Latest news with #FDX
Forbes
11 hours ago
- Business
- Forbes
Buy or Sell FDX Stock Ahead of Its Upcoming Earnings?
FedEx (NYSE:FDX) is set to release its fiscal Q4 2025 earnings on Tuesday, June 24, 2025. Historically, FedEx's stock has demonstrated varied reactions to earnings announcements over the last five years. After earnings releases, the stock has recorded positive one-day returns in 50% of instances, with a median increase of 6.6%. Conversely, in the remaining 50% of cases, it has faced negative one-day returns, with a median decrease of 4.8%. For event-driven traders, grasping these historical trends can prove advantageous. You can utilize this information in two main ways: Analysts anticipate FedEx will report earnings of $5.86 per share and sales of $21.8 billion for Q4 2025. This is an increase from the same quarter last year, when the earnings were $5.41 per share on sales of $22.1 billion. From a fundamental perspective, FedEx currently holds a market capitalization of $54 billion. In the past twelve months, the company achieved $88 billion in revenue, with operating profits reaching $6.0 billion and a net income of $3.9 billion, reflecting operational profitability. However, if you are looking for potential gains with lower volatility than individual stocks, the Trefis High Quality portfolio offers an alternative, having outperformed the S&P 500 and yielded returns exceeding 91% since its establishment. Separately, see – Archer Aviation: What's Happening With ACHR Stock? View the earnings reaction history of all stocks Here are some insights regarding one-day (1D) post-earnings returns: Additional information for the observed 5-Day (5D) and 21-Day (21D) returns after earnings is summarized along with the statistics in the table below. FDX 1D, 5D, and 21D Post Earnings Return Trefis A relatively lower-risk strategy (although not effective if the correlation is minimal) is to comprehend the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns post earnings, identify a pair with the highest correlation, and execute the appropriate trade. For instance, if 1D and 5D indicate the highest correlation, traders can position themselves 'long' for the following 5 days if the 1D post-earnings return is positive. Below is some correlation data based on a 5-year and 3-year (more recent) history. Note that correlation 1D_5D refers to the correlation between 1D post-earnings returns and subsequent 5D returns. Discover more about Trefis RV strategy, which has outperformed its all-cap stocks benchmark (a combination of the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000), producing robust returns for investors. Additionally, if you desire potential upside with a smoother experience compared to an individual stock like FedEx, contemplate the High Quality portfolio, which has outperformed the S&P and achieved >91% returns since its inception.
Yahoo
a day ago
- Business
- Yahoo
Buy, Hold or Sell FedEx Stock? Key Tips Ahead of Q4 Earnings
FedEx Corporation (FDX ) is set to release its fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 (ended May 31, 2025) results on June 24, after market close. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 earnings has been revised downward by 1.5% in the past 60 days and is now pegged at $5.94 per share. Additionally, the consensus mark implies a 9.8% increase from the year-ago actual. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 revenues is pegged at $21.7 billion, indicating a 1.9% downward movement from the year-ago actual. Image Source: Zacks Investment Research FDX has a mixed earnings surprise history, as reflected in the chart below. Image Source: Zacks Investment Research Given this backdrop, let's examine the factors likely to influence FDX's Q4 results. We expect average daily shipments in the to-be-reported quarter to have been hurt by the weak demand scenario. Adverse weather conditions and a rise in recession fears following tariff-related tensions are likely to have adversely impacted demand and top-line performance in turn. The performance of the Express unit, FDX's largest segment, is likely to have been hurt due to demand-induced volume weakness. We anticipate revenues from the Express unit to decline 3.2% from fourth-quarter fiscal 2024 actual. The bottom-line performance in the to-be-reported quarter is likely to have been aided by cost-reduction benefits from the DRIVE program initiatives. These cost-reduction initiatives include reducing flight frequencies, parking aircraft and cutting staff. We anticipate expenses from salaries and benefits in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025 to decrease 2.1% from the fourth quarter of fiscal 2024 actuals. Adjusted operating expenses in the to-be-reported quarter are expected to decline 4.4% from the year-ago actuals. We expect an update from management on FDX's multi-year deal with Amazon AMZN, which was signed during the quarter. Per the agreement, FDX is responsible for delivering select large packages for Amazon. The FDX-Amazon deal comes soon after FDX's rival, United Parcel Service UPS, decided to lower its volumes with Amazon. Our proven model does not conclusively predict an earnings beat for FDX this time. A company with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold), along with a positive Earnings ESP, has a higher chance of beating estimates, which is not the case here. Earnings ESP: FedEx has an Earnings ESP of -9.47%. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they are reported with our Earnings ESP Filter. Zacks Rank: The company currently carries a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell). Shares of FDX have declined 17.1% in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025 (March-May) compared with the Zacks Transportation—Air Freight and Cargo industry's 16.9% decline. However, FDX's price performance is better than that of UPS. Image Source: Zacks Investment Research On the basis of forward 12-month Price/Sales (P/S), FDX shares are trading at a discount compared to the industry average as well as UPS. FDX currently has a Value Score of B. Image Source: Zacks Investment Research Tariff-related uncertainty and still-high inflation have been hurting consumer sentiment and growth expectations. FDX continues to struggle due to the normalization of volume and pricing trends in the post-COVID scenario. In the second quarter of 2023, FedEx announced DRIVE, a comprehensive program to improve its long-term profitability. Driven by technology-focused consolidation and improved efficiencies, this program is expected to result in cost savings of $4 billion by fiscal 2025. The company's efforts to reward its shareholders are likely to support its share price. In June 2025, FedEx raised its quarterly dividend by 5.1% to $1.45 per share (or $5.80 annually). FDX is also active on the buyback front. Despite near-term challenges, it's worth noting that the company has the brand and the network to continue generating steady cash flows in the long run. Agreed that FDX has strong long-term potential (the company's long-term [3-5 years] earnings growth rate is an impressive 10.7%, higher than its industry's 9.1%) and is attractively valued, but the current market conditions and challenges suggest that now may not be the best time to purchase additional shares. The industry is experiencing a period of uncertainty with supply-chain concerns and fluctuating demand. Investors have ample reason to be wary of investing in FDX stock currently. As there is significant doubt about whether the challenges facing FDX will ease in the short term, investor sentiment surrounding this transportation heavyweight is unlikely to get a boost anytime soon. The combination of its weak current performance and an uncertain future casts a shadow over FDX's prospects. So, the stock appears a risky prospect for investors ahead of its fourth-quarter earnings. Its current Zacks Rank supports our thesis. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank stocks here. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Inc. (AMZN) : Free Stock Analysis Report United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) : Free Stock Analysis Report FedEx Corporation (FDX) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research ( Zacks Investment Research
Globe and Mail
a day ago
- Business
- Globe and Mail
Buy, Hold or Sell FedEx Stock? Key Tips Ahead of Q4 Earnings
FedEx Corporation ( FDX ) is set to release its fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 (ended May 31, 2025) results on June 24, after market close. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 earnings has been revised downward by 1.5% in the past 60 days and is now pegged at $5.94 per share. Additionally, the consensus mark implies a 9.8% increase from the year-ago actual. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 revenues is pegged at $21.7 billion, indicating a 1.9% downward movement from the year-ago actual. FDX has a mixed earnings surprise history, as reflected in the chart below. Given this backdrop, let's examine the factors likely to influence FDX's Q4 results. We expect average daily shipments in the to-be-reported quarter to have been hurt by the weak demand scenario. Adverse weather conditions and a rise in recession fears following tariff-related tensions are likely to have adversely impacted demand and top-line performance in turn. The performance of the Express unit, FDX's largest segment, is likely to have been hurt due to demand-induced volume weakness. We anticipate revenues from the Express unit to decline 3.2% from fourth-quarter fiscal 2024 actual. The bottom-line performance in the to-be-reported quarter is likely to have been aided by cost-reduction benefits from the DRIVE program initiatives. These cost-reduction initiatives include reducing flight frequencies, parking aircraft and cutting staff. We anticipate expenses from salaries and benefits in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025 to decrease 2.1% from the fourth quarter of fiscal 2024 actuals. Adjusted operating expenses in the to-be-reported quarter are expected to decline 4.4% from the year-ago actuals. We expect an update from management on FDX's multi-year deal with Amazon AMZN, which was signed during the quarter. Per the agreement, FDX is responsible for delivering select large packages for Amazon. The FDX-Amazon deal comes soon after FDX's rival, United Parcel Service UPS, decided to lower its volumes with Amazon. Q4 Earnings Whispers for FDX Our proven model does not conclusively predict an earnings beat for FDX this time. A company with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold), along with a positive Earnings ESP, has a higher chance of beating estimates, which is not the case here. Earnings ESP: FedEx has an Earnings ESP of -9.47%. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they are reported with our Earnings ESP Filter. Zacks Rank: The company currently carries a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell). FDX Stock Underperforms Industry in Q4, Outperforms UPS Shares of FDX have declined 17.1% in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025 (March-May) compared with the Zacks Transportation—Air Freight and Cargo industry's 16.9% decline. However, FDX's price performance is better than that of UPS. Q4 Price Comparison FDX Trading Cheap On the basis of forward 12-month Price/Sales (P/S), FDX shares are trading at a discount compared to the industry average as well as UPS. FDX currently has a Value Score of B. FDX's P/S F12M Vs. Industry & UPS Investment Thesis for FDX Stock Tariff-related uncertainty and still-high inflation have been hurting consumer sentiment and growth expectations. FDX continues to struggle due to the normalization of volume and pricing trends in the post-COVID scenario. In the second quarter of 2023, FedEx announced DRIVE, a comprehensive program to improve its long-term profitability. Driven by technology-focused consolidation and improved efficiencies, this program is expected to result in cost savings of $4 billion by fiscal 2025. The company's efforts to reward its shareholders are likely to support its share price. In June 2025, FedEx raised its quarterly dividend by 5.1% to $1.45 per share (or $5.80 annually). FDX is also active on the buyback front. Despite near-term challenges, it's worth noting that the company has the brand and the network to continue generating steady cash flows in the long run. Steer Clear of FDX Stock Ahead of Q4 Earnings Agreed that FDX has strong long-term potential (the company's long-term [3-5 years] earnings growth rate is an impressive 10.7%, higher than its industry's 9.1%) and is attractively valued, but the current market conditions and challenges suggest that now may not be the best time to purchase additional shares. The industry is experiencing a period of uncertainty with supply-chain concerns and fluctuating demand. Investors have ample reason to be wary of investing in FDX stock currently. As there is significant doubt about whether the challenges facing FDX will ease in the short term, investor sentiment surrounding this transportation heavyweight is unlikely to get a boost anytime soon. The combination of its weak current performance and an uncertain future casts a shadow over FDX's prospects. So, the stock appears a risky prospect for investors ahead of its fourth-quarter earnings. Its current Zacks Rank supports our thesis. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank stocks here. Only $1 to See All Zacks' Buys and Sells We're not kidding. Several years ago, we shocked our members by offering them 30-day access to all our picks for the total sum of only $1. No obligation to spend another cent. Thousands have taken advantage of this opportunity. Thousands did not - they thought there must be a catch. Yes, we do have a reason. We want you to get acquainted with our portfolio services like Surprise Trader, Stocks Under $10, Technology Innovators, and more, that closed 256 positions with double- and triple-digit gains in 2024 alone. See Stocks Now >> Inc. (AMZN): Free Stock Analysis Report United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS): Free Stock Analysis Report FedEx Corporation (FDX): Free Stock Analysis Report
Yahoo
4 days ago
- Business
- Yahoo
Why FedEx (FDX) Outpaced the Stock Market Today
In the latest trading session, FedEx (FDX) closed at $226.77, marking a +1.07% move from the previous day. This change outpaced the S&P 500's 0.94% gain on the day. Meanwhile, the Dow experienced a rise of 0.75%, and the technology-dominated Nasdaq saw an increase of 1.52%. Coming into today, shares of the package delivery company had lost 2.24% in the past month. In that same time, the Transportation sector lost 1.61%, while the S&P 500 gained 1.67%. Analysts and investors alike will be keeping a close eye on the performance of FedEx in its upcoming earnings disclosure. The company's earnings report is set to go public on June 24, 2025. The company is expected to report EPS of $5.94, up 9.8% from the prior-year quarter. Meanwhile, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenue is projecting net sales of $21.7 billion, down 1.85% from the year-ago period. Looking at the full year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates suggest analysts are expecting earnings of $18.14 per share and revenue of $87.41 billion. These totals would mark changes of +1.91% and 0%, respectively, from last year. Any recent changes to analyst estimates for FedEx should also be noted by investors. Recent revisions tend to reflect the latest near-term business trends. Therefore, positive revisions in estimates convey analysts' confidence in the business performance and profit potential. Research indicates that these estimate revisions are directly correlated with near-term share price momentum. To take advantage of this, we've established the Zacks Rank, an exclusive model that considers these estimated changes and delivers an operational rating system. The Zacks Rank system, which ranges from #1 (Strong Buy) to #5 (Strong Sell), has an impressive outside-audited track record of outperformance, with #1 stocks generating an average annual return of +25% since 1988. Over the past month, the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has moved 0.83% lower. FedEx currently has a Zacks Rank of #4 (Sell). With respect to valuation, FedEx is currently being traded at a Forward P/E ratio of 11.44. This denotes a discount relative to the industry average Forward P/E of 14.12. Meanwhile, FDX's PEG ratio is currently 1.07. The PEG ratio bears resemblance to the frequently used P/E ratio, but this parameter also includes the company's expected earnings growth trajectory. Transportation - Air Freight and Cargo stocks are, on average, holding a PEG ratio of 1.75 based on yesterday's closing prices. The Transportation - Air Freight and Cargo industry is part of the Transportation sector. This industry currently has a Zacks Industry Rank of 191, which puts it in the bottom 23% of all 250+ industries. The Zacks Industry Rank is ordered from best to worst in terms of the average Zacks Rank of the individual companies within each of these sectors. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1. Don't forget to use to keep track of all these stock-moving metrics, and others, in the upcoming trading sessions. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report FedEx Corporation (FDX) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research ( Zacks Investment Research
Yahoo
10-06-2025
- Business
- Yahoo
FedEx (FDX) Exceeds Market Returns: Some Facts to Consider
FedEx (FDX) ended the recent trading session at $222.18, demonstrating a +1.17% swing from the preceding day's closing price. The stock's performance was ahead of the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.09%. The the stock of package delivery company has risen by 0.82% in the past month, lagging the Transportation sector's gain of 7.55% and the S&P 500's gain of 7.21%. The investment community will be closely monitoring the performance of FedEx in its forthcoming earnings report. The company is scheduled to release its earnings on June 24, 2025. The company is expected to report EPS of $6, up 10.91% from the prior-year quarter. Alongside, our most recent consensus estimate is anticipating revenue of $21.68 billion, indicating a 1.96% downward movement from the same quarter last year. Investors should also note any recent changes to analyst estimates for FedEx. These recent revisions tend to reflect the evolving nature of short-term business trends. Therefore, positive revisions in estimates convey analysts' confidence in the company's business performance and profit potential. Empirical research indicates that these revisions in estimates have a direct correlation with impending stock price performance. To utilize this, we have created the Zacks Rank, a proprietary model that integrates these estimate changes and provides a functional rating system. The Zacks Rank system, running from #1 (Strong Buy) to #5 (Strong Sell), holds an admirable track record of superior performance, independently audited, with #1 stocks contributing an average annual return of +25% since 1988. Over the last 30 days, the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has witnessed a 0.07% decrease. As of now, FedEx holds a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold). In the context of valuation, FedEx is at present trading with a Forward P/E ratio of 11.11. This signifies a discount in comparison to the average Forward P/E of 13.87 for its industry. We can also see that FDX currently has a PEG ratio of 1.04. The PEG ratio is akin to the commonly utilized P/E ratio, but this measure also incorporates the company's anticipated earnings growth rate. FDX's industry had an average PEG ratio of 1.72 as of yesterday's close. The Transportation - Air Freight and Cargo industry is part of the Transportation sector. This industry, currently bearing a Zacks Industry Rank of 90, finds itself in the top 37% echelons of all 250+ industries. The Zacks Industry Rank gauges the strength of our industry groups by measuring the average Zacks Rank of the individual stocks within the groups. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1. Keep in mind to rely on to watch all these stock-impacting metrics, and more, in the succeeding trading sessions. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report FedEx Corporation (FDX) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research ( Zacks Investment Research Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
