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RBI buyback sees strong demand with bids doubling notified amount

Economic Times12-06-2025

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) received bids Rs 53,031 crore against the notified amount of Rs 26,000 crore at the second buyback auction of this fiscal year. At the auction held on Thursday, the central bank accepted 99% of the notified amount.
ADVERTISEMENT At the first buyback held last week, the RBI received bids worth Rs 27,256 crore, of which the central bank accepted Rs 23,856 crore or 95% of the notified amount, data showed.
Buybacks are a way for the government to pay off debt for next fiscal year to reduce its gross borrowing. It also results in RBI infusing durable liquidity into the system.
The RBI bought back five government bonds maturing in 2026 at Thursday's auction. The 5.63% 2026 government bond saw the highest demand with bids received at Rs 26,616 crore. Of this, the central bank accepted Rs17,402 crore.
'The strong demand at the buyback auction indicates that banks may have taken this opportunity to lighten their HTM book, especially because there are no OMOs on the horizon,' said Rajeev Pawar, head of treasury at Ujjivan Small Finance Bank. 'In a buyback, banks get to sell short-term bonds and replace them with longer maturity papers and lock-in yields. Further buyback auctions will depend on how the government spending pans out and on evolving liquidity conditions.'
ADVERTISEMENT Bonds maturing in FY27 are more than double versus this year at Rs 6.48 lakh crore and are consistently high until 2032. The government has also budgeted Rs 2.5 lakh crore for bond switches this year, 60% more than the previous year.In a bond switch, the government replaces bonds maturing in the near term with long-term debt. The RBI, on behalf of the government, is scheduled to conduct an auction on Monday to switch government securities worth Rs 25,000 crore. It will conduct the auction to switch nine government bonds maturing between 2026 and 2029 for papers with maturity between 2032 and 2062.
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It is this supply which poses the main risk to the market.'Wood noted that domestic flows and sentiment remain strong, especially in consumer finance stocks. However, FII positioning indicates growing concern about over-valuation and saturation in parts of the valuation, earnings downgrades and growth moderation are another red flag. HSBC, in its Q4 review, flagged weak topline performance in consumer staples and slowing credit growth in banks.'Demand for consumer staples was subdued, while competitive intensity remains high… Growth for banks moderated to a single-digit rate amid margin pressures,' the HSBC note said, adding that 'a sustained recovery in earnings growth is still a few quarters away.'The IT sector, despite posting 6% net income growth, continues to suffer from poor visibility in US demand, weak discretionary spend, and macro uncertainty in export markets. 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Positions in L&T, Thermax, and Godrej Properties are being exited, replaced with TVS Motor, Home First Finance, and Manappuram Finance. Additional exposure is also being added to PolicyBazaar and Bharti Airtel, signaling a shift to consumption- and credit-focused domestic flows remain robust, the intensity and concentration of FII selling, especially in IT, FMCG, and auto, should not be ignored. With nearly ₹1 lakh crore of outflows in six months, the foreign money is clearly betting on earnings downgrades, valuation fatigue, and a global demand slowdown.'We seek out quality, high-integrity businesses at reasonable valuations… Our value-conscious approach often leads us to sectors that may be out of favour but possess strong fundamentals,' Mehta investors navigating this turbulent landscape, the data suggests a clear bifurcation: domestic-oriented sectors like telecom and financials are attracting foreign capital, while export-dependent sectors face sustained selling pressure. 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