logo
#

Latest news with #EmersonCollegePolling

Young New Yorkers flock to polls for early voting — a potential good sign for Zohran Mamdani's mayoral bid
Young New Yorkers flock to polls for early voting — a potential good sign for Zohran Mamdani's mayoral bid

New York Post

time38 minutes ago

  • Politics
  • New York Post

Young New Yorkers flock to polls for early voting — a potential good sign for Zohran Mamdani's mayoral bid

Early voting days are over – and they're young. New Yorkers under 40 years old accounted for a whopping 40% all early voting ballots cast, data shows – a potential good sign for mayoral contender Zohran Mamdani's chances in the Democratic primary. The early voting tallies from the city's Board of Elections dovetail with a shock poll's results showing the Democratic socialist Mamdani narrowly beating former Gov. Andrew Cuomo after eight rounds of ranked-choice voting. The typical age for New Yorkers who cast ballots during the nine-day early voting period from June 14-22 was 43, the BOE data show. First-time voters also jumped significantly, with 22,000 ballots cast from New Yorkers who are newly registered this year. 3 Roughly 385,000 New Yorkers voted early during the primary. Michael Nagle The tally is nearly 10,000 more first-time votes than in the last mayoral primary during 2021, a surge perhaps reflective of Mamdani's ground game getting out the vote. Mamdani, a 33-year-old Queens assemblyman, has consistently polled better with younger voters under 50, according to polls throughout the campaign. The stunning survey from Emerson College Polling/Pix 11/The Hill released Monday found those voters back Mamdani by a 2-1 margin, while Cuomo leads among older Dems. A source close to Cuomo's team sounded the alarm ahead of Tuesday's primary, calling out the campaign's lack of coordination on the ground compared to the Mamdani-backing, mostly youthful Democratic Socialists of America. 3 Zohran Mamdani could benefit from the high number of young voters in the primary so far. Paul Martinka 'There is no coordinated GOTV (get out the vote),' the source said about Cuomo's campaign. 'If they don't turn out those votes, they lose.' The source said that Cuomo internal polling shows him winning by just 6 or 7 points, 'which tells me they can lose.' 'The unions are concerned that they wasted millions of dollars to help Cuomo get elected and now they could be stuck with Mamdani,' the source said. 3 Insiders have complained that Andrew Cuomo's campaign could be falling behind on get out the vote efforts. LP Media Another Democratic source also blasted Cuomo's campaign for only recently launching its field operation, saying: 'you don't do that so last minute, so you know where to double down.' The source with knowledge charged that the ex-gov 'has run one of the worst campaigns I've ever seen,' blowing the substantial lead he had when he first announced his campaign in March — and millions of dollars. 'What you have is rich people in the Rolodex who gave money,' the operative said. 'It's not like they are bringing out apparatus for him. They are holding their noses.' In total, roughly 385,000 New Yorkers cast their ballots early — compared to the 191,000 who did so before 2021's mayoral primary. During the last day alone, roughly 80,000 voters cast their ballots early, the data shows. — Additional reporting by Matthew Fischetti

Mamdani shoots up in NYC Polymarket odds after surging ahead of Cuomo in poll
Mamdani shoots up in NYC Polymarket odds after surging ahead of Cuomo in poll

USA Today

time2 hours ago

  • Business
  • USA Today

Mamdani shoots up in NYC Polymarket odds after surging ahead of Cuomo in poll

The market shift came after one of the last independent polls of voters showed Mamdani winning in the city's ranked choice voting models. NEW YORK − A late-breaking poll shows a socialist state Assembly member shooting ahead of former New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo in the race for the New York City Democratic mayoral primary election, and it's pulled the two candidates to near-even on betting markets. Zohran Mamdani briefly surpassed on June 23 as frontrunner in the June 24 primary, according to Polymarket, a cryptocurrency-based prediction market headquartered in New York City. Polymarket showed Mamdani, a 33-year-old second-term Assembly member, ahead of Cuomo in the morning in the city's unusual ranked choice voting primary election. The market shift came after one of the last independent polls of voters showed Mamdani winning in the city's ranked choice voting models. The June 23 Emerson College Polling/PIX11/The Hill survey showed Cuomo with 35% support in the first round, followed by Mamdani at 32%. It marked a substantial shift in Mamdani's support in a crowded field of candidates. The poll had respondents rank five candidates in order of preference, modeling after the ranked choice voting system. Over eight rounds of eliminating candidates with the lowest vote counts, the simulation had Mamdani beating Cuomo 52% to 48%. The poll, conducted June 18-20 amid early voting, sampled over 830 likely voters and those who voted early, with a margin of error of 3.3%. After its release, Cuomo returned to having slightly higher chances of winning in betting markets. It's still a dramatic shift, even from late May, when Polymarket rated Cuomo with a 91% chance of winning the mayor's race. No other candidates in the race registered more than 1%. Most previous polls have shown Cuomo with a larger lead, around 10 percentage points, on average. Early voting ended June 22. On June 24, polls for the primary election are open from 6 a.m. to 9 p.m. Eduardo Cuevas is based in New York City. Reach him by email at emcuevas1@ or on Signal at emcuevas.01.

Brooklyn born and raised: NYC mayoral candidate Sen. Zellnor Myrie
Brooklyn born and raised: NYC mayoral candidate Sen. Zellnor Myrie

Yahoo

time2 hours ago

  • Politics
  • Yahoo

Brooklyn born and raised: NYC mayoral candidate Sen. Zellnor Myrie

The Brief New York State Sen. Zellnor Myrie is one of several candidates running for New York City mayor. Myrie represents the 20th Senate District, which includes a range of neighborhoods in Central Brooklyn. An Emerson College Polling/PIX11/The Hill survey revealed that 4.8 percent of voters support Myrie. NEW YORK CITY - New York State Senator Zellnor Myrie is one of the Democrats running for New York City mayor – here's a breakdown on the senator. The backstory Born to two Costa Rican immigrants, Myrie was raised in Prospect Lefferts Gardens in Brooklyn. He graduated from Brooklyn Technical High School and has a degree in Urban Studies from Fordham University. MORE: Meet the candidates running for NYC mayor: List After graduating from Fordham, Myrie worked as Legislative Director for City Councilmember Fernando Cabrera. He left the City Council to pursue a law degree at Cornell Law School. Myrie was elected to the State Senate in 2018, serving the 20th Senate District – he is still the senator representing that district. What we know Sen. Myrie announced his run for New York City's mayoral office on Dec. 3, 2024. MORE: 2025 NYC primaries coverage An Emerson College Polling/PIX11/The Hill survey released on May 28 revealed that 4.8 percent of voters support Myrie. "Rebuild NYC" is Myrie's plan to build "one million homes" in New York City – this would entail building 70,000 homes and creating "New Neighborhoods" from underutilized land. Click to open this PDF in a new window. Myrie also has an education-focused plan that would include universal afterschool guarantee, expanded hours for 3-K and Pre-K and universal summer youth employment – an expansion on the city's current Summer Youth Employment Program. MORE: Notable endorsements for NYC mayoral candidates The senator also has a plan to specifically address Black New Yorkers: "Black Agenda for NYC." This agenda includes "tackling the racial wealth gap," as well as investing in black maternal and reproductive health and supporting small businesses, among other things. The Source This article includes information from Senator Zellnor Myrie's mayoral campaign website, results from the 2018 election and an Emerson College Polling/PIX11/The Hill survey.

Cuomo, Mamdani neck and neck in final NYC mayoral poll
Cuomo, Mamdani neck and neck in final NYC mayoral poll

The Hill

time10 hours ago

  • Politics
  • The Hill

Cuomo, Mamdani neck and neck in final NYC mayoral poll

New York Assemblyman Zohran Mamdani has effectively drawn even with former New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo (D) in the Democratic primary for New York City mayor and surpasses him in the final round of a ranked-choice simulation, according to a new poll released Monday. In a final survey of the race from Emerson College Polling/PIX11/The Hill, Cuomo led Mamdani 35 percent to 32 percent overall, which is within the poll's margin of error. New York City Comptroller Brad Lander came in at 13 percent, followed by City Council Speaker Adrienne Adams at 8% and former Comptroller Scott Stringer at 3 percent. Four percent of voters were undecided. But the survey also allowed respondents to rank their top choices. In the first round of voting, Cuomo led Mamdani 36 percent to 34 percent. In the eighth round of voting, once all the other candidates were eliminated, Mamdani came out on top, beating Cuomo 52 percent to 48 percent. New York City uses a ranked-choice voting system for its mayoral primary, meaning voters are able to select their top five candidates in order of preference. If no candidate surpasses 50 percent in the first round of voting, the candidate who's last is eliminated and their votes are redistributed to the other candidates according to how they ranked their other choices. The latest findings point to continued momentum for Mamdani, a democratic socialist who has emerged as the leading progressive choice in the Democratic race to succeed Mayor Eric Adams (D), who is running as an independent. In the last Emerson College Polling/PIX11/The Hill survey, taken in May, Cuomo led Mamdani 35 percent to 23 percent. 'Over five months, Mamdani's support has surged from 1% to 32%, while Cuomo finishes near where he began,' said Spencer Kimball, Emerson College Polling's executive director. 'In the ranked-choice simulation, Mamdani gains 18 points compared to Cuomo's 12, putting him ahead in the final round for the first time in an Emerson poll.' The survey is the latest to point to a close race as voters head to the polls on Tuesday. A Marist poll released last week found Cuomo leading Mamdani in the seventh round of voting, 55 percent to 45 percent. Cuomo has been the clear favorite as Democrats look to oust Adams, who was the subject of a federal corruption case that was eventually dropped by the Justice Department, drawing accusations that the mayor had sought to curry favor with President Trump. A win by Cuomo this week would represent a stunning resurgence for the former governor, who resigned from his job as the Empire State's top executive in 2021 amid sexual harassment allegations and a brewing scandal involving accusations that his administration concealed nursing home deaths during the COVID-19 pandemic. Even with his baggage, Cuomo has earned the backing of many notable figures in the Democratic Party, most recently Rep. Jim Clyburn (D-S.C.), the influential Black Congressional Caucus member. And while Mamdani has emerged as the clear progressive favorite, scoring the endorsement of Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) and Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), he has also drawn criticism from the establishment. Last week, The New York Times editorial board urged voters not to support Mamdani despite pledging not to endorse in local elections. The Emerson College Polling/PIX11/The Hill survey was conducted from June 18 to June 20 with a sample size of 833 likely voters and a margin of error of plus or minus 3.3 percent. The first round of ranked-choice voting was conducted with a sample size of 800 likely voters and a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percent. The final round was conducted with 729 voters and had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.6 percent.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store