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BOJ to keep raising rates if economy improves, Governor Ueda says
BOJ to keep raising rates if economy improves, Governor Ueda says

Reuters

time5 hours ago

  • Business
  • Reuters

BOJ to keep raising rates if economy improves, Governor Ueda says

TOKYO, June 20 (Reuters) - Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda said on Friday the central bank will continue to raise interest rates if improvements in the economy keep the country on track to durably achieve its 2% inflation target. "Underlying inflation may stagnate due to a slowdown in economic growth, but likely to accelerate thereafter as intensifying labour shortages heighten medium- to long-term inflation expectations," Ueda said in a speech.

BOJ to keep raising rates if economy improves, Governor Ueda says
BOJ to keep raising rates if economy improves, Governor Ueda says

CNA

time5 hours ago

  • Business
  • CNA

BOJ to keep raising rates if economy improves, Governor Ueda says

TOKYO :Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda said on Friday the central bank will continue to raise interest rates if improvements in the economy keep the country on track to durably achieve its 2 per cent inflation target. "Underlying inflation may stagnate due to a slowdown in economic growth, but likely to accelerate thereafter as intensifying labour shortages heighten medium- to long-term inflation expectations," Ueda said in a speech.

Asian shares are mixed and oil gains as world waits to see if US will join Israel's war against Iran
Asian shares are mixed and oil gains as world waits to see if US will join Israel's war against Iran

The Independent

time7 hours ago

  • Business
  • The Independent

Asian shares are mixed and oil gains as world waits to see if US will join Israel's war against Iran

Crude oil prices rose and Asian shares were trading mixed on Friday as investors awaited more clarity on whether or not the U.S. will join Israel's war against Iran. U.S. futures edged lower after Wall Street was closed on Thursday for the Juneteenth holiday. U.S. benchmark crude oil added 15 cents to $73.65 per barrel, while Brent crude, the international standard was up 19 cents at $76.89 per barrel. Oil prices have been gyrating as fears rise and ebb that the conflict between Israel and Iran could disrupt the global flow of crude. Iran is a major producer of oil and also sits on the narrow Strait of Hormuz, through which much of the world's crude passes. Investors remained wary after the White House said President Donald Trump could decide on whether to launch an attack on Israel within the next two weeks, but that he 'still believes diplomacy is an option,' said Anderson Alves, a trader at ActivTrades. Trump's tariffs agenda remains another major factor weighing on markets. Tokyo's Nikkei 225 index edged 0.1% higher to 38,538.14 after Japan reported that its core inflation rate, excluding volatile food prices, rose to 3.7% in May, adding to challenges for Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba's government and the central bank. 'Core Japanese inflation rose more than expected in May. Even so, the Bank of Japan is likely to prioritize the negative impact of U.S. tariffs, Min Joo Kang of ING Economics said in a commentary. 'For now, it's more concerned about the risk that US trade policies could break the virtuous circle of wage growth and inflation." Hong Kong's Hang Seng index jumped 1.2% to 23,504.59, while the Shanghai Composite gained 0.1%, reversing earlier losses, to 3,364.83. China's central bank kept its key 1-year and 5-year loan prime rates unchanged, as expected. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 shed 0.3% to 8,500.40 while South Korea's Kospi gained 1.2% to 3,014.05. 'Risk sentiments were cautious as Iran-Israel tensions continued roiling,' Mizuho Bank Ltd. said in a commentary. On Thursday, the Bank of England kept its main interest rate at a two-year low of 4.25%, citing risks that the conflict between Israel and Iran will escalate. The U.S. dollar slipped to 145.28 Japanese yen from 145.46 yen. The euro rose to $1.1530 from $1.1498.

Slow rate hikes could cause wage-price spiral, BOJ paper says
Slow rate hikes could cause wage-price spiral, BOJ paper says

Reuters

time7 hours ago

  • Business
  • Reuters

Slow rate hikes could cause wage-price spiral, BOJ paper says

TOKYO, June 20 (Reuters) - Hiking interest rates only gradually as raw material costs rise could heighten the risk of an upward spiral in wages and consumer prices, the Bank of Japan said in a research paper released this week. The paper's publication on Thursday comes as the central bank faces an increasingly complicated policy environment, with inflation at a more than two-year high and U.S. tariffs fanning economic uncertainty. While the staff papers do not represent the BOJ's official view on monetary policy, they provide hints on key topics of attention within the central bank in setting interest rates. The BOJ staff paper, using data from 2002 to 2024, analysed trends in Japan and Europe - which both rely heavily on imported commodities - to study the extent to which rising material costs led to second-round effects on inflation. In Japan, the pass-through of prices from rising raw materials was more moderate than in Europe, the paper said. The second-round effects were moderate but sustained in both Japan and Europe, it said. "Both in Japan and Europe, the initial effects of high raw material costs were the main cause of inflationary trends since 2020. The second-round effects may have heightened the sustainability of price rises," the paper said. Central banks typically raise interest rates to avoid second-round effects on inflation, or a state in which initial price shocks like higher energy costs trigger a spiral of rising wages and inflation that could lead to a broad-based, persistent inflationary environment. A closer look at Japan's data suggested the BOJ's slow pace of interest rate hikes could be enhancing the second-round effects on inflation, the paper said. Structural changes in Japan's labour market could also be making wages less rigid - or more likely to move flexibly reflecting a tight job market - and enhancing the second-round effects on inflation than in the past, the paper said. The analysis comes amid heightening attention within the BOJ board on how persistent rises in food and raw material costs could affect underlying inflation, and households' perception of future price moves. While uncertainty over U.S. tariff policy has put the BOJ on hold in raising interest rates, Governor Kazuo Ueda has signaled the bank's resolve to keep pushing up borrowing costs if Japan stays on course to durably hit the bank's 2% inflation target. Japan's core inflation hit a more than two-year high in May and exceeded the central bank's 2% target for well over three years, keeping it under pressure to resume rate hikes despite economic headwinds from U.S. tariffs.

Slow rate hikes could cause wage-price spiral, BOJ paper says
Slow rate hikes could cause wage-price spiral, BOJ paper says

CNA

time8 hours ago

  • Business
  • CNA

Slow rate hikes could cause wage-price spiral, BOJ paper says

TOKYO :Hiking interest rates only gradually as raw material costs rise could heighten the risk of an upward spiral in wages and consumer prices, the Bank of Japan said in a research paper released this week. The paper's publication on Thursday comes as the central bank faces an increasingly complicated policy environment, with inflation at a more than two-year high and U.S. tariffs fanning economic uncertainty. While the staff papers do not represent the BOJ's official view on monetary policy, they provide hints on key topics of attention within the central bank in setting interest rates. The BOJ staff paper, using data from 2002 to 2024, analysed trends in Japan and Europe - which both rely heavily on imported commodities - to study the extent to which rising material costs led to second-round effects on inflation. In Japan, the pass-through of prices from rising raw materials was more moderate than in Europe, the paper said. The second-round effects were moderate but sustained in both Japan and Europe, it said. "Both in Japan and Europe, the initial effects of high raw material costs were the main cause of inflationary trends since 2020. The second-round effects may have heightened the sustainability of price rises," the paper said. Central banks typically raise interest rates to avoid second-round effects on inflation, or a state in which initial price shocks like higher energy costs trigger a spiral of rising wages and inflation that could lead to a broad-based, persistent inflationary environment. A closer look at Japan's data suggested the BOJ's slow pace of interest rate hikes could be enhancing the second-round effects on inflation, the paper said. Structural changes in Japan's labour market could also be making wages less rigid - or more likely to move flexibly reflecting a tight job market - and enhancing the second-round effects on inflation than in the past, the paper said. The analysis comes amid heightening attention within the BOJ board on how persistent rises in food and raw material costs could affect underlying inflation, and households' perception of future price moves. While uncertainty over U.S. tariff policy has put the BOJ on hold in raising interest rates, Governor Kazuo Ueda has signaled the bank's resolve to keep pushing up borrowing costs if Japan stays on course to durably hit the bank's 2 per cent inflation target. Japan's core inflation hit a more than two-year high in May and exceeded the central bank's 2 per cent target for well over three years, keeping it under pressure to resume rate hikes despite economic headwinds from U.S. tariffs.

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