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Expert says Canada's current wildfire season could match country's most destructive year
Expert says Canada's current wildfire season could match country's most destructive year

CBC

time06-06-2025

  • Climate
  • CBC

Expert says Canada's current wildfire season could match country's most destructive year

One expert says Canada could be set to repeat its record-setting wildfire season from two years ago. The area that wildfires have burned so far this year matches the rate at which fires spread in 2023, said John Vaillant, author of Fire Weather: The Making of a Beast, during an interview on CBC Morning Live on Thursday. By the end of 2023, more than 6,000 fires had torched an unprecedented 15 million hectares across Canada. "Just two years ago was the worst fire season in Canadian history by far, and what I'm really sorry to say … is 2025 looks like it's shaping up to be a repeat of 2023," said Valliant. "In terms of hectares burned by this date, we're on pace with 2023 right now." WATCH | Wildfire expert answers your questions on fire prevention, control: Wildfire expert answers your questions on fire prevention, control 17 hours ago Duration 16:38 John Vaillant, author of Fire Weather: A True Story from a Hotter World, answers viewer questions on fire prevention, the resources needed to bring wildfires under control and why they're becoming more frequent and intense. Currently, Canada has three times the amount of land area burned from wildfires compared to the 10-year average, according to statistics from Natural Resources Canada. As of May 30, more than 1,400,000 hectares have been burned across Canada due to wildfires this year. Saskatchewan and Manitoba are the two provinces that have seen the most land burned by wildfires this year. As of May 30, Manitoba and Saskatchewan had almost five times and 10 times their average amount of hectares burned by wildfire compared to the 10-year average. June weather is crucial The extreme fire conditions can be attributed to an early heat wave in the eastern Canadian Prairie region, with temperatures hitting as high as 38 C in Manitoba, said Kyle Brittain, an Alberta-based weather specialist, in an interview on Edmonton AM this week. "If we look back through the month of May, it was warmer and drier than average through a huge chunk of the Prairie provinces where most of the bad fire situation has really been focused," Brittain said. "So anytime you have these extreme heat events that just really contributes to the drying of the forest fuels and then it's really hot, dry, windy weather on the day-to-day that can really contribute to these rapid rates of spread in the extreme fire behaviour that we've been seeing." Whether or not Western Canada will see its wildfire situation improve will depend on the amount of rain in June, said Brittain. "It's June, Western Canada's wettest month … If the rains show up, it can tilt the season either way. If they don't show up, we're almost guaranteed to have a pretty bad fire season persisting."

Welcome to fire weather: there's more on the way
Welcome to fire weather: there's more on the way

Winnipeg Free Press

time20-05-2025

  • Climate
  • Winnipeg Free Press

Welcome to fire weather: there's more on the way

Opinion Last year I attended a talk given by author John Vaillant whose award-winning book Fire Weather documented the intense climate-driven wildfires that decimated the Alberta town of Fort McMurray. During his lecture, Vaillant made the ominous prediction that what happened there could easily happen again, in almost any given city in on the planet. Vancouver narrowly dodged the fire bullet just last year when buildings in two city neighbourhoods caught fire. According to Vaillant, the flames were so intense and spread so quickly that had the wind been just 10 knots higher, a significant portion of the city would have burned. Photo courtesy Manitoba Government A wildland fire burns in the RM of Lac du Bonnet on May 14. Then there were the January 2025 Los Angeles fires, which decimated more than 18,000 homes and burned through more than 23,000 hectares, leaving an estimated US$250 billion in damages. So, the question is — could the same thing happen in Winnipeg? Based on the recent Transcona grass fire which threatened both homes and businesses, it could indeed happen here. Thirty fire crews battled in the heat and high winds for hours before finally containing it. Had a nearby chemical plant gone up in smoke, who knows what might have happened? And Transcona isn't alone. As of May 14, a number of Manitoba towns like Libau were perched precariously on the edge of wildfires, evacuation orders had already been issued for Broken Head Ojibway Nation, and two people trapped by the wildfires at Lac du Bonnet had lost their lives. In addition to that, Nopiming provincial park was closed due to out of control wildfires, as was the Whiteshell. At Ingolf's Long Pine Lake, which borders the Whiteshell, water bombers, helicopter 'air tankers' and firefighters were still struggling after three days to contain a wildfire that exploded then raced across 23,000 hectares, 43 kilometres to the north, prompting evacuation warnings across the region. It was with the announcement of the Ingolf fire on May 12 that the ominous but still somehow abstract idea of 'climate-driven wildfires' suddenly hit home for me. Long Pine is where my grandfather, a railway machinist, started building his log cabin in 1919, and where my parents built ours in the early fifties. At the moment I have no idea whether either cottage is still standing. The circumstances that caused the Ingolf fire to explode with such intensity were not unlike those in Fort McMurray — temperatures in the mid 30 C. range, extremely dry conditions and a relative humidity below 18 per cent. This when the May average is usually 19 C with a relative humidity of 48 per cent. This month's unusually hot, dry conditions are what create the perfect storm for bigger more intense wildfires that rapidly increase in size. Climate-warmed blazes that are a nightmare for firefighters, who are hard pressed to get boots on the ground, because the combined heat makes the conditions almost impossible to withstand. And if the carbon emissions driving climate change and global warming remain largely unchecked, those conditions are predicted to become the norm in Manitoba. Which means that our fire season will start earlier, the wildfires will be bigger and more intense, and the loss of life and property will likely escalate. To make matters worse, as vast tracts of forest burn, global CO2 levels will rise even higher. So what can we do to mitigate this? Well, the first thing our government should definitely not do is sell off so-called 'surplus' water bomber planes, as did the previous provincial conservative government. Then we need to ensure that the province adopts a multitiered approach to firefighting, which begins with a clear and achievable plan to reduce the emissions that are driving bigger more intense forest fires. Next up, the province and city need to look at ways to increase our resiliency by discouraging residential expansion near fire-prone forests and grasslands as well as setting higher standards for building codes that feature better fire resistant designs and materials. Even more obvious the province needs to beef up its firefighting and fire prevention capacity on all levels which may have finally begun with the recent repurchase of three new water bombers. Winnipeg Jets Game Days On Winnipeg Jets game days, hockey writers Mike McIntyre and Ken Wiebe send news, notes and quotes from the morning skate, as well as injury updates and lineup decisions. Arrives a few hours prior to puck drop. Other good ideas — assign someone to keep the province's fire tracking and alert websites up to date and create a climate resiliency portal where Manitobans can learn about and plan for the climate risks in their areas. Finally, developing recovery plans before fires hit and implementing those plans quickly is also key. In the meantime, all of us need to remember that the fires we're seeing now could happen anywhere given the right conditions. So let's ensure that our governments are protecting us by being as well prepared as possible. Erna Buffie is a writer and environmental activist. Read more @

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