Fox News Highlights – June 18th, 2025

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Associated Press

13 minutes ago

• Associated Press

Erdogan vows to boost Turkey's missile production as Israel-Iran war escalates

ANKARA, Turkey (AP) — As the war between Israel and Iran escalates, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has said he plans to strengthen the country's deterrence capabilities so that no country would dare attack it. Erdogan announced plans this week to step up Turkey's production of medium- and long-range missiles. Erdogan discussed the Iran-Israel war with German Chancellor Friedrich Merz in a telephone call on Friday. He told Merz that the Iranian nuclear issue can only be resolved through negotiations, according to Erdogan's office. Despite Turkey's tense relations with Israel, analysts and officials don't see an immediate threat of the conflict spreading into NATO-member Turkey. Still, some see the move by Erdogan as a sign that the Israel-Iran war could trigger a new arms race in the region, with countries not directly involved in the fray ramping up their military efforts to preempt future conflicts. Ahmet Kasim Han, a professor of international relations at Istanbul's Beykoz University, said that Turkey was reacting to what he described as an unraveling world order. 'The Turkish government is drifting toward what is the name of the game in the Middle East right now: an escalation of an arms race,' he said. Israel and the U.S. have set a high standard in aerial warfare, creating a technological gap that Turkey and others are eager to close, Han said. Erdogan said following a Cabinet meeting on Monday that 'we are making production plans to bring our medium- and long-range missile stockpiles to a level that ensures deterrence, in light of recent developments.' 'God willing, in the not-too-distant future, we will reach a defense capacity that is so strong that no one will even dare to act tough toward us,' Erdogan said. In an separate address days later, the Turkish leader highlighted Turkey's progress in its domestically developed defense industry, that includes drones, fighter jets, armored vehicles and navy vessels, but stressed that continued effort was needed to ensure full deterrence. 'Although Turkey has a very large army — the second largest in NATO — its air power, its air defense is relatively weaker,' said Ozgur Unluhisarcikli, a Turkey analyst at the German Marshall Fund think tank. The ongoing conflict has reinforced the importance of air superiority, including missiles and missile defense systems, prompting 'countries in the region, including Turkey to strengthen its air power,' he said. Since the start of the conflict, Erdogan has been scrambling to end the hostilities. He has held a flurry of phone calls with leaders, including U.S. President Donald Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian, offering to act as a 'facilitator' for the resumption of negotiations on Iran's nuclear program. There are deep concerns in Turkey that a prolonged conflict will cause energy disruptions and lead to refugee movement from Iran, with which it shares a 560 kilometer-long (348 mile) border. Turkey relies heavily on energy imports, including from Iran, and rising oil prices due to the conflict could aggravate inflation and further strain its troubled economy. Turkey has strongly criticized Israel's actions, saying Iran has the legitimate right to defend itself against Israel's attacks, which came as nuclear negotiations were ongoing. Once close allies, Turkey and Israel have grown deeply estranged, especially after the start of the war in Gaza in 2023, with Erdogan becoming one of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's fiercest critics. Relations further deteriorated following the fall of Syrian President Bashar Assad's government, as Israel grew increasingly wary of expanding Turkish influence in Syria. Earlier this year, Turkey and Israel however, established a 'de-escalation mechanism' aimed at preventing conflict between their troops in Syria. The move came after Syria's Foreign Ministry said that Israeli jets had struck a Syrian air base that Turkey reportedly hoped to use. Israel hasn't commented on Turkey's announcement that it plans to ramp up missile production, but Israeli Foreign Minister Gideon Saar responded to Erdogan's criticisms of Israel over its attack on Iran in an X post on Wednesday. He accused Erdogan of having 'imperialist ambitions' and of having 'set a record in suppressing the freedoms and rights of his citizens, as well as his country's opposition.' Erdogan's nationalist ally, Devlet Bahceli, suggested that Turkey was a potential target for Israel, accusing the country of strategically 'encircling' Turkey with its military actions. He didn't elaborate. Analysts say, however, that such statements were for 'domestic consumption' to garner support amid growing anti-Israel sentiment in Turkey. 'I don't think that Israel has any interest in attacking Turkey, or Turkey has any interest in a conflict with Israel,' Han said.

Bloomberg

17 minutes ago

• Bloomberg

UK Denies Entry to South African Politician Over Extremist Views

A controversial South African politician, previously criticized by US President Donald Trump, was denied entry to the UK on the grounds that he had aired extremist views, including support for Iran-backed Hamas and Hezbollah. Julius Malema received notification this week that his application for a UK visa had been rejected. He leads the Economic Freedom Fighters, South Africa's fourth-biggest political party, which advocates the nationalization of land, mines and banks.

Politico

19 minutes ago

• Politico

How the Israel-Iran conflict could hit the economy

Presented by As the U.S. weighs intervention in Israel's conflict with Iran, Wall Street has been skittish, eyeing the potential fallout for oil prices and inflation. To get a better sense of what's driving the oil market and what economic risks might lie ahead, MM caught up with Rory Johnston, an oil market analyst at research service Commodity Context who's been following all of this closely. A takeaway from that conversation: The price jump has been notably large for a market that has become desensitized to political risks after safely weathering multiple shocks over the last few years, including Covid and the Russia-Ukraine war. Now, 'even a numb cynical oil market sees Israel bombing Tehran and says, 'OK, maybe worry a bit here,'' he said. Conflict with Iran is the 'No. 1 risk scenario that people talk about, and now we're living in it,' he added. A worst-case scenario would be if Tehran is driven to close off the Strait of Hormuz, a channel through which about a fifth of the world's oil passes. Experts including Johnston say it's unlikely Iran would do that unless pushed to the brink — such a move would run the risk of hurting its own economic lifeline, as well as antagonizing its neighbors in the region — but the shockwaves would be significant. For now, what struck your host is that this conflict is helping prop up prices at a time when they'd really started to drop, and that could help boost U.S. oil production, which had previously been forecast to contract in 2026. But the exact trajectory of all this is highly unclear. 'This is usually the lead-up to summer driving season, so gasoline prices were set to rise anyway,' POLITICO's resident oil market expert Ben Lefebvre told MM. 'Because of the current Middle East situation, they'll rise further than they might have when oil was still around $60 a barrel. But when compared to what U.S. drivers experienced even last year, it won't be too far off recent norms … if there is such a thing as 'recent norms.'' 'The interesting thing is whether this spurs U.S. oil companies to drill more,' he added. 'They might just see this as a temporary boost and not something they want to get too far ahead of.' Rewind to before the current Israel-Iran conflict escalated. OPEC, the cartel of major oil-exporting countries, had been holding back production but then ramped up output earlier this year. That move was taken, in part, to get ahead of the effects of President Donald Trump's tariffs, which had raised fears that demand for oil would crater amid a global slowdown. That was leading to forecasts of oversupply later this year, Johnston said, reducing incentives for oil companies to produce. Now, Israel's attacks on Iran have likely led to fear-buying, as well as speculative trading, that has pushed up prices as much as 15 percent. Fighting so far has spared infrastructure that would significantly crimp the outflow of crude. 'While theoretically on its face, nothing that's happened so far has changed anything physical about supply and demand, part of the way … price formation has occurred is you have physical participants — a refinery, whatever — that's all of a sudden worried they're not going to be able to get cargos next month or the month after,' Johnston said. For prices to stay high or go higher, there likely would have to be some actual damage to key oil infrastructure, he said. But in the meantime, the scope for economic disruption is still significant. The largest price increases have been for diesel, a key input for shipping and therefore a potential risk to inflation in many sectors. 'It might not seem as harsh at the pump, but your shipping and your route delivery is going to feel the pinch of diesel far more,' Johnston said. More broadly, John Fagan, co-founder of Markets Policy Partners and the former markets head at the Treasury Department, said this oil price shock feeds the narrative that the U.S. is going to have slower growth and higher prices: stagflation. 'Demand is not collapsing, and oil prices are not unbelievably high, so you don't have that pop and drop kind of dynamic' when prices rise above where the market can support, he said. 'And if the dollar can't rally, that's supportive of [higher] oil prices.' HAPPY FRIDAY — Hope many of you got to have a restful day off yesterday. Send thoughts about the economic outlook to vguida@ and as always, send MM tips and pitches to Sam Sutton, who is back next week: ssutton@ Driving the day Deputy Treasury Secretary Michael Faulkender speaks at the Council on Foreign Relations at 12:30 p.m. Debt warnings fall on deaf ears — Republicans are largely ignoring a host of reports warning that their bill would worsen the nation's fiscal trajectory in a serious way, our Ben Guggenheim reports. The Congressional Budget Office estimates Tuesday led to an unusual finding. Usually tax cuts tend to cost less under so-called dynamic scores that include economic effects. Not so here: The $2.8 trillion figure released Tuesday outstripped the CBO's prior $2.4 trillion estimate that did not include economic analysis — mostly because the bill would increase interest rates. But the GOP is relying instead on estimates from the White House that Kyle Pomerleau of the American Enterprise Institute called 'outrageous' and 'way higher than everyone else's.' Your MM host chatted last week with Joe Lavorgna, who joined the Treasury Department this month as a counselor to Secretary Scott Bessent, and he had thoughts on CBO's projection that the economy would grow at an average rate of 1.8 percent over the next 10 years. 'Once the One Big Beautiful Bill passes, it's going to lock in the gains that we saw in the first Trump administration, when we were growing at nearly 3 percent,' he told your MM host. 'Then, you could make a case because of AI,' productivity growth will be much higher. 'The trailing 10-year growth rate of GDP is 2.5 percent. Why aren't we using that? .. 1.8 is unbelievably pathetically slow.' On the pods: Hear from CBO Director Phillip Swagel himself on Bloomberg's Big Take podcast. Sober news on entitlements — The longterm financial health of Social Security and Medicare worsened last year, our Michael Stratford reports. 'Annual reports released by the Treasury Department on Monday show that Social Security's reserve funds, if combined, would run out of money to fully pay beneficiaries in 2034 — a year sooner than projected last year,' Stratford writes. 'And the trust fund that pays Medicare's hospital bills would be depleted in 2033 — three years earlier than expected.' Trump calls for 'clean' Senate crypto bill to pass — Late Wednesday, Trump called on House Republicans to move 'LIGHTNING FAST' to send Senate-passed stablecoin legislation to his desk, dialing up pressure on GOP lawmakers in the lower chamber to adopt the measure without any changes, our Jasper Goodman reports. The Economy ICYMI: Fed holds rates steady — Federal Reserve officials announced Wednesday that they will hold interest rates steady, ignoring repeated calls from President Donald Trump to dramatically lower borrowing costs. In fact, projections from the central bank's policymakers suggest they're less confident they will be able to significantly decrease rates than they were in March. Vibe check: Here was Trump's response on Truth Social Thursday morning: ''Too Late' Jerome Powell is costing our Country Hundreds of Billions of Dollars. He is truly one of the dumbest, and most destructive, people in Government, and the Fed Board is complicit. Europe has had 10 cuts, we have had none. We should be 2.5 Points lower, and save $BILLIONS on all of Biden's Short Term Debt. We have LOW inflation! TOO LATE's an American Disgrace!' Jobs report Carolyn Davis is now director of comms at Better Markets. She previously was director of external comms at Leadership for Educational Equity. Mike Spratt has joined the ICI as an associate general counsel. He previously was assistant director in the Division of Investment Management Disclosure Review office at the SEC. He also served as counsel to former SEC Commissioners Kara Stein and Elisse Walter.