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Bell Potter Keeps Their Buy Rating on COG Financial Services Limited (COG)
Bell Potter Keeps Their Buy Rating on COG Financial Services Limited (COG)

Business Insider

time3 days ago

  • Business
  • Business Insider

Bell Potter Keeps Their Buy Rating on COG Financial Services Limited (COG)

In a report released today, Hayden Nicholson from Bell Potter maintained a Buy rating on COG Financial Services Limited (COG – Research Report), with a price target of A$1.75. The company's shares closed today at A$1.47. Confident Investing Starts Here: Easily unpack a company's performance with TipRanks' new KPI Data for smart investment decisions Receive undervalued, market resilient stocks right to your inbox with TipRanks' Smart Value Newsletter According to TipRanks, Nicholson is a 3-star analyst with an average return of 12.1% and a 52.38% success rate. Nicholson covers the Financial sector, focusing on stocks such as HUB24 Limited, COG Financial Services Limited, and Netwealth Group Ltd.. COG Financial Services Limited has an analyst consensus of Strong Buy, with a price target consensus of A$1.48. The company has a one-year high of A$1.62 and a one-year low of A$0.86. Currently, COG Financial Services Limited has an average volume of 445.6K. Based on the recent corporate insider activity of 10 insiders, corporate insider sentiment is neutral on the stock.

With 31% ownership in COG Financial Services Limited (ASX:COG), institutional investors have a lot riding on the business
With 31% ownership in COG Financial Services Limited (ASX:COG), institutional investors have a lot riding on the business

Yahoo

time29-04-2025

  • Business
  • Yahoo

With 31% ownership in COG Financial Services Limited (ASX:COG), institutional investors have a lot riding on the business

Institutions' substantial holdings in COG Financial Services implies that they have significant influence over the company's share price 51% of the business is held by the top 7 shareholders Recent sales by insiders Our free stock report includes 3 warning signs investors should be aware of before investing in COG Financial Services. Read for free now. To get a sense of who is truly in control of COG Financial Services Limited (ASX:COG), it is important to understand the ownership structure of the business. And the group that holds the biggest piece of the pie are institutions with 31% ownership. In other words, the group stands to gain the most (or lose the most) from their investment into the company. Last week's 11% gain means that institutional investors were on the positive end of the spectrum even as the company has shown strong longer-term trends. The one-year return on investment is currently 16% and last week's gain would have been more than welcomed. In the chart below, we zoom in on the different ownership groups of COG Financial Services. See our latest analysis for COG Financial Services Many institutions measure their performance against an index that approximates the local market. So they usually pay more attention to companies that are included in major indices. As you can see, institutional investors have a fair amount of stake in COG Financial Services. This suggests some credibility amongst professional investors. But we can't rely on that fact alone since institutions make bad investments sometimes, just like everyone does. When multiple institutions own a stock, there's always a risk that they are in a 'crowded trade'. When such a trade goes wrong, multiple parties may compete to sell stock fast. This risk is higher in a company without a history of growth. You can see COG Financial Services' historic earnings and revenue below, but keep in mind there's always more to the story. It would appear that 12% of COG Financial Services shares are controlled by hedge funds. That worth noting, since hedge funds are often quite active investors, who may try to influence management. Many want to see value creation (and a higher share price) in the short term or medium term. Our data shows that Cameron McCullagh is the largest shareholder with 12% of shares outstanding. Meanwhile, the second and third largest shareholders, hold 12% and 6.6%, of the shares outstanding, respectively. We also observed that the top 7 shareholders account for more than half of the share register, with a few smaller shareholders to balance the interests of the larger ones to a certain extent. Researching institutional ownership is a good way to gauge and filter a stock's expected performance. The same can be achieved by studying analyst sentiments. There are a reasonable number of analysts covering the stock, so it might be useful to find out their aggregate view on the future. The definition of an insider can differ slightly between different countries, but members of the board of directors always count. Company management run the business, but the CEO will answer to the board, even if he or she is a member of it. Insider ownership is positive when it signals leadership are thinking like the true owners of the company. However, high insider ownership can also give immense power to a small group within the company. This can be negative in some circumstances. Our most recent data indicates that insiders own a reasonable proportion of COG Financial Services Limited. Insiders own AU$51m worth of shares in the AU$279m company. This may suggest that the founders still own a lot of shares. You can click here to see if they have been buying or selling. The general public, who are usually individual investors, hold a 31% stake in COG Financial Services. This size of ownership, while considerable, may not be enough to change company policy if the decision is not in sync with other large shareholders. Our data indicates that Private Companies hold 7.6%, of the company's shares. Private companies may be related parties. Sometimes insiders have an interest in a public company through a holding in a private company, rather than in their own capacity as an individual. While it's hard to draw any broad stroke conclusions, it is worth noting as an area for further research. I find it very interesting to look at who exactly owns a company. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Be aware that COG Financial Services is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those shouldn't be ignored... If you would prefer discover what analysts are predicting in terms of future growth, do not miss this free report on analyst forecasts. NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures. Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned. 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Shareholders in COG Financial Services (ASX:COG) are in the red if they invested a year ago
Shareholders in COG Financial Services (ASX:COG) are in the red if they invested a year ago

Yahoo

time08-02-2025

  • Business
  • Yahoo

Shareholders in COG Financial Services (ASX:COG) are in the red if they invested a year ago

Investors can approximate the average market return by buying an index fund. While individual stocks can be big winners, plenty more fail to generate satisfactory returns. For example, the COG Financial Services Limited (ASX:COG) share price is down 28% in the last year. That's disappointing when you consider the market returned 15%. Even if shareholders bought some time ago, they wouldn't be particularly happy: the stock is down 28% in three years. It's worthwhile assessing if the company's economics have been moving in lockstep with these underwhelming shareholder returns, or if there is some disparity between the two. So let's do just that. See our latest analysis for COG Financial Services To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price. Even though the COG Financial Services share price is down over the year, its EPS actually improved. Of course, the situation might betray previous over-optimism about growth. The divergence between the EPS and the share price is quite notable, during the year. So it's well worth checking out some other metrics, too. We don't see any weakness in the COG Financial Services' dividend so the steady payout can't really explain the share price drop. From what we can see, revenue is pretty flat, so that doesn't really explain the share price drop. Unless, of course, the market was expecting a revenue uptick. The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image). We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. If you are thinking of buying or selling COG Financial Services stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts. When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of COG Financial Services, it has a TSR of -23% for the last 1 year. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence! While the broader market gained around 15% in the last year, COG Financial Services shareholders lost 23% (even including dividends). Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 8% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with COG Financial Services (including 1 which is potentially serious) . COG Financial Services is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find lesser know companies this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket. Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Australian exchanges. Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned. Sign in to access your portfolio

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