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Burton and Seaboyer: Canada can do much better than join the 'Golden Dome' defence
Burton and Seaboyer: Canada can do much better than join the 'Golden Dome' defence

Ottawa Citizen

time3 days ago

  • Business
  • Ottawa Citizen

Burton and Seaboyer: Canada can do much better than join the 'Golden Dome' defence

Very soon, the Mark Carney government's much-needed investment in Canada's military will require urgent, historic choices regarding defence priorities and generational financial commitments. But as ministers and policymakers dissect options such as buying cripplingly expensive F-35 fighter jets, there is one move they should not make. Article content This spring, the day after King Charles opened Parliament with a speech emphasizing Canadian sovereignty, U.S. President Donald Trump invited Canada to join his proposed 'Golden Dome for America' missile defence system. The president indicated two ways for this to happen: Canada can either become the 51st state (which is a non-starter), or it would have to pony up a staggering $61-billion U.S. (For context, Canada's total 2024-25 military budget is $28.5-billion U.S.) Article content Article content Article content Canada should decline Trump's invitation. Article content Beyond the absurdity of handing such a massive sum to a leader who openly threatens to conquer Canada through economic coercion, the Golden Dome requires technology that does not yet even exist, and which will be extremely difficult to develop. (The system is likely to rely heavily on Elon Musk's SpaceX 'aerial moving target identifier,' a next-gen system that's still under development and would be unlikely to ever reach a deployable stage if Trump cancels Musk's government funding.) Article content Most modern Intercontinental Ballistic Missiles carry 'multiple independently targetable reentry vehicles' (MIRVs), meaning one missile can becomes 12 independent warheads, only one of which is needed to destroy an entire city. So far, no defence system has come close to a 100-per-cent probability of destroying all incoming missiles, especially those with technology that misleads weapon interception systems. Article content Article content Effectively integrating diverse systems — ground-based radars, sea-based assets, air-based sensors, and a new constellation of space-based sensors and interceptors — into a cohesive 'system of systems' is extraordinarily complex. This includes ensuring seamless data fusion, command and control, and communication with near-zero latency. Article content Article content In Israel, the Iron Dome has generally done well with defending a relatively small territory. We have seen in recent days, though, that Iranian missiles are increasingly able to get through the Iron Dome and strike Israeli targets. Defending the entire U.S. (nearly 500 times the size of Israel) presents an immense challenge in terms of the sheer number of sensors and interceptors needed for adequate coverage. One can only imagine the odds of successfully adding Canada's huge land mass to the mix. However, there is huge money at stake for some defence industry companies and significant political benefits, which no doubt fuels the enthusiasm some military experts express for the Golden Dome.

Era of nuclear disarmament coming to an end, SIPRI warns
Era of nuclear disarmament coming to an end, SIPRI warns

Saudi Gazette

time4 days ago

  • Politics
  • Saudi Gazette

Era of nuclear disarmament coming to an end, SIPRI warns

STOCKHOLM — The era of nuclear disarmament is coming to an end while new technologies push the risk of nuclear conflict higher, SIPRI warned on Monday. The Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) stressed in its annual assessment of the state of armaments, disarmament and international security, that although the number of nuclear warheads in the world continued to decline last year due to the US and Russia dismantling retired warheads, the pace of such dismantlements is slowing down. The rate at which new warheads enter global stockpiles could therefore soon outpace dismantlements, SIPRI said, as nuclear states pursue modernisation programmes. "The era of reductions in the number of nuclear weapons in the world, which had lasted since the end of the Cold War, is coming to an end," Hans M. Kristensen, Associate Senior Fellow with SIPRI's Weapons of Mass Destruction Program said in a statement. "Instead, we see a clear trend of growing nuclear arsenals, sharpened nuclear rhetoric and the abandonment of arms control agreements," he added. Nine countries - the United States, Russia, the United Kingdom, France, China, India, Pakistan, the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (North Korea) and Israel - have nuclear warheads in their arsenals with an estimated global inventory of 12,241 warheads, of which 9,614 were in military stockpiles for potential use. Just over 2,000 of the deployed warheads, nearly all of them belonging to the US and Russia, were kept in a state of high operational alert on ballistic missiles. The two countries faced challenges in their modernization programs last year, but SIPRI forecasts that their deployments of nuclear weapons will rise in the years ahead. China's nuclear arsenal, which currently counts at least 600 warheads, is meanwhile growing faster than any other country's, by about 100 new warheads a year since 2023. SIPRI estimates that China could potentially have at least as many Intercontinental Ballistic Missiles (ICBMs) as either Russia or the USA by the turn of the decade. The international security institute also flagged that 2024 saw renewed attention on nuclear-sharing arrangements, which it says carried great risks. These included claims by Russia and Belarus that Russia has deployed nuclear weapons on Belarusian territory, European NATO allies expressing willingness to host US nuclear weapons on their soil, and statements by French President Emmanuel Macron that the country's nuclear deterrent could have a "European dimension". "It is critical to remember that nuclear weapons do not guarantee security," said Matt Korda, associate senior researcher with SIPRI's Weapons of Mass Destruction Programme. "As the recent flare-up of hostilities in India and Pakistan amply demonstrated, nuclear weapons do not prevent conflict. They also come with immense risks of escalation and catastrophic miscalculation—particularly when disinformation is rife—and may end up making a country's population less safe, not more." The increased use of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and other technologies to speed up decision-making in crises meanwhile increases the risk of a nuclear conflict breaking out as a result of miscommunication, misunderstanding or technical accident, according to SIPRI. The annual report, which looks at the overall armament picture, found that global military expenditure rose for the 10th consecutive year in 2024 to $2.7 trillion (€2.3 trillion), driven by Russia's ongoing full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Washington however remained the largest military spender in the world, with spending of $997 billion (€861 billion) in 2024, more than three times the amount spent by China, the next biggest spender. Total European spending increased by 17%, with all countries, bar Malta, boosting their military expenditures. Just five countries - the United States, France, Russia, China and Germany - accounted for 71% of all military exports with the US growing its share to 43% from 35% at the turn of the decade. — Euronews

Era of nuclear disarmament 'coming to an end', SIPRI warns
Era of nuclear disarmament 'coming to an end', SIPRI warns

Euronews

time5 days ago

  • Politics
  • Euronews

Era of nuclear disarmament 'coming to an end', SIPRI warns

The era of nuclear disarmament is coming to an end while new technologies push the risk of nuclear conflict higher, SIPRI warned on Monday. The Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) stressed in its annual assessment of the state of armaments, disarmament and international security, that although the number of nuclear warheads in the world continued to decline last year due to the US and Russia dismantling retired warheads, the pace of such dismantlements is slowing down. The rate at which new warheads enter global stockpiles could therefore soon outpace dismantlements, SIPRI said, as nuclear states pursue modernisation programmes. "The era of reductions in the number of nuclear weapons in the world, which had lasted since the end of the Cold War, is coming to an end," Hans M. Kristensen, Associate Senior Fellow with SIPRI's Weapons of Mass Destruction Programme said in a statement. "Instead, we see a clear trend of growing nuclear arsenals, sharpened nuclear rhetoric and the abandonment of arms control agreements," he added. Nine countries - the United States, Russia, the United Kingdom, France, China, India, Pakistan, the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (North Korea) and Israel - have nuclear warheads in their arsenals with an estimated global inventory of 12,241 warheads, of which 9,614 were in military stockpiles for potential use. Just over 2,000 of the deployed warheads, nearly all of them belonging to the US and Russia, were kept in a state of high operational alert on ballistic missiles. The two countries faced challenges in their modernisation programmes last year, but SIPRI forecasts that their deployments of nuclear weapons will rise in the years ahead. China's nuclear arsenal, which currently counts at least 600 warheads, is meanwhile growing faster than any other country's, by about 100 new warheads a year since 2023. SIPRI estimates that China could potentially have at least as many Intercontinental Ballistic Missiles (ICBMs) as either Russia or the USA by the turn of the decade. The international security institute also flagged that 2024 saw renewed attention on nuclear-sharing arrangements, which it says carried great risks. These included claims by Russia and Belarus that Russia has deployed nuclear weapons on Belarusian territory, European NATO allies expressing willingness to host US nuclear weapons on their soil, and statements by French President Emmanuel Macron that the country's nuclear deterrent could have a "European dimension". "It is critical to remember that nuclear weapons do not guarantee security," said Matt Korda, associate senior researcher with SIPRI's Weapons of Mass Destruction Programme. "As the recent flare-up of hostilities in India and Pakistan amply demonstrated, nuclear weapons do not prevent conflict. They also come with immense risks of escalation and catastrophic miscalculation—particularly when disinformation is rife—and may end up making a country's population less safe, not more." The increased use of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and other technologies to speed up decision-making in crises meanwhile increases the risk of a nuclear conflict breaking out as a result of miscommunication, misunderstanding or technical accident, according to SIPRI. The annual report, which looks at the overall armament picture, found that global military expenditure rose for the 10th consecutive year in 2024 to $2.7 trillion (€2.3 trillion), driven by Russia's ongoing full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Washington however remained the largest military spender in the world, with spending of $997 billion (€861 billion) in 2024, more than three times the amount spent by China, the next biggest spender. Total European spending increased by 17%, with all countries, bar Malta, boosting their military expenditures. Just five countries - the United States, France, Russia, China and Germany - accounted for 71% of all military exports with the US growing its share to 43% from 35% at the turn of the decade. Ukraine, India, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan together accounted for 35% of total arms imports. A new study names France as the continent's toll fee capital, with French routes claiming the top spot and five of the 10 most expensive tolls in Europe. Italy and Denmark follow closely, with toll fees of €68.30 and €54.00, respectively. A study by the European tollway seller, Tollwayr, analysed toll fees across European countries, examining costs for various motorways, tunnels and bridges to identify the most expensive routes for car drivers. France leads the list with the Eurotunnel crossing between France and the UK charging €72.00, making it the most expensive toll in Europe. The country also appears in the top five positions with its major motorway routes, including the Paris-Marseille route at €68.90. "What's particularly notable is that France doesn't just have one or two expensive routes – it consistently charges premium prices across its major highways and tunnels," said Mattijs Wijnmalen, CEO of Tollwayr. "The country's extensive toll network reflects significant infrastructure investment, but also places a considerable financial burden on both local drivers and tourists." Italy ranks high on the list, with the Milan-Bari route costing drivers €68.30, making it the third most expensive toll in Europe. Denmark and Sweden both feature in the top ten, with the Øresundsbron bridge connecting the two countries, charging €54.00 from either side, making it the most expensive bridge toll in Europe. Croatia, while not in the top ten, has the most expensive tolls in Eastern Europe, charging €32.80. On the other hand, the United Kingdom's Warburton Bridge charges just €0.14, making it the least expensive toll in Europe, while Bosnia and Herzegovina's Svilaj-Odžak section costs only €0.61 for cars.

What is the Golden Dome? Trump announces US missile defence system plan
What is the Golden Dome? Trump announces US missile defence system plan

Hindustan Times

time20-05-2025

  • Politics
  • Hindustan Times

What is the Golden Dome? Trump announces US missile defence system plan

US President Donald Trump on Tuesday announced the ambitious plan for the Golden Dome, America's new missile defence system. Donald Trump has referenced the Golden Dome in a speech earlier this year and has also signed an executive order to that effect According to experts quoted in an NPR report, space-based interceptors will likely be a key part of the new missile defence system. Golden Dome is the new missile defence system announced by US President Donald Trump. It derives its name from Israel's 'Iron Dome' system, which has been battle-tested in the country's conflict with the Palestinian militant group Hamas. But it is bound to be a little different. While the Iron Dome is built to intercept slow-moving missiles and rockets that have a short range, the missile threat to America is vastly different. A big part of the difference between the two systems is the size of the landmass that needs to be protected. Israel is more than 400 times smaller than the United States, and it's mostly a flat desert that's easy to defend, according to the NPR report. The missiles that could be used to attack the United States also differ vastly from Hamas rockets. Russia, China and any other country that could launch an attack on the US possess Intercontinental Ballistic Missiles, with fast-moving hypersonic speeds and a longer range. The only way to intercept a hypersonic missile is to build a missile defence with technology placed in space. According to NPR, the idea is to have satellites in orbit that could spot missiles as they leave the ground and then shoot them at the beginning of their flight. The problem with such a system is that satellites keep moving around the Earth, so the challenge would be to place them over the right spot at the right time. To achieve that, a huge constellation of interceptors would be needed, with some reports putting the number at a whopping 16,000. It surely could be done, as shown by Donald Trump's closest advisor, Elon Musk, through his Starlink internet satellites. But it would be an expensive affair.

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