muslims also live in non-Muslim countries, and there a few countries where Muslims face severe religious discrimination due to a multitude of factors, including but not limited to racial features, culture, and religious practices. Here are five nations which impose harsh restrictions on their Muslim population, even as some of them are touted as 'liberal democracies'. France : While France touts itself as a 'liberal democracy' where all religions, races, and ethnicities are treated equally, the French authorities impose severe restrictions on Muslims, including prohibition on wearing Hijab in schools and government institutions, citing secular laws, and a complete ban on the display of religious symbols in public spaces. : While France touts itself as a 'liberal democracy' where all religions, races, and ethnicities are treated equally, the French authorities impose severe restrictions on Muslims, including prohibition on wearing Hijab in schools and government institutions, citing secular laws, and a complete ban on the display of religious symbols in public spaces. China : The all-weather 'Iron brother' of Muslim-majority Pakistan, China has committed untold atrocities upon the Uighur Muslims, an ethno-religious minority native to the Xinjiang region. According to human rights groups, Uighur are banned from performing any religious activities, and often imprisoned in forced re-education detention camps. : The all-weather 'Iron brother' of Muslim-majority Pakistan, China has committed untold atrocities upon the Uighur Muslims, an ethno-religious minority native to the Xinjiang region. According to human rights groups, Uighur are banned from performing any religious activities, and often imprisoned in forced re-education detention camps. Russia : Russia, an ally of China, is also harsh on its Muslim population, especially in Chechnya and other Muslim-majority areas, where religious places are monitored, number of mosques is restricted, and Muslims are often are labelled as extremists for keeping long beards or wearing skull caps. : Russia, an ally of China, is also harsh on its Muslim population, especially in Chechnya and other Muslim-majority areas, where religious places are monitored, number of mosques is restricted, and Muslims are often are labelled as extremists for keeping long beards or wearing skull caps. Denmark : Another 'liberal democracy', Denmark has banned burqa and niqab in public places. Additionally, many of its far-right leaders often spew venom against Islam, isolating the country's Muslim population. : Another 'liberal democracy', Denmark has banned burqa and niqab in public places. Additionally, many of its far-right leaders often spew venom against Islam, isolating the country's Muslim population. Myanmar: Last but not the least, Myanmar's military junta has carried out a horrific genocide of the ethnic Rohingya Muslims, killing hundreds of thousands, forcing millions out of the country and seek refuge in nearby nations, including India. The United Nations has called the violence perpetrated against Rohingyas as ethnic cleansing. Why nations impose restriction on Muslims? Muslims, due to their distinctive culture and religious practices, are often vilified as the 'other' or portrayed as a 'threat' by political parties/outfits, in order to gain votes or support from the majority, especially in democracies. Terrorists attacks are often used by the international media to vilify Muslims as they make attempts to blame the whole community and religion for the barbaric acts committed by a few. Additionally, far-right groups in several countries have inculcated an irrational fear among the local populace that Muslim culture will 'erase' theirs in the long run, which has led to a rise in Islamophobia in these regions.

We've used just 5% of total potential: Iranian general says only 30% of military strength deployed, warns they are escalating slowly
We've used just 5% of total potential: Iranian general says only 30% of military strength deployed, warns they are escalating slowly

Time of India

time12 hours ago

  • Politics
  • Time of India

We've used just 5% of total potential: Iranian general says only 30% of military strength deployed, warns they are escalating slowly

Ceasefire will help weakened enemy, says Iran 'Pakistan will nuke Israel' Live Events MORE STORIES FOR YOU ✕ « Back to recommendation stories I don't want to see these stories because They are not relevant to me They disrupt the reading flow Others SUBMIT Pakistan's defence minister calls for Muslim unity Rising toll from Israel-Iran missile exchange (You can now subscribe to our (You can now subscribe to our Economic Times WhatsApp channel Iranian Revolutionary Guard senior commander General Mohsen Rezaei has claimed that Iran has deployed only 30 per cent of its current military capabilities and just 5 per cent of its total potential in the ongoing conflict with Israel. He warned that any ceasefire at this stage would allow Israel to regroup and restart attacks. 'We have not yet used all of our weapons, nor the Strait of Hormuz , nor oil, nor naval power, nor the capabilities of our friends and allies,' Rezaei said during a televised hinted that Tehran is ready to intensify military operations further if required. Rezaei said agreeing to a ceasefire now would be a strategic mistake. 'Agreeing to a ceasefire at this stage would only reignite conflict allowing a weakened enemy to regroup,' he warned. According to him, Iran is 'steadily intensifying its military campaign,' and the military has deliberately escalated operations slowly.'One of the reasons we are gradually escalating operations is to give people the opportunity to leave the area,' he in the week, Rezaei also claimed that Pakistan had assured Iran it would retaliate with nuclear weapons if Israel launched a nuclear strike on Iranian territory.'Pakistan has assured us that if Israel uses a nuclear bomb on Iran, they will attack Israel with a nuclear bomb,' said comment was made on Iranian state television, but no Pakistani official has publicly confirmed or responded to the June 14, Pakistan's defence minister Khawaja Asif addressed the national assembly, saying, 'Israel has targeted Iran, Yemen, and Palestine. If Muslim nations don't unite now, each will face the same fate.'He also urged Muslim-majority nations to sever diplomatic ties with Israel and called on the Organisation of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) to create a joint strategy in launched a coordinated wave of airstrikes across Iran on June 14, targeting military and nuclear infrastructure. In response, Iran launched missile attacks into Israeli territory. Despite growing casualties and regional tensions, Iran has signalled that the conflict could escalate further.

Pinarayi Vijayan parroting RSS's narrative against Muslim majority Malappuram: Kerala LoP
Pinarayi Vijayan parroting RSS's narrative against Muslim majority Malappuram: Kerala LoP

India Gazette

timea day ago

  • Politics
  • India Gazette

Pinarayi Vijayan parroting RSS's narrative against Muslim majority Malappuram: Kerala LoP

Kochi (Kerala) [India], June 19 (ANI): VD Satheesan, Leader of Opposition in the Kerala Assembly, on Thursday accused the ruling Communist Party of India (Marxist) of having an unholy nexus with the BJP. He also accused Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan of parroting the RSS's 'narrative' against Malappuram, a Muslim-majority district in Kerala. He said that though the construction work on national highways caused numerous mishaps in the State, the LDF government did not have any complaints against the Centre. He cited this as one of the examples of the 'unholy nexus.' 'In Kerala, there is an unholy nexus between the CPI(M) and the BJP. It is very clear. For example, construction work on national highways causes numerous accidents, mishaps, and falls. Still, unfortunately, the state government doesn't have any complaints against the central government,' Satheesan told ANI. 'When the chief minister and the PWD minister (PA Mohammed Riyas) met the surface transport minister (Nitin Gadkari), he adorned him with a garland and presented him with a prize box... The CPI(M) and the Chief Minister are repeating the narrative of the RSS against Malappuram district; they are saying that almost all the people in Malappuram are criminals, smugglers, and doing shady activities,' he added. Satheesan's remarks came amid the voting in the Nilambur Assembly byelection in the Malappuram district. The campaign for the bypoll saw bitter trading of charges between the ruling LDF and the UDF. During the election campaign, LDF leaders, including the Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan, slammed the Congress-led UDF for accepting Jamaat-e-Islami's support for its candidate. Hitting back, the UDF leaders accused the ruling alliance of fomenting Islamophobia. However, the Chief Minister said that opposing Jamaat-e-Islami's theocratic ideology was not tantamount to stoking Islamophobia. The bye-election is crucial for both the ruling LDF and the UDF, as the results will be seen as a reflection of voter sentiment ahead of the 2026 Assembly polls in the State. Earlier, stressing that the Nilambur by-election is the semi-final before the 2026 Assembly polls, Kerala LoP and Congress MLA VD Satheesan said that they will emerge victorious, which will mark the beginning of the United Democratic Front's (UDF) return to the state. (ANI) .

Stephen Miller: how an anti-immigrant crusade is remaking US policy
Stephen Miller: how an anti-immigrant crusade is remaking US policy

France 24

timea day ago

  • Politics
  • France 24

Stephen Miller: how an anti-immigrant crusade is remaking US policy

Stephen Miller no longer feels at home in his country. As tens of thousands of people across Los Angeles took to the streets last weekend to protest against a wave of immigration enforcement raids on workplaces and warehouses in the city's garment district, the deputy White House chief of staff took to social media to square off against Californian Governor Gavin Newsom. 'Huge swaths of the city where I was born now resemble failed third world nations,' he wrote. 'A ruptured, balkanised society of strangers.' Miller has become the face of US President Donald Trump's anti-immigration policies at their most militant. He is a figure who increasingly frames his calls for mass deportations as a public safety measure to keep the West free from foreign invaders pouring in from the global South – despite the government's own findings that even illegal immigrants commit crimes at dramatically lower rates than US-born nationals. During Trump's first term in the White House, Miller was the key architect of the president's 'Muslim ban', a 2017 executive order that banned people from six Muslim-majority countries from entering the US. Miller was also a vocal supporter of the policy of deliberately separating children from their parents at the Mexican border to discourage families from trying to seek asylum – a practice that reached new heights as a deliberately punitive measure under Trump. Miller has hardly softened since his return to the halls of the White House. Weeks before the wave of armed US Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) raids on workplaces set off mass demonstrations in Los Angeles, Miller hammered the agency's leadership for its failure to make arrests at a rate that would allow Trump to keep his pledge to deport a million undocumented migrants in his first year. What the country needed, he said, was 3,000 arrests each and every day – a dizzying increase from the daily average of about 650 in the president's first five months in office. As of 2023, more than 13.7 million people were believed to be living in the US without legal authorisation, according to the Migration Policy Institute. The mass demonstrations that greeted this rise in arrests has so far not deterred the administration. Echoing Miller's warnings of degenerating inner cities overrun with foreign invaders, Trump on Monday called on ICE to ramp up their raids in Democratic-run cities such as Los Angeles, New York and Chicago, accusing the Democratic Party – without evidence – of using millions of undocumented migrants to artificially bloat their voter base and steal elections. 'I have directed my entire Administration to put every resource possible behind this effort, and reverse the tie of Mass Destruction Migration that has turned once idyllic Towns into scenes of Third World Dystopia,' he wrote on social media. Rut Bermejo Casado, associate professor in politics and public policies at the Universidad Rey Juan Carlos, said that Miller had played a powerful role in changing the public debate around immigration during the Trump interregnum. 'I think he's key,' she said. 'He has had time to strategically plan his policies from the first administration to the second one, and he has refined the coherence of the discourse – a cultural nativist discourse. During the first administration, [the Muslim ban] or the policy about separating families were just initiatives, not very well planned in advance. He has since had time to plan the discourse and the methods very well, to do it in a more rational way, and also to make it more difficult to … stop all of them.' Enfant terrible Miller, 39, rose quickly from being a congressional staffer to sit at the right hand of the president of the United States. Born and raised in the wealthy liberal enclave of Santa Monica in southern California, Miller found himself thrust into the state school system after an earthquake devastated a number of rental properties managed by his family's real estate business. In high school, Miller quickly made a name for himself as an arch-contrarian with a taste – and talent – for provoking his liberal peers. In a school divided between largely working-class Latinos and children from wealthier White families, he railed against his classmates' supposed lack of ' basic English skills ' and the school's policy of making announcements in both Spanish and English. Classmates recall a young Miller ostentatiously leaving his garbage lying around for custodial workers to clean up, at one point standing up to deliver a now-infamous speech calling on his classmates to throw their leftovers on the ground, according to Jean Guerrero's book, "Hatemonger: Stephen Miller, Donald Trump, and the White Nationalist Agenda." 'Am I the only one who is sick and tired of being told to pick up my trash when we have plenty of janitors who are paid to do it for us?' he said. Warming to his role, the teenage Miller became an unrelenting critic of the school administration's allegedly liberal leanings and soon caught the attention of Larry Elder, a right-wing radio host who would have the ferociously articulate Miller on as a guest more than 70 times. At North Carolina's elite Duke University, Miller quickly leveraged his growing media presence and ties with right-wing ideologues such as David Horowitz to land a gig as a bi-weekly columnist for the campus newspaper. Flourishing in the tense climate of the US War on Terror, he was the national campus coordinator of Horowitz's Terrorism Awareness Project, designed to warn students of " Islamofascism", the threat of Islamic jihad and 'mobilise support for the defence of America and the civilisation of the West'. His big break came when three White lacrosse players were accused of raping a Black woman who had been hired to strip for them. Miller's outspoken support for the three men became a constant refrain across the national right-wing media landscape, with the college junior appearing on the Bill O'Reilly Show and Nancy Grace to denounce what he called 'the moral bankruptcy of the left's politically correct orthodoxy and the corruption of our culture'. When the players were found not guilty after a four-month secret investigation by the state attorney general, Miller championed it as a vindication of his view that the US had become a hostile place for White Americans. 'Three of our peers faced a devastating year-long persecution because they were White and their accuser Black,' he wrote. Rising star Miller's newfound national celebrity catapulted him into the fast-radicalising world of Republican politics, where he landed his first job as press secretary first to Tea Party heavyweight Michelle Bachmann and then Alabama senator Jeff Sessions. While working for Sessions, Miller played a key role in torpedoing a bipartisan immigration bill that would have tightened border security while providing a pathway to citizenship for millions of undocumented migrants in the US. The proposed legislation's collapse would mark an abrupt end to the Republican party's efforts to reach a compromise on undocumented migration, wilting before the onslaught of rising far-right calls for mass deportations. It was during these formative years that Miller would deepen his contacts with far-right figures such as Steve Bannon, frequently lobbying his publication Breitbart to cite reports from the explicitly anti-immigration Centre for Immigration Studies, a think-tank founded by the eugenicist John Tanton. 01:40 In leaked emails, he enthusiastically encouraged the publication to draw comparisons between US immigration policy and Le Camp des Saints, a French dystopian novel popular across the far right that imagines refugees from the global South flooding the West and overwhelming its White population. When Trump announced his presidential bid with a promise to crack down on irregular immigration and build a wall on the Mexico border, Miller launched himself into the campaign. Bermejo Casado said that Miller and his allies had been instrumental in the growing militarisation of immigration policy in the US. 'If they say that we are in a crisis, we are in an exceptional time, we need exceptional measures, that brings onto the table methods and tools that were unpalatable or would be considered draconian if we were in another moment,' she said. No more half-measures During Trump's first term, Miller led the fight to dismantle Obama's Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals, a programme giving short-term renewable protections to undocumented migrants who had been brought to the US as children. He fought for, and won, a sharp reduction in the number of refugees accepted by the US each year – despite the fact that Miller's own family fled to the US at the turn of the century to escape anti-Semitic pogroms in the Russian Empire. Kathleen Bush-Joseph, a lawyer and policy analyst with the Migration Policy Institute's US Immigration Policy Program, said that the US's longstanding gridlock over immigration reform had given Trump a powerful platform on which to call for drastic action. 'The fact that the US immigration system is so outdated and overwhelmed and under-resourced means that yes, Trump has been able to exploit some of these really long-standing problems,' she said. 'In terms of the politics, even under the Biden administration there were leaders of so-called sanctuary jurisdictions who were calling for more federal action. They wanted coordination of new arrivals, they wanted help with the reception of tens of thousands of people who didn't have community ties that were trying to go into these city shelters – which are not designed for receiving immigrant families in such large numbers. So some of this is really a reflection at the end of the day of congressional inaction.' She said that the relentless spectacle of armed ICE raids and military planes packed with shackled deportees were designed to send a very clear message to Trump's base. 'Manufactured crisis of the nation: Stephen Miller depicting L.A. protests as an existential fight' 18:36 'There's rhetoric, and there are images,' she said. 'And there are these high-profile moves like Alien Enemies Act deportations, putting people in jail in El Salvador, sending people to Guantanamo Bay, using military planes for deportations. These are a very calculated part of the administration's rhetoric and narrative, and the story that they're trying to tell about immigration. And while those moves are happening, they've been laying the groundwork for doing the things that will actually lead to the deportation of large numbers of people over time – because the high-profile ones are not that.' Despite Miller's zeal, though, the ICE raids that set off the Los Angeles protests reveal the extent to which the Trump administration has been hard-pressed to deliver on its promised mass deportations. Liam Haller, a researcher at the German Centre for Integration and Migration Research, said that ICE just didn't have the means to make Miller's dream a reality. 'While immigration hawks such as Miller have certainly achieved short-term policy implementations such as increased ICE raids, long-term or fundamental reforms remain elusive,' he said. 'Although the ICE raids have garnered much attention and significant blowback, the agency is fundamentally constrained. They still do not have the manpower to enact deportations on the scale originally envisioned – which is largely why deportation numbers under Trump's second term still fall near where they were under Obama.' With Trump's 'Big Beautiful Bill' potentially devoting more than $150 billion to immigration enforcement, including the hiring of 10,000 new ICE agents and the construction of new detention centres capable of housing 100,000, Miller's dream of mass deportations may soon find itself on surer footing. In any case, Bermejo Casado said, the architect of Trump's most hardline immigration policies had already succeeded in taking the debate around migration into muddier waters. 'I think there has been a change – before, the discourse was to control borders, to focus on irregular migrants, but I think that focus has blurred in the last years, and particularly with the far-right discourse against migration,' she said. 'But it's very different, because in one case you are focusing on 'They are not law-abiding people' and this other one your focus is that 'They are not like us – they are different, they are not culturally integrated'. And that is also part of the discourse of Miller.'

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