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Yahoo
4 days ago
- Climate
- Yahoo
2025 Summer Outlook: What to expect in Middle Tennessee
NASHVILLE, Tenn. (WKRN) — Meteorological summer has already started, but the first day of summer isn't until Friday, June 20th. We all know that summer in Middle Tennessee and Southern Kentucky is going to be hot and humid, but how hot will it get? During the average summer in Middle Tennessee and Southern Kentucky, we see high temperatures and high humidity compared to folks to our north. The average high temperature for Nashville during the summer months gets as high as the low 90s. Lows are typically in the upper 60s and low 70s. The warm overnight temperatures are partially caused by the high humidity that's common here. Dew points are routinely in the 70s from June through August. This makes it feel even hotter. Want the forecast delivered directly to your inbox? Sign up for the News 2 Forecast Newsletter The Climate Prediction Center issues seasonal outlooks, and they are forecasting slightly warmer than normal temperatures from June through August. Their forecast is for near-average precipitation. The forecast for above-average temperatures is no surprise. Out of the last 10 summers in Nashville, 7 of them have featured warmer-than-normal temperatures. The precipitation trend is also above average. Eight out of the last 10 summers featured more rainfall than normal. This spring was the 5th wettest on record in Middle Tennessee. Let's look back at Nashville's wettest springs to see if it had any impact on what we saw in the summer. During the years that we had record rainfall during the spring, most of the following summers featured cooler-than-normal temperatures. This makes sense because a saturated ground favors higher humidity. Air with a lot of moisture in it takes more energy to heat up. There wasn't much correlation between record wet springs and summertime rainfall. But if you're tired of the rain, 6 out of 10 of those summers had below-average rainfall. ⏩ It's unlikely it will be as hot and as dry as last summer, but it will feel hot no matter what. The extreme heat and humidity start this weekend. The forecast for Saturday, June 21st, and Sunday, the 22nd, is for temperatures in the mid-90s and feels like temperatures over 100°. Don't forget to take the power and reliability of the WKRN Weather Authority with you at all times by downloading the News 2 Storm Tracker app. Copyright 2025 Nexstar Media, Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.


Axios
7 days ago
- Climate
- Axios
New Orleans hits 110°F heat index and it's just the beginning
This summer has a 50% chance of being hotter than average in New Orleans and most of Louisiana, according to the National Weather Service's Climate Prediction Center. Why it matters: Extreme heat is a major public health threat. It also threatens the reliability of the power grid. The big picture: New Orleans over the weekend had its first heat advisory of the season. New Orleans tied the high temp record on Saturday of 95°F. The "feels like" temp was 110°F at the airport and lakefront, according to the National Weather Service in Slidell. Temperatures are expected to be in the high-80s and low-90s all week, with daily thunderstorms possible, NWS says. The cloud cover should keep the "feels like" temp around 108°F. Yes, but: This is just the start. July and August are historically the hottest months of the year in New Orleans. Threat level: The heat has already been deadly this year. A toddler died Sunday in Hammond after being left in a hot car for more than nine hours, authorities say. Last year, 51 people died in Louisiana from heat-related causes, according to the state health department. How to protect yourself: If you are outside in the heat, drink plenty of water, wear lightweight clothes, apply sunscreen and take frequent breaks in the shade or AC, officials say. Summer's getting hotter Zoom out: Like most of the country, summer has been getting hotter in New Orleans over the past 50 years, a recently updated analysis found. The average summer temperature in New Orleans is now 4°F hotter than it was in 1970, according to Climate Central, a nonprofit climate research and communications group, using NOAA data through 2024. Zoom out: On top of rising overall temperatures, New Orleans is the among the worst " heat island" communities among all major U.S. metros, according to Climate Central. 77% of New Orleanians live in urban heat island neighborhoods, the group says. New Orleans can be more than 8°F warmer than surrounding tree-covered communities, mostly due to a lack of permeable surface. Go deeper. How to cool off Go deeper
Yahoo
09-06-2025
- Climate
- Yahoo
What is the Florida weather forecast for Father's Day? What to know
Before you get ready to fire up the grill or make your Father's Day beach plans, it might be a good idea to check the weather. Dad's day comes right as Florida traditionally serves up afternoon thunderstorms and surprise rain showers. It also comes right after the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season starts, and the National Hurricane Center is currently watching three tropical waves out there. But experts aren't expecting anything to develop any time soon. "None of the reputable forecast models are showing a realistic chance of anything tropical forming on the Atlantic side of Central America through mid-month," said Dr. Ryan Truchelut, chief meteorologist with WeatherTiger. But this is Florida, so that doesn't mean dad won't get wet. Rain is possible across the state, but the Peninsula is forecast to have a greater-than-33% chance of precipitation from June 14 through the 18th, according to the National Weather Service's Climate Prediction Center. North and Central Florida are expected to have their historical amounts of rainfall and South Florida may be dryer than usual. For this time of year, that still means rain. Feeding dad: Father's Day 2025 food deals and specials for fast food, restaurant chains in Florida As of June 9, the NWS is forecasting: , western Panhandle: Showers and thunderstorms are expected all week into the weekend, with an 80% chance of rain on Sunday as of June 9. Weekend temps are expected to be in the mid 80s. , central Panhandle: Showers and thunderstorms likely all week, mostly in the afternoons. Chance of rain is 70% during the weekend, with highs in the low 90s. , North Florida: Chances of showers and thunderstorms will increase through the week with an80% chance of precipitation on the weekend. Weekend temps will be in the low 90s. across to and down to Stuart: Showers and thunderstorms possible in the mornings and afternoons all week, with a 50% chance Saturday and a 40% chance Sunday. Temps in the 80s. to : South Florida: Storms possible all week, with 50% chance of precipitation on Saturday and Sunday on the east coast, 60% on the Gulf Coast. Temps in the mid 80s. to , Southwest Florida: Scattered showers and thunderstorms possible all week, with high heat indexes around Fort Myers in the beginning of the week. By the weekend, expect isolated showers and a 50% chance of rain, with highs in the low 90s.. Father's Day is always the third Sunday in June. This year that's Sunday, June 15. Mother's Day started as a commercial holiday in 1908 and was made an official holiday in six years later by President Woodrow Wilson. Father's Day started in response to Mother's Day with the first celebration in 1910, but it took six decades to become official. According to the country's first event explicitly in honor of fathers occurred as a one-time event in 1908 in memory of the 361 men killed in the Monongah, West Virginia mining disaster that left more than a thousand children without a dad the year before. It had been suggested by Grace Golden Clayton, the daughter of a minister. A year later, Sonora Smart Dodd, who was one of six children raised by a twice married, twice widowed Civil War veteran, began advocating for a day to honor the "loving service" of fathers. In 1909, she talked the Spokane Ministerial Association to honor fathers nationwide for their dedication to their families and by 1910, Washington became the first state to celebrate a statewide Father's Day. Father's Day celebrations were slow to be accepted, with some calling a day for gifts and flowers unmanly and others calling for a single Parents Day. But shops promoted it during the Great Depression as a way to get people to spend money and it took off during World War II as a way to support the troops. Presidents Wilson and Calvin Coolidge both recognized it, but it wasn't until 1966 that President Lyndon B. Johnson issued a proclamation designating the date. President Richard Nixon made it a permanent national holiday in 1972. This article originally appeared on The Daytona Beach News-Journal: Father's Day forecast for Florida is stormy and hot. What to expect
Yahoo
08-06-2025
- Climate
- Yahoo
Minnesota's summer outlook: Hotter and drier days ahead?
Minnesota's summer outlook: Hotter and drier days ahead? originally appeared on Bring Me The News. Meteorological summer began June 1, and the summer solstice is just a couple of weeks away on June 20. Spring was warm and wet for the Twin Cities, with warm conditions statewide, but the spring precipitation picture was more mixed. So far, June is running above normal on temperatures and a little below normal on rainfall, believe it or not. What might we expect the rest of this month and for the summer season? The official forecast for June from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) calls for slightly better odds of above-normal (versus below) temperatures. Their temperature probability pattern reflects what we've seen already: a series of upper-level lows (pools of cool air aloft) that dive into the central U.S., giving us some crummy periods with heat on either end of it. This pattern has led to cool, wet conditions already in the south-central U.S. On balance, this pattern has made us average out above normal for temperatures, but the same amount of precip farther south is unusual for this point in the summer, making their temps average below normal. Most of our medium- to long-range models agree with the CPC assessment. The consensus is for slightly above-normal June temperatures and slightly below-normal June precipitation—essentially what we've had this first week already. The CPC forecast calls for equal chances of below/above precipitation for the month of June. Summer appears to amplify the pattern we're seeing a bit more. There's a higher likelihood overall of summer temperatures averaging above normal and precipitation averaging below normal than in June itself. The official CPC forecast calls for slightly better odds of above-normal summer temperatures but also slightly higher odds of below-normal summer precipitation, with the 'bull's eye' of highest odds not far to our west. The North American Multi-Model Forecast Ensembles (NMME) is more bullish on temperature. These are several different forecast models used by NOAA for North America, averaged together (ensembles). The NMME calls for nearly 80% odds of above-normal summer temperatures and slightly below-normal summer precipitation. The 80% stood out to me because when we look at climate data alone, and not forecast models, about 70% to 80% of summers since the year 2000 have averaged above normal (1991–2020 average) for temperatures. So, without looking at anything, you could make a good bet on summers being warmer than normal. Winter gets a lot of attention because it is our fastest-warming season (with more warm extremes), but summer is more consistent (fewer extremes, but more consistently above the normals). On a statewide basis, too, 68% of summers for the last quarter-century have been above normal. Consistent summer warmth and volatile winters, with warm winters outpacing cooler winters, is a telltale sign of climate change for our region. This story was originally reported by Bring Me The News on Jun 8, 2025, where it first appeared.
Yahoo
07-06-2025
- Climate
- Yahoo
NOAA expects up to 5 major hurricanes in 2025: 'Be prepared'
When you buy through links on our articles, Future and its syndication partners may earn a commission. Many people are still recovering from devastating storms during the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season even as this year's season began this week on June 1. And like last year's, the 2025 hurricane season is anticipated to be busier than normal. The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 to Nov. 30 every year, and before it begins, forecasters at the Climate Prediction Center (CPC), part of the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) National Weather Service, share their thoughts on what type of storm activity we could see. For the 2025 season, CPC researchers forecast that chances sit at 60% that it will be "above normal," with the number of named storms between 13 to 19 (where wind speeds get up to a minimum of 39 mph, or 63 kph). Of those named storms, six to ten are anticipated to reach hurricane strength (winds of at least 74 mph, or 119 kph), and between three to five will develop into major hurricanes. Major hurricanes are defined as those that grow to at least Category 3 on the Saffir-Simpson scale, meaning sustained winds reach a minimum of 111 mph (179 kph). Typically, for a hurricane season to be "normal," there will be 14 named storms, where seven strengthen into hurricanes and three are major. These storms have the potential to impact millions of people, NOAA leaders say. "As we witnessed last year with significant inland flooding from hurricanes Helene and Debby, the impacts of hurricanes can reach far beyond coastal communities," Laura Grimm, acting NOAA Administrator, said in a statement. "NOAA is critical for the delivery of early and accurate forecasts and warnings, and provides the scientific expertise needed to save lives and property." To determine how busy the season could be, forecasters consider a variety of factors. This year, the prediction was made based on a persistence of neutral El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) conditions, ocean temperatures trending above average, the likelihood of weak wind shear, and a possibility of increased activity from the West African monsoon (this is where hurricanes in the Atlantic primarily originate). With the continuation of elevated ocean temperatures and decreased trade winds, there's more energy available to fire up tropical systems and less of a chance storms will be disrupted or "torn apart" while they are forming. Also, with the possibility that the West African monsoon will shift to the north, this would set the stage for the production of tropical waves that can turn into powerful and long-duration systems in the Atlantic. RELATED STORIES: — Satellites reveal Hurricane Helene's deadly fury as a monster Category 4 storm during landfall (videos) — 'Their loss diminishes us all': Scientists emphasize how Trump's mass NOAA layoffs endanger the world — Scientists warn of consequences as over 800 NOAA workers are fired: 'Censoring science does not change the facts' NOAA leaders stress that the 2024 season should serve as a reminder of why forecasting is so vital to ensure that as many people are as prepared as possible during hurricane season. "In my 30 years at the National Weather Service, we've never had more advanced models and warning systems in place to monitor the weather," Ken Graham, NOAA's National Weather Service Director, said in a statement. "This outlook is a call to action: be prepared. Take proactive steps now to make a plan and gather supplies to ensure you're ready before a storm threatens." It is important to note that the outlook NOAA puts out every season refers specifically to the development of storms, and it is not a prediction for landfalling storms. There will be another update in early August from NOAA's CPC to the seasonal outlook, which will account for how the season is progressing, which also takes place just before the climatological peak of the season.