Trump rules MAGA like a religious leader - Iran won't tear this cult apart
Its capture of the GOP also means old-school Republicans now float in the MAGA midst, singing from the same song sheet when it comes to the deification of Trump, but harbouring more traditional GOP views on policy, including geopolitics and foreign affairs.
So, someone like the long-serving South Carolina Senator Lindsey Graham, who believes fervently in defending Ukraine and disarming Iran, has to perform the awkward dance of praising the leader while gently cajoling him to take stronger action against Moscow and Tehran.
Likewise for Senator Ted Cruz of Texas, who has suddenly become the poster boy for US-led regime change in Tehran after appearing on Carlson's program on Thursday (AEST). It was an ideal encapsulation of the wider MAGA debate, pitting the hawk's hawk, Cruz, against hardline isolationist and Putin sympathiser, Carlson.
A teaser clip of the appearance went viral, with Cruz unable to answer when asked for the population of Iran. 'You don't know the population of the country you seek to topple?' Carlson asked, incredulous.
It was a gotcha question, as Cruz later said, and irrelevant to the substance of the issue: Iran's ambitions for a nuclear weapon, and, in Cruz's telling, its plans to assassinate Trump. But in the MAGA universe, Carlson had landed a hit. And their broader conversation – about whether the Bible compelled them to defend Benjamin Netanyahu's Israel – also struck a MAGA fault line.
The relevance of the former Fox host may be questionable (Trump mocked him by saying he should get a TV show so that people might hear what he says), but Carlson remains a significant player in the ecosystem of MAGA activists and commentators like Jack Posobiec, Candace Owens, Laura Loomer and countless others.
If you don't follow US politics closely, you may not fully appreciate the extent of the MAGA media world, which runs the gamut from mainstream conservative (Fox) to a far-right fringe of YouTube streamers, podcasters and their guests. It's in these echo chambers that a lot of MAGA thought percolates.
When Trump called Carlson 'kooky' on Truth Social, Owens said the president had 'completely fractured his base'. She added that he was appeasing the same neocons who had opposed his nomination in the first place. 'Truly unbelievable,' she said.
Not everyone is so strident. Appearing on Bannon's War Room on Thursday (AEST), Posobiec – a former navy intelligence officer – pushed the commonly held theory that Trump is simply playing four dimensional chess, beyond the grasp of mere mortals.
'It seems to me that Trump could be pursuing a grand strategy whereby he secures peace in Ukraine and an end to the Iranian nuclear program in one fell swoop by making a deal through Iran to get to Russia,' Posobiec said. Interviewer Dave Brat concurred: 'That sounds right to me, and it sounds like President Trump to me.'
Conservative activist Charlie Kirk, co-founder of political action group Turning Point USA, pleaded with the MAGA flock to keep the faith – including by turning off their phones, reading scripture and seeing friends.
'President Trump knows his base. Have some faith in his ability to handle this. His whole life has led to this moment,' Kirk said on X. 'We must trust Trump in this situation.'
Indeed, we soon heard from Trump that Carlson had called him to apologise for his remarks, which were 'too strong'. Sound familiar? Last week, Elon Musk phoned Trump to make amends for his many online outbursts amid the pair's spectacular falling out, and then began a grovelling public apology tour.
When you're the president – especially when you're this president, who rules his cult as a religious leader, and has compared himself to Jesus and the Pope – that is the kind of loyalty you can command. At least publicly, at least while you're still early in your term.
Remember, Trump's own vice-president, JD Vance, thought Trump was either a 'cynical asshole' or 'America's Hitler' in 2016. They all come around eventually.
'My supporters are for me,' Trump said on Thursday (AEST). 'I don't want to fight either, but if it's a choice between fighting and them having a nuclear weapon, you have to do what you have to do.
'Don't forget, we [the US] haven't been fighting. We add a certain amount of genius to everything, but we haven't been fighting.'
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If Trump does decide to conduct a strike against Iran, it will shock the MAGA movement deeply, but they will almost certainly get over it. Likewise, if he opts not to, and keeps pursuing the 'deal' he has always preferred, it won't necessarily be because the base said so.
'America First' is whatever Trump says it is. He told us so himself.
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