Could Tariff Exemptions Calm Market Volatility?

David Bahnsen, Founder & Managing Partner of the Bahnsen Group, discusses whether or not President Trump talking about tariff exemptions or flexibility will be a way to calm down market volatility, and how companies will move forward and try to provide guidance as there is still uncertainty around the President's tariffs. David speaks with Kailey Leinz on the late edition of Bloomberg's "Balance of Power." (Source: Bloomberg)

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The board of Serica Energy plc (LON:SQZ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 25th of July, with investors receiving $0.10 per share. This means the annual payment is 10.0% of the current stock price, which is above the average for the industry. While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. Investors will be pleased to see that Serica Energy's stock price has increased by 45% in the last 3 months, which is good for shareholders and can also explain a decrease in the dividend yield. Trump has pledged to "unleash" American oil and gas and these 15 US stocks have developments that are poised to benefit. We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Based on the last payment, the company wasn't making enough to cover what it was paying to shareholders. This situation certainly isn't ideal, and could place significant strain on the balance sheet if it continues. Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to fall by 85.3% over the next year. If the dividend continues along the path it has been on recently, the company could be paying out more than double what it is earning, which is definitely a bit high to be sustainable going forward. Check out our latest analysis for Serica Energy Even in its relatively short history, the company has reduced the dividend at least once. Due to this, we are a little bit cautious about the dividend consistency over a full economic cycle. The dividend has gone from an annual total of $0.0369 in 2020 to the most recent total annual payment of $0.242. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 46% a year over that time. It is great to see strong growth in the dividend payments, but cuts are concerning as it may indicate the payout policy is too ambitious. With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. Over the past five years, it looks as though Serica Energy's EPS has declined at around 5.9% a year. Declining earnings will inevitably lead to the company paying a lower dividend in line with lower profits. Overall, the dividend looks like it may have been a bit high, which explains why it has now been cut. The company isn't making enough to be paying as much as it is, and the other factors don't look particularly promising either. Considering all of these factors, we wouldn't rely on this dividend if we wanted to live on the income. Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. For example, we've picked out 2 warning signs for Serica Energy that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks. Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.