Map Shows Where Tropical Storm Dalila Might Form Within 48 hours
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The fourth named storm of the Eastern Pacific hurricane season has a high chance of forming within the next 48 hours.
A forecast map from the National Hurricane Center (NHC) anticipates the storm will form south of Southern Mexico. Newsweek reached out to the NHC by email for comment.
Why It Matters
The Eastern Pacific hurricane season began on May 15 and has seen a very active start. Tropical Storm Alvin kicked off the season in late May, followed by Hurricane Barbara and Tropical Storm Cosme. All three storms formed before the average first date of June 10 for a named storm in this region.
Now, the fourth named storm, which will be called Dalila, is expected to form in the next two days.
A map from the National Hurricane Center shows where Tropical Storm Dalila could form within 48 hours, depicted in red.
A map from the National Hurricane Center shows where Tropical Storm Dalila could form within 48 hours, depicted in red.
National Hurricane Center
What to Know
The NHC has been monitoring the disturbance that could become Dalila for several days.
"Showers and thunderstorms are gradually becoming better organized in association with a broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of southern Mexico," a tropical weather outlook from the NHC said about the disturbance. "Environmental conditions appear conducive for continued development of this system, and a tropical depression is expected to form in the next day or so while it moves generally west-northwestward. Interests along the coasts of southern and southwestern Mexico should closely monitor the progress of this system."
The storm has a 90 percent chance of forming within 48 hours. There also is a 90 percent chance it will form within the next seven days.
Forecasts about the storm's anticipated path have not yet been published but will likely be issued once it forms.
AccuWeather meteorologists are anticipating 14 to 18 tropical storms and seven to 10 hurricanes for the Eastern Pacific this season. An average season produces 15 tropical storms and four hurricanes, according to AccuWeather.
Meanwhile, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is forecasting a below-normal hurricane season for the Eastern Pacific, with 12 to 18 named storms. Of those, five to 10 will likely become hurricanes, and two to five could develop into major hurricanes.
What People Are Saying
AccuWeather senior meteorologist Tom Kines previously told Newsweek: "There's no doubt three named storms so early is highly unusual. The first hurricane doesn't usually occur until last week of June."
AccuWeather Meteorologist and Digital Producer Jesse Ferrell said in a report about the early start to the season: "The basin has seen plenty of storms form early, with 44 storms, including 19 hurricanes, forming in May in the historical record."
What Happens Next
Once Dalila forms, regular updates will be issued. In addition to the storm that could become Dalila, the NHC also is monitoring a disturbance offshore of Central America that has a near 0 percent chance of forming within 48 hours and a 20 percent chance of forming in the next seven days.
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