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Yahoo
5 days ago
- Climate
- Yahoo
Eastern Pacific tropical rainstorm may rapidly strengthen, threaten Mexico
The eastern Pacific continues its tropical tear with already the fourth tropical storm of the season in the books and the fifth on the way. The latest tropical rainstorm has the potential to rapidly intensify and may threaten the coast of Mexico as a potent hurricane at landfall. Close on the heels of Dalila, a poorly organized tropical rainstorm just off the coast of Mexico is forecast by AccuWeather meteorologists to become the next tropical depression and tropical storm of the 2025 eastern Pacific hurricane season. With four tropical storms and one hurricane already history for the basin, this season is well ahead of the historical average pace. Typically, the fourth tropical storm does not form until mid-July, and the average date for the first hurricane is not until June 26. Barbara briefly strengthened to a hurricane back on Sunday, June 8. "We expect the latest tropical rainstorm off the southern coast of Mexico and the western coast of Central America to slowly drift north-northwestward and gradually organize into midweek," AccuWeather Lead Hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva said, "Sometime on Tuesday or Wednesday, we should have a tropical depression or perhaps Tropical Storm Erick." That official call is made by the National Hurricane Center and will be based on wind and pressure data the app? Unlock AccuWeather Alerts™ with Premium+ "There is a chance that if this tropical rainstorm can organize quickly enough, it could then rapidly strengthen from a tropical storm to a powerful hurricane," DaSilva said, "That rapid intensification process could occur just hours prior to making landfall along the southwestern coast of Mexico sometime late Wednesday night to Thursday morning." Factoring in the possibilities of intensity, track, topography and population, the AccuWeather RealImpact™ Scale for Hurricanes with the current rainstorm is a 1. Barbara peaked last week as an entry-level Category 1 hurricane while well offshore with maximum sustained winds of 75 mph. This new storm could easily eclipse that intensity as it approaches the coast and populated areas. How much rain and wind occur to the north and east of the center will depend on the amount of strengthening prior to landfall later this week. Both heavy rain and gusty winds will reach Mexico in advance of the center of the storm. Enough rain is likely to fall in parts of southern and southwestern Mexico along the coast and over the interior mountains to cause dangerous flash flooding and mudslides. Strong winds will buffet the coast generating large swells, big waves, overwash on the beaches and shoreline and dangerous rip currents in the surf zone. AccuWeather meteorologists expect 14-18 tropical storms for the eastern Pacific season with seven to 10 to become hurricanes. Of these, from three to six will bring direct impacts to Mexico and Central America. In the wake of the fifth tropical storm this week, there may be a brief lull in activity over the eastern Pacific. Tropical Atlantic continues to sleep Meanwhile, the tropical Atlantic basin continues to struggle with vast areas of dry air, dust and disruptive winds-all of which are not uncommon tropical development deterrents early in the season. "While the chances have become very small, we continue to watch the area close in to land in the southwestern Gulf and the western Caribbean for tropical development late in June," DaSilva said. There have been some showers and thunderstorms in this area in recent days, but no organization has occurred. "Any tropical rainstorm or depression that were to form in the area would likely not spend much time over warm water and, hence, its lifespan would be brief," DaSilva said. Want next-level safety, ad-free? Unlock advanced, hyperlocal severe weather alerts when you subscribe to Premium+ on the AccuWeather app. AccuWeather Alerts™ are prompted by our expert meteorologists who monitor and analyze dangerous weather risks 24/7 to keep you and your family safer.
Yahoo
13-06-2025
- Climate
- Yahoo
More storms, temperatures swings ahead for the Northeast
A pattern more reminiscent of the middle of spring rather than the middle of June will result in frequent showers, thunderstorms and fluctuating temperatures across the Northeast into next week. Wet weather has been common across the region, with weekends especially prone to rain. This has resulted in disrupted landscaping projects, outdoor weddings, graduation ceremonies and recreational plans. AccuWeather forecasters say that Father's Day weekend will be no different, at least for part of the region. A slow-moving storm with ample moisture will trigger clouds and pockets of rain into early next week. The steadiest rain and most frequent downpours will be across the mid-Atlantic, where localized flooding can occur. Residents and visitors from Pittsburgh to Richmond, Virginia, Washington, D.C., and Baltimore should prepare for showers and thunderstorms at times and the potential need to seek shelter when outdoors. Those heading to the 250th anniversary parade of the U.S. Army in Washington, D.C., on Saturday should be prepared for a drenching shower or gusty thunderstorm, though the whole day will not be a washout. "The rain is not welcomed due to a wet spring and already saturated soil," AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Chad Merrill said. Although the stormy weather will be widespread and can repeat across the Ohio Valley, southern Appalachians and the mid-Atlantic, some communities may be spared from wet weather for much of the weekend, due to the hit-or-miss nature of the shower and thunderstorm the app? Unlock AccuWeather Alerts™ with Premium+ Across northern New England, a wedge of cool air has settled into the region following a backdoor cold front, and the cool conditions are expected to linger into next week. Backdoor fronts are named after their atypical movement from the northeast to the southwest. They more typically cross the region during the middle of spring. "A pocket of dry air may dip down from Canada on Sunday and may be just enough to keep rain away most of the day in parts of New England and eastern upstate New York, resulting in good weather for Father's Day barbecue plans, fishing trips or a day at the ballpark," AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Alex Sosnowski said. High temperatures through Monday will be in the 60s and 70s F across the Northeast, which is around 10-15 degrees Fahrenheit below historical averages and a far cry from the burst of heat experienced during the middle and latter portion of this week. AccuWeather's team of long-range meteorologists expect the atmospheric pattern to shift and allow summer heat to return during the middle and latter part of next week. "An extended period of heat, with warm and humid nights, is possible from the Ohio Valley to the Northeast starting during the second half of next week, making it feel more like summer," AccuWeather Lead Long-Range Meteorologist Paul Pastelok said. The buildup of heat and humidity will create additional opportunities for showers and thunderstorms to develop, especially during the afternoon. Want next-level safety, ad-free? Unlock advanced, hyperlocal severe weather alerts when you subscribe to Premium+ on the AccuWeather app. AccuWeather Alerts™ are prompted by our expert meteorologists who monitor and analyze dangerous weather risks 24/7 to keep you and your family safer.
Yahoo
12-06-2025
- Climate
- Yahoo
Severe storms to focus on Plains states through Father's Day weekend
The greatest risk of severe weather through the Father's Day weekend will be over the Great Plains, near the edge of moist air to the east and dry air to the west, AccuWeather meteorologists warn. People with travel or outdoor plans through the weekend are encouraged to stay up-to-date with the weather. As thunderstorms grow, conditions can quickly change during the late afternoon and evening hours. As a general rule, "if thunder roars move indoors." •Have the app? Unlock AccuWeather Alerts™ with Premium+ Much of the thunderstorm activity may be widely separated over the vast open places of the Plains. However, some storms may gather to form large groups where more severe weather can occur and move along over considerable distances. Into Thursday night, severe weather associated with a jet stream storm will focus a bit east of the Plains from the mid-Mississippi Valley to the upper Texas coast. These storms can be especially drenching as they will be in the thick of moist air from the Gulf. Farther west, thunderstorms will extend along a 1,200-mile-long zone from West Texas and central and eastern New Mexico to central and eastern South Dakota. Some of the strongest storms in this zone can bring large hail and wind gusts ranging from 60-80 mph. On Friday, the threat of severe thunderstorms will extend across the central and northern High Plains. From Friday afternoon to Friday evening, a greater concentration of severe weather is anticipated from the Nebraska Panhandle to central Montana. Once again, large hail and powerful wind gusts will be the greatest risks to lives and property. Yet another round of severe thunderstorms is forecast for the same general area of the High Plains on Saturday. Even though Saturday's severe thunderstorms during the late-day and nighttime hours will be widely separated, the risk will extend for nearly 1,000 miles from the Oklahoma Panhandle to northern Montana. The Saturday evening storms will bring the risk of a few tornadoes, as well as the same potential for large hail and powerful wind gusts. On Father's Day, the severe weather threat will expand farther to the east across the northern and central Plains. On Sunday, the storms will advance eastward as a solid line, broken line segments or perhaps a large cluster. The storms on Father's Day will carry the full spectrum of severe weather ranging from powerful wind gusts to hail, flash flooding and perhaps a few tornadoes. Want next-level safety, ad-free? Unlock advanced, hyperlocal severe weather alerts when you subscribe to Premium+ on the AccuWeather app. AccuWeather Alerts™ are prompted by our expert meteorologists who monitor and analyze dangerous weather risks 24/7 to keep you and your family safer.
Yahoo
12-06-2025
- Climate
- Yahoo
Father's Day forecast: West to have best weather for outdoor activities
Where Mother's Day is a popular date on the calendar for enjoying a meal at a restaurant, Father's Day is big for close-to-home outdoor activities, ranging from a day at the ballpark or beach to a fishing excursion or simply firing up the grill and enjoying some family time. And of course, there's absolutely nothing wrong with Dad just taking a snooze on the couch or hammock. The best areas for sunshine with minimal risk of rain in the United States on Father's Day will be west of the Rockies. In contrast, humid air farther east will lead to areas of showers and thunderstorms, with some of the storms becoming severe, AccuWeather meteorologists say. For those heading to the West Coast beaches this weekend, the waters are typically very chilly. Low clouds in the morning should burn off, allowing sunshine during the afternoon in most cases. Farther inland over the West, sunshine will boost the air to very warm to hot levels with widespread highs in the 80s and 90s F. Desert areas can approach 100 degrees. Be sure to pack plenty of water to stay hydrated if taking a hike in the wilderness. With the landscape drying out, caution is urged with open flames or equipment that can produce sparks to avoid the risk of igniting a wildfire. •Have the app? Unlock AccuWeather Alerts™ with Premium+ Only very sparse thunderstorm activity is foreseen over the West's mountains, and most of those storms will tend to form on the eastern side of the Rockies, as opposed to the Intermountain region on Sunday. The trouble from thunderstorms will ramp up east of the Rockies on Father's Day. AccuWeather meteorologists expect a large zone where thunderstorms can become locally severe over the central and northern Plains to part of the Midwest. Farther to the east, higher humidity levels and typical June warmth will tend to lead to a mosaic of showers and thunderstorms from the Mississippi Valley to the Atlantic Seaboard. For those who manage to enjoy their day without a downpour or two interrupting activities, luck may be on their side. While not all of this zone will experience downpours, where it does rain, it may pour for an average of a couple of hours. This time of the year, the bulk of the shower and thunderstorm activity tends to occur from 2 p.m. to 8 p.m. local time, with some exceptions. This means there is a better chance for dry weather for outdoor activities in the morning to midday hours, as opposed to the afternoon and evening. The zones where it could shower and thunderstorm at any time for multiple hours will extend from the lower Mississippi Valley to the Ohio Valley, southern Appalachians and the lower part of the mid-Atlantic coast, with another pocket perhaps over the northern Plains. Any thunderstorm is capable of producing a lightning strike in the local vicinity with no notice. Seeking shelter beneath trees can be a deadly mistake. Move indoors at the first rumble of thunder. Picnic pavilions, boats and golf carts do not offer adequate protection from lightning. It is possible that an area of high pressure near Bermuda could exert enough influence to keep storms away from the southern Atlantic beaches from Florida to North Carolina most of the day. The Southeast in general will be very warm and humid on Sunday, where rain stays away. A small pocket of high pressure may also have just enough cool, dry air to keep much of New England and parts of upstate New York and the central Great Lakes dry as well. Want next-level safety, ad-free? Unlock advanced, hyperlocal severe weather alerts when you subscribe to Premium+ on the AccuWeather app. AccuWeather Alerts™ are prompted by our expert meteorologists who monitor and analyze dangerous weather risks 24/7 to keep you and your family safer.
Yahoo
11-06-2025
- Climate
- Yahoo
Rain, storms to return to much of Northeast for Father's Day weekend
The clock is ticking on a batch of dry air that turned off showers and thunderstorms for most areas in the Northeast. AccuWeather meteorologists say that moist air capable of producing downpours is not all that far away and will return to some areas before the Father's Day weekend. A small area of high pressure that moved in from the Midwest was just strong enough to dry out the atmosphere through Thursday for much of the Northeast. An exception will be some showers in northern Maine and a narrow zone of showers and spotty thunderstorms from the Lower Peninsula of Michigan to along the northern Pennsylvania and southern tier of New York border on Thursday. The sunshine and overall good drying conditions will help temperatures rise with widespread highs in the 80s F on Thursday. Some parts of the mid-Atlantic can reach the lower 90s on Thursday with AccuWeather RealFeel® Temperatures in the mid- to upper 90s. Beyond Thursday, however, the dry air will be replaced by clouds and the app? Unlock AccuWeather Alerts™ with Premium+ By Friday afternoon, the return of higher humidity levels will lead to an uptick in showers and thunderstorms from southern and western New York through the rest of the mid-Atlantic and central Appalachians. While not all of this area will experience a downpour, the places that do could be drenched. And, some places might be soaked by more than one shower. As a storm rolls slowly out of the south-central United States this weekend, it will continue to pump moisture northward from the Gulf and northwestward from the Atlantic. The moisture surge may be significant enough for downpours to repeat and trigger flash flooding in parts of the Ohio Valley, southern Appalachians and part of the mid-Atlantic by Saturday. Those heading to the 250th anniversary parade of the U.S. Army in Washington, D.C., on Saturday should be prepared for a couple of drenching showers or thunderstorms. As the storm continues to advance northeastward and moisture further expands in the region on Sunday, most of the Northeast will be at risk for locally drenching showers and perhaps gusty thunderstorms. Father's Day barbeque plans, a fishing trip or a day at the ballpark or beach could be hampered by downpours and the potential for thunderstorms. The best day at the mid-Atlantic beaches over the next several days is likely to be on Thursday before the rain arrives over the weekend. Looking ahead into next week, "there are some signs that a spell of very warm weather or perhaps a even a heat wave may evolve," AccuWeather Lead Long-Range Meteorologist Paul Pastelok said. "That will depend on how strong an area of high pressure is that is forecast to build in place over the region." Time will tell if the high is strong enough to shunt the Father's Day weekend storm to the east and hold off new storms to the west. Want next-level safety, ad-free? Unlock advanced, hyperlocal severe weather alerts when you subscribe to Premium+ on the AccuWeather app. AccuWeather Alerts™ are prompted by our expert meteorologists who monitor and analyze dangerous weather risks 24/7 to keep you and your family safer.
