Dollar mixed on tariff uncertainty
NEW YORK: The dollar was mixed on Friday but on track for a monthly gain against the Japanese yen as investors factored in the likelihood of trade tariffs remaining in some form, even as US President Donald Trump faces a court battle over his authority to impose them.
A federal appeals court temporarily reinstated the most sweeping of Trump's tariffs on Thursday, a day after a US trade court ruled that Trump had exceeded his authority in imposing the duties and ordered an immediate block on them.
While the exact level of tariffs that will remain on trading partners is unknown, traders are expecting the levies to persist in some form.
'We're going to have some tariffing. Maybe not as exciting as was announced on April the 2nd, but we're still going to get it,' said Steve Englander, head of global G10 FX research and North America macro strategy at Standard Chartered Bank's NY Branch. 'The one thing that the court ruling may have done is limited the amount of shocks that Trump can unleash with a headline or with a comment at a press conference,' Englander said.
White House trade adviser Peter Navarro said on Thursday that the Trump administration will seek to enact tariffs through other means if it ultimately loses the court fights over its trade policy.
Investors are concerned that tariffs will slow growth and reignite inflation, though deals to drop tariff increases on China and the European Union as they negotiate trading terms has reduced pessimism over the US economic outlook.
The dollar briefly bounced on Friday after Trump said that China had violated an agreement on tariffs with the United States. It comes a day after Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said that trade talks between the US and China were 'a bit stalled.' Tariffs are also seen as a key source of revenue as Congress works on a bill to reduce some income taxes.
Meanwhile the dollar showed little reaction to data on Friday showed that US consumer spending increased marginally in April as a rush to beat higher prices from import duties slowed, while inflation eased during the month. A separate report showed that the US trade deficit in goods narrowed sharply in April as the boost from the front-running of imports ahead of tariffs faded. 'Nothing in the data was such a clear surprise relative to expectations that would generate a definitive market move,' said Englander.
May's jobs report due for release next Friday will next be closely watched for any indications that the labor market is weakening, after data on Thursday showed a bigger than expected jump in jobless claims in the latest week.
The euro was last down 0.47% at $1.1317. It is on pace for a 0.05% monthly loss, the first red month since December.
German inflation eased further in May, bringing it closer to the European Central Bank's 2% target and bolstering the case for an interest rate cut next week.
The dollar weakened 0.14% to 143.99 Japanese yen. The greenback is on track for a monthly increase of 0.7% against the Japanese currency, the best performance since December, following four consecutive months of losses.
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