Latest news with #CenterforImmigrationStudies
New York Post
4 days ago
- Politics
- New York Post
Here's how much the illegal immigrant population has plummeted since Trump's return to the White House
The population of illegal immigrants in the US has dropped by an estimated 1 million since President Trump returned to the White House in January, according to a new report from the Center for Immigration Studies. The decline occurred between January and May as Trump ushered in a new mass deportation campaign and border lockdown, according to the report, which analyzed a household survey from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Migrants walking on a dirt road in Boulevard, Calif., after crossing the Mexico border in February 2024. James Keivom And it's 'perhaps due to their leaving in response to President Trump's election and stepped-up enforcement effort,' the report noted. There were an estimated 14.8 million illegal immigrants roaming the US in May, according to CIS' estimate. In January, CIS estimated that there were 15.4 million illegal immigrants in the United States, which jumped 50% as the Biden administration released record numbers of border jumpers into the country. Many of the illegal immigrants left on their own as Trump pushed them to 'self-deport,' CIS fellow Andrew Arthur noted in a recent op-ed for The Post. The Trump administration launched the CBP Home app in March to allow illegal immigrants to volunteer to leave the country on their own without facing any consequences. The White House also began paying for illegal immigrants' commercial flights home with an additional $1,000 payment for going back to their native countries. Line graph showing decline in non-citizen population from Latin America since December 2024. The massive drop is largely attributed to a 1.07 million 'falloff' in the population of non-citizens from Latin America who arrived in 1980 or later, which 'overlaps significantly with illegal immigrants,' Steven Camarota, who co-authored the report, told The Post. The number of foreign-born workers also dropped by 601,000 from January to May, according to the study. The total foreign-born population dropped 957,000 from January to May, which is 'one of the largest declines over a four-month period in the foreign-born in the last three decades, but it is not unprecedented,' according to the report. It also noted that it's possible that some undocumented immigrants didn't participate in the survey, fearing that they could be swept up in Trump's immigration raids as a result of sharing their status with the federal government.
Gulf Insider
6 days ago
- Politics
- Gulf Insider
One Million Illegal Aliens Have 'Self-Deported' Under Trump
Andrew Arthur, a law and policy fellow at the Center for Immigration Studies and a former immigration judge, wrote in the New York Post on Sunday that an estimated 1 million illegal aliens have self-deported since President Trump's second term began. Arthur pointed out that the Trump administration is quietly running a 'self-deportation' campaign through what was formerly known as the CBP One app under Biden, now rebranded as 'CBP Home,' which allows illegals to signal their intent to exit the country. Those who self-deport can receive a $1,000 stipend, saving taxpayers the $17,000 cost of forced removal. Illegals who self-deport are making the smart move. — Paul A. Szypula 🇺🇸 (@Bubblebathgirl) June 14, 2025 By the numbers, Arthur cited… One way to track the program is by checking employment numbers. One financial whiz cited by the Wall Street Journal calculated a decline in the immigrant population of 773,000 in the first four months of Trump II . The Washington Post claims 'a million foreign-born workers have exited the workforce since March .' The Post frames this as 'a sign of the weakening labor supply.' Yet the paper also notes, ' Average hourly wages accelerated, rising by 0.4 percent over the month, to $36.24 in May , as earnings continue to beat inflation in a boost to workers' spending power.' 'DHS can't arrest and deport 15.4 million illegal aliens, but if it simply enforces the law, many aliens will get the message and leave on their own — as hundreds of thousands apparently already have,' Arthur said. He noted that Trump's self-deportation program echoes past success stories, such as Operation Wetback under Eisenhower. Meanwhile, the illegal alien party in America is coming to an end as the protected status for a million migrants is being terminated. In April, around 350,000 Venezuelans lost their Temporary Protected Status in the country and were told to self-deport. Many more TPS terminations are scheduled in the months ahead. The latest from Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) is that forced deportations of illegals are averaging around 3,000 per day, which would put the agency on track for over one million deportations per year. Also read: Trump: No More 'Bullshit' Windmills
New York Post
15-06-2025
- Politics
- New York Post
Nearly 1 million illegal immigrants have ‘self deported' under Trump, which has led to higher wages
While ICE arrests and deportations have grabbed headlines, President Trump is also running a separate but complementary 'mass deportation' program — one that encourages aliens here unlawfully to go home voluntarily. And if reports are correct, that plan is more successful than anyone could have imagined. Based on government data, my organization, the Center for Immigration Studies, has conservatively estimated there are about 15.4 million illegal aliens in the United States, an 50% increase over the four tumultuous years of the Biden administration. 3 Members of the Texas National Guard turn away migrants after they crawled through the concertina wire after crossing the U.S.-Mexico Border at the Rio Grande river on Tuesday, October 3, 2023 in El Paso, Texas. NYPJ That's no surprise, given how Biden and his Department of Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas ignored congressional detention mandates and ushered millions of illegal migrants into the United States. Trump rode a wave of concerns about the costs those migrants are imposing on schools, hospitals, housing, and essential government services in cities and towns across the United States to a second term. Now that he's back in the Oval Office, it's up to him, 'border czar' Tom Homan, and DHS Secretary Kristi Noem to drive the unauthorized population down and restore credibility to our immigration system. They've implemented a two-track plan to tackle this onerous task. One of those tracks relies on arrests and deportations of aliens unlawfully here, which at the outset has focused mainly on criminals (the 'worst first' strategy). 3 US President Donald Trump stands and salutes during the Army 250th Anniversary Parade from the Ellipse in Washington, DC on June 14, 2025. AFP via Getty Images The other track is more subtle but also cheaper for taxpayers and arguably much more effective —encouraging illegal migrants here to self-deport. It began with an Inauguration Day Trump directive requiring DHS to ensure all aliens present in the United States — legal and otherwise — have registered with the federal government, and to prosecute those who don't comply. By late February, Noem had implemented that registration program. DHS next launched a multi-million-dollar ad campaign warning migrants not to enter illegally or, alternatively, to leave voluntarily now and possibly 'have an opportunity to return and enjoy our freedom and live the American Dream.' Noem also rebranded the notorious CBP One app — which the Biden administration used to funnel hundreds of thousands of illegal migrants into our country — as 'CBP Home,' which aliens can use to 'notify the U.S. Government of their intent to depart'. That rebranding coincided with an offer of financial incentives for aliens who leave voluntarily, a stipend of $1,000. That's in lieu of costly physical deportation, which can cost taxpayers $17,100 per person on average. How effective has self-deportation been? 3 Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas is sworn-in before the House Committee on Homeland Security during a hearing on 'A Review of the Fiscal Year 2025 Budget Request for the Department of Homeland Security' on Capitol Hill in Washington, Tuesday, April 16, 2024. AP One way to track the program is by checking employment numbers. One financial wiz cited by the Wall Street Journal calculated a decline in the immigrant population of 773,000 in the first four months of Trump II. The Washington Post claims 'a million foreign-born workers have exited the workforce since March.' The Post frames this as 'a sign of the weakening labor supply.' Yet the paper also notes, 'Average hourly wages accelerated, rising by 0.4 percent over the month, to $36.24 in May, as earnings continue to beat inflation in a boost to workers' spending power.' In other words, with fewer illegal immigrants, businesses had to raise wages to attract workers. But aliens will only leave if they believe Trump and Homan are serious about arrests, and employers know the feds are targeting shady businesses. This voluntary exodus shouldn't be surprising. When President Eisenhower launched his deportation round-up in 1954, nearly 10 aliens left voluntarily for each one arrested. A post-9/11 registration program also drove self-deportations. DHS can't arrest and deport 15.4 million illegal aliens, but if it simply enforces the law, many aliens will get the message and leave on their own — as hundreds of thousands apparently already have. Andrew Arthur is the fellow in law and policy at the Center for Immigration Studies.
Yahoo
13-06-2025
- Business
- Yahoo
Millions around the world rely on money sent by family members working in the U.S. Trump's 'big, beautiful bill' would deal them a financial blow.
Poor countries around the world are still dealing with the impact of America's foreign aid programs being essentially shut down in the early days of President Trump's second term. Now Republicans in Congress are poised to deal a smaller yet still significant blow to another crucial financial lifeline: Money they receive from loved ones working in the U.S. Money transfers from the U.S., often sent by immigrants who came here specifically to earn cash they can use to support the people they left back home, are a vital source of income for people in developing countries around the world. Cumulatively, U.S. residents sent more than $79 billion abroad in 2022, the most recent year with available data. That's more than the federal government spent on direct foreign assistance the same year and double the amount that was sent from any other country. The GOP's 'big, beautiful bill' includes a provision that would impose a new tax on these transfers, which are formally known as remittances. As it's currently written, the bill would place a 3.5% tax on all outbound remittances. If that rate holds, it would mean billions of dollars intended for the poorest people across the globe would instead go to the government. The bill is still being negotiated, however, and some Republicans in Congress would like to see the rate cranked up substantially. Even if the rate does not change, the bill would still make the U.S. one of the world's most expensive wealthy countries to send money from, when you combine the new tax with the fees that banks typically charge for international transfers. Most of the money that leaves the U.S. goes to countries with the most immigrants living here. Mexico received $52 billion in remittances in 2021, equivalent to about 4% of the country's gross domestic product. India was a distant second with $15.8 billion. Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum denounced the proposal last month, calling it 'an injustice' and a 'tax on those who have the least.' While Mexico would lose the most in terms of sheer dollars, the impact would be felt most acutely in poorer nations with small economies that are heavily dependent on money from overseas. Remittances account for more than a quarter of the GDPs of Nicaragua, Honduras and El Salvador. Some of the poorest countries in Africa would also be significantly affected. The amount of money the new tax would generate would be a drop in the bucket in the government's budget. Proponents of the proposal say its value would be much more than the revenue it would generate. Mark Krikorian, executive director of the anti-immigration think tank Center for Immigration Studies, told the Associated Press that the extra costs would help reduce the incentives that people have to travel to the U.S. illegally. 'One of the main reasons people come here is to work and send money home,' he said. 'If that's much more difficult to do, it becomes less appealing to come here.' Critics of the plan say that, while the most severe harm would fall on vulnerable people who are already reeling from the Trump administration's aid cuts, Americans would also suffer negative consequences. 'The tax is likely to create collateral damage by imposing compliance burdens on people who are not the intended target of the tax while struggling to collect revenue from the intended targets,' Alan Cole and Patrick Dunn of the Tax Foundation wrote earlier this month. Some financial services groups also oppose the tax because they believe it will create unnecessary and harmful hurdles for international business. 'This remittance tax provision in particular mandates a massive invasion of privacy by private businesses and the federal government on American citizens, creates undue tax burden for law-abiding Americans, reduces business revenue, complicates regulatory efforts, and hinders law enforcement,' the heads of seven lobbying groups for the finance sector wrote in a joint statement. The 'big, beautiful bill' passed the House last month and is currently being negotiated in the Senate. The remittance tax is a relatively minor part of the massive tax and spending plan, but there are some indications that it could be the source of disagreement within the GOP caucus. Insider reports say that some key senators are 'weighing concerns' about the tax, but it also has some strong backers. The most fervent supporters of the plan are in the House, which will have to approve whatever bill comes out of the Senate before it can become law. Several far-right GOP representatives — including Marjorie Taylor Greene and Chip Roy — reacted to Sheinbaum's criticisms by calling for the rate of the tax to be dramatically increased. Rep. Eric Schmitt wrote on social media that he would introduce a proposal to increase the rate to 15%. 'America is not the world's piggy bank,' he wrote. 'And we don't take kindly to threats.'
Yahoo
13-06-2025
- Business
- Yahoo
Millions around the world rely on money sent by family members working in the U.S. Trump's 'big, beautiful bill' would deal them a financial blow.
Poor countries around the world are still dealing with the impact of America's foreign aid programs being essentially shut down in the early days of President Trump's second term. Now Republicans in Congress are poised to deal a smaller yet still significant blow to another crucial financial lifeline: Money they receive from loved ones working in the U.S. Money transfers from the U.S., often sent by immigrants who came here specifically to earn cash they can use to support the people they left back home, are a vital source of income for people in developing countries around the world. Cumulatively, U.S. residents sent more than $79 billion abroad in 2022, the most recent year with available data. That's more than the federal government spent on direct foreign assistance the same year and double the amount that was sent from any other country. The GOP's 'big, beautiful bill' includes a provision that would impose a new tax on these transfers, which are formally known as remittances. As it's currently written, the bill would place a 3.5% tax on all outbound remittances. If that rate holds, it would mean billions of dollars intended for the poorest people across the globe would instead go to the government. The bill is still being negotiated, however, and some Republicans in Congress would like to see the rate cranked up substantially. Even if the rate does not change, the bill would still make the U.S. one of the world's most expensive wealthy countries to send money from, when you combine the new tax with the fees that banks typically charge for international transfers. Most of the money that leaves the U.S. goes to countries with the most immigrants living here. Mexico received $52 billion in remittances in 2021, equivalent to about 4% of the country's gross domestic product. India was a distant second with $15.8 billion. Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum denounced the proposal last month, calling it 'an injustice' and a 'tax on those who have the least.' While Mexico would lose the most in terms of sheer dollars, the impact would be felt most acutely in poorer nations with small economies that are heavily dependent on money from overseas. Remittances account for more than a quarter of the GDPs of Nicaragua, Honduras and El Salvador. Some of the poorest countries in Africa would also be significantly affected. The amount of money the new tax would generate would be a drop in the bucket in the government's budget. Proponents of the proposal say its value would be much more than the revenue it would generate. Mark Krikorian, executive director of the anti-immigration think tank Center for Immigration Studies, told the Associated Press that the extra costs would help reduce the incentives that people have to travel to the U.S. illegally. 'One of the main reasons people come here is to work and send money home,' he said. 'If that's much more difficult to do, it becomes less appealing to come here.' Critics of the plan say that, while the most severe harm would fall on vulnerable people who are already reeling from the Trump administration's aid cuts, Americans would also suffer negative consequences. 'The tax is likely to create collateral damage by imposing compliance burdens on people who are not the intended target of the tax while struggling to collect revenue from the intended targets,' Alan Cole and Patrick Dunn of the Tax Foundation wrote earlier this month. Some financial services groups also oppose the tax because they believe it will create unnecessary and harmful hurdles for international business. 'This remittance tax provision in particular mandates a massive invasion of privacy by private businesses and the federal government on American citizens, creates undue tax burden for law-abiding Americans, reduces business revenue, complicates regulatory efforts, and hinders law enforcement,' the heads of seven lobbying groups for the finance sector wrote in a joint statement. The 'big, beautiful bill' passed the House last month and is currently being negotiated in the Senate. The remittance tax is a relatively minor part of the massive tax and spending plan, but there are some indications that it could be the source of disagreement within the GOP caucus. Insider reports say that some key senators are 'weighing concerns' about the tax, but it also has some strong backers. The most fervent supporters of the plan are in the House, which will have to approve whatever bill comes out of the Senate before it can become law. Several far-right GOP representatives — including Marjorie Taylor Greene and Chip Roy — reacted to Sheinbaum's criticisms by calling for the rate of the tax to be dramatically increased. Rep. Eric Schmitt wrote on social media that he would introduce a proposal to increase the rate to 15%. 'America is not the world's piggy bank,' he wrote. 'And we don't take kindly to threats.'
