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Straits Times
8 hours ago
- Business
- Straits Times
China offers to be peacemaker in Iran-Israel war, but is unlikely to intervene
China's permanent representative to the UN Fu Cong, addresses during a meeting of the United Nations Security Council, on June 13. PHOTO: REUTERS China offers to be peacemaker in Iran-Israel war, but is unlikely to intervene BEIJING - As the conflict between Israel and Iran stretches beyond a week, China has found itself sidelined in developments that could yet have far-reaching consequences for its interests in the Middle East. While Beijing has offered itself as a peacemaker, it is unlikely to wade into the conflict directly, or to supply arms to Iran, say analysts . This is because it wants to avoid confronting the United States, for which military intervention against Iran remains a real possibility. Chinese President Xi Jinping, in a phone call with Russian President Vladimir Putin on June 19, said China is willing to continue to strengthen communication with all parties and 'play a constructive role in restoring peace in the Middle East'. Hours later, US President Donald Trump effectively gave Iran two weeks to return to the negotiating table to discuss the future of its nuclear programme, by saying he would decide whether the US would attack Iran in that time frame. With Iran seriously weakened by the latest hostilities - its top military commanders have been killed and key nuclear facilities damaged - observers believe the initiative remains with Israel and the US. At stake for China is energy imports. China is the largest buyer of Iranian oil. Iran has also threatened to block the Strait of Hormuz, which lies between Iran and Oman and is a major route for oil and gas shipments from the Gulf states to China, including from Saudi Arabia, China's biggest supplier of crude after Russia. Even so, beyond issuing diplomatic statements, China is unlikely to intervene, said analysts. While some have touted China's growing influence in the Middle East, particularly after it brokered a landmark normalisation deal between arch-rivals Saudi Arabia and Iran in 2023, it has little appetite to be embroiled in the region's conflicts. Associate Professor Jonathan Fulton, an expert in China's relations with the Middle East, said China's interests in the Middle East are primarily economic, noting also that it buys much more oil from countries such as Saudi Arabia and Oman than Iran. 'When China looks at Iran, I think they see a partner of limited economic value,' he said. 'They also see a country that, through its proxies or its own aggressive behaviour, has destabilised a lot of the Middle East.' Another major reason for China's inaction is that it does not want to antagonise the US, said Prof Fulton, who is nonresident senior fellow at the Atlantic Council, a US think tank. 'Much like the logic with Ukraine - if China gives weapons to Russia and Russia uses them to attack Ukraine, this is going to provoke Nato and make China an enemy in the eyes of countries that it wants to have good economic and political relations with,' he added. Chinese officials have repeatedly called for a ceasefire since Israel began a major offensive against Iran on June 12 to cripple Tehran's ability to develop nuclear weapons, seen by Israel as a threat to its security. Since that first salvo, there have been tit-for-tat air strikes between the two countries, an ongoing conflict that could yet lead to the overthrow of the leaders of the Islamic republic. China's Foreign Minister Wang Yi has suggested through phone calls to his counterparts in the Middle East - Iran and Israel, as well as Egypt and Oman which are involved in mediation efforts - that China is willing to coordinate with regional countries for peace. Dr Clemens Chay, a research fellow from the Middle East Institute at the National University of Singapore, said: 'Beyond the perfunctory statements and calls by Chinese officials, it is unlikely Beijing will stick its hand in - certainly not militarily - in the ongoing tit-for-tat strikes between Iran and Israel.' Given that China has energy interests in the region, including in Iranian oil, the logical approach for it would be to call for de-escalation, he said. 'But to deploy its forces will be too much of an ask.' Dr Andrea Ghiselli, a lecturer in international politics at the University of Exeter who focuses on Chinese foreign policy in the Middle East, said Mr Wang's phone calls should be read as a way for China to get a better read of the situation. China is probably seeking to understand how regional powers and countries like Russia are preparing for a possible collapse of the regime in Iran and the consequent emergence of Israel as a regional hegemon, said Dr Ghiselli, who also heads research at the ChinaMed Project of the Torino World Affairs Institute, an Italian think tank. A possible regime change in Iran - which Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has said could happen, even if his government does not aim to bring it about - would also not likely to be welcomed by China, not least because the next leadership may be less predictable. Dr Gedaliah Afterman of Reichman University in Israel said a quick collapse of the regime or power vacuum would threaten China's investments, infrastructure and strategic access across the region. 'Beijing prefers continuity and predictability, particularly given Iran's current economic dependence on China,' he added. He said the best-case scenario for China is a swift de-escalation that avoids direct US-Iran confrontation, preserves the existing regional order in which Beijing feels increasingly comfortable, and enables it to continue balancing relations with Iran, the Gulf and Israel. 'China may also seek to present itself as playing a role in any renewed nuclear agreement, even if only symbolically, especially if this comes at the expense of US influence in the region,' said Dr Afterman. Lim Min Zhang is China correspondent at The Straits Times. He has an interest in Chinese politics, technology, defence and foreign policies. Join ST's Telegram channel and get the latest breaking news delivered to you.
Middle East Eye
11 hours ago
- Politics
- Middle East Eye
China said Israel should 'cease fire' as soon as possible in conflict with Iran
Chinese representative to the UN Fu Cong said on Friday that Israel should 'cease fire as soon as possible' to prevent the situation from escalating. Speaking at the UN Security Council earlier, Congo described Israel's attacks on Iran's nuclear facilities as a 'dangerous precedent' that could have 'catastrophic consequences'. The nuclear issue must be returned 'to the track of dialogue and negotiation', he said.
South China Morning Post
4 days ago
- Politics
- South China Morning Post
Israel-Iran conflict is latest test for China and a problematic dance partner
Israel's war with Iran has escalated sharply, plunging the volatile Middle East into deeper turmoil in an era of rising conflicts. Alongside Russia's grinding invasion of Ukraine and Pakistan's recent clash with India , the crises, compounded by tensions on the Korean peninsula as well as in the South China Sea and Taiwan, have placed Beijing in a precarious position. Though not directly involved, Beijing is far from a mere bystander. Its close ties with Russia, Iran, Pakistan and North Korea position it uncomfortably near the centre of global tensions, challenging its self-proclaimed role as a neutral mediator, testing its ability to balance geopolitics with domestic priorities, and highlighting the complexities facing a rising superpower. Play China, which remains Iran's largest energy buyer, reacted swiftly to Israel's air strikes on Iranian nuclear and military targets on Friday. China's UN ambassador, Fu Cong , echoed the stance at a UN Security Council meeting requested by Iran just hours after the strikes, which killed senior Iranian military officials and civilians. Along with Russia, he framed Israel as the aggressor, urging it to 'immediately cease all military adventurism and avoid further escalating tensions', while voicing support for Iran's right to self-defence. He did not mention Tehran's nuclear advancements and its non-compliance with International Atomic Energy Agency regulations. During calls with Iranian and Israeli foreign ministers the next day, top diplomat Wang Yi condemned the surprise attack as a 'gross violation' of Iran's sovereignty and a breach of the United Nations Charter, warning of the 'dangerous precedent' it set for strikes on nuclear sites. Amid the heightened tensions, China's embassy in Israel issued a safety advisory on Monday, offering evacuation guidance to up to 3,000 Chinese nationals in the country. The Chinese mission in Iran had yet to take a similar step despite Iran's involvement in the widening war.
Business Recorder
14-06-2025
- Politics
- Business Recorder
China's UN envoy condemns Israeli strikes on Iran
BEIJING/HONG KONG: China condemns Israel's violations of Iran's sovereignty, security and territorial integrity and urges Israel to immediately stop all risky military actions, China's U.N. Ambassador Fu Cong said, state media Xinhua News Agency reported. 'China opposes the intensification of contradictions and the expansion of conflicts, and is deeply concerned about the consequences that may be brought about by Israel's actions,' Fu was quoted as saying at a meeting held by the UN Security Council on the Middle East situation on Friday. China is seriously concerned about the negative impact of the current developments on diplomatic negotiations on the Iranian nuclear issue, said Fu. Israel launched large-scale strikes against Iran early on Friday, saying it was the start of a prolonged operation to prevent Tehran from building an atomic weapon. Iran says nuclear talks with US 'meaningless' after Israel attack Iran launched retaliatory airstrikes on Friday night, with explosions heard in Jerusalem and Tel Aviv, the country's two largest cities. China has issued advisories to its citizens in Israel and Iran of the 'complex and severe' security situation in those countries, adding a warning to those in Israel to prepare for possible missile and drone attacks.
South China Morning Post
14-06-2025
- Politics
- South China Morning Post
Chinese envoy urges Israel to halt ‘risky' Iran attacks, warns of ‘serious consequences'
A senior Chinese diplomat has urged Israel to halt its military actions against Iran as tensions between the two Middle Eastern rivals mount, warning the escalating conflict could have 'serious consequences'. Advertisement Fu Cong, China's ambassador to the UN, told an emergency meeting of the UN Security Council on Friday that the surging tensions in the region did not serve the interests of any party. 'China urges Israel to immediately stop all risky military actions to avoid further escalation of tensions,' Fu said, according to Chinese state news agency Xinhua. 'China condemns Israel's actions that violate Iran's sovereignty, security, and territorial integrity, opposes the escalation of tensions and the expansion of conflict, and expresses deep concern over the serious consequences that Israel's actions may bring.' The comments came as Israel on Friday launched pre-emptive large-scale attacks on Iran's nuclear facilities and other military targets across the country, citing a 'secret programme' by the Iranian government to develop nuclear weapons. Advertisement The attack, dubbed 'Operation Rising Lion', has killed several senior Iranian military officials and has raised global concerns that the long-standing tensions between the two countries could escalate into a full-blown war. Iran has vowed retaliation, saying Israel would face 'severe punishment' for the strikes. Later on Friday, it launched hundreds of ballistic missiles at Israel.
