
‘I wouldn't be able to predict', admits Minister on timeline for Ireland's sky-high rent prices to fall amid reform laws
HOUSING Minister James Browne has no idea when Ireland's sky high rent prices will start to fall – despite introducing a slew of major reforms to rental rules for tenants and landlords.
The average
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The number of new apartments to rent being built has collapsed in Ireland in recent years
Credit: Getty Images - Getty
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Minister James Browne said that the only way to bring down rent prices in Ireland was to increase supply
Credit: 2025 PA Media, All Rights Reserved
At the same time, the number of new
Today the
Currently, rent pressure zone rules mean landlords in designated areas of the country can only raise their rent by two per cent per year.
However, there are a series of problems with this system with rents regularly climbing above this two per cent cap.
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The Government claims that this cap is also a deterrent for international investment
Today,
Firstly, the two per cent rent pressure zone cap will now be extended to the entire country for people currently living in existing rental properties.
However, this cap will not apply to newly built apartments.
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Instead, landlords who own newly built apartments will be able to increase their rent every year in line with
The third change will see new six year terms introduced for renters from next year with landlords able to 'reset' their rent to market value at the end of each six year term.
CHANGE TO RULES
The final change will see 'no fault evictions' outlawed for large landlords who own more than three properties.
This means these landlords cannot boot out tenants where there has been no breach of the rental agreement.
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Minister Browne said that the only way to bring down rent prices in Ireland was to increase supply.
The
Asked directly if he believes the price of rent in Ireland will fall over the next two years on the back of his new changes, Minister Browne said: 'I expect rents to fall over time. What that particular length of time is I wouldn't be able to predict.'
The launch of the new rules caused significant confusion in the
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'SACRIFICIAL LAMB'
Ironically, Minister Browne told the media that the changes were being introduced to 'simplify' rental rules.
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Irish Daily Mirror
9 hours ago
- Irish Daily Mirror
New RPZ rules mean you'll soon be paying even more rent. That's the whole point
It's amazing how the Government can oversee a decade-long housing crisis and still pretend they want to solve it. They engineered it, created it and take active steps to ensure it keeps on going. Look at the rush to restrict rent caps, the only measure preventing total housing chaos. Yet this reckless intervention is being framed as a national rollout of protections for renters - the exact opposite of what it is. They're calling it a 'reform' of the Rent Pressure Zones, which were reluctantly brought in in 2016 and only after runaway rents had reached a peak. Limiting rents to a 2 per cent annual hike was absolutely necessary to stop the greed. But these changes to RPZs will leave it toothless, and pile more pain on renters. The express purpose is to make rents higher so the market is "attractive" to investors. The only thing investors find attractive is money. Now, tenants are trapped into higher rents on both sides - forced to pay more if they stay long-term in the same place, or, if they move to a new place. Do I stay or do I go? Either way, you'll be stiffed for the highest rent possible. Landlords will be able to 'reset' rents after six years for sitting tenants; and they can reset them too, for new tenants. Government is determined to make the market more profitable for the investors they bend over for. This is being done on the backs of renters already stuck paying extortionate average rents of €2,000 nationally and €2,500 in cities. The reform - rushed into legislation on Friday - will ensure more rent hikes, sparking ever-upwards market rates. Sinn Fein's Eoin O Broin described it as "the deathknell of rent pressure zones as we know them'. The reason it's being done is to drive rents up. Taoiseach Micheal Martin and Housing Minister James Browne have stated this. They want an Ireland of higher rents. Martin said it was about enabling a 'stable environment in which to invest'. James Browne said: "Rents may go up." May? Will. If they don't go up, the investors won't invest. Our leaders claim it will be more costly in the short term, but lead to more supply in the long term. What use is that to tenants? That's punishing renters to pander to investors. It's also an empty pledge, as such investors deliver small volumes of very expensive rental in affluent parts of Dublin and Cork - helping just the chosen few. It goes against the Housing Commission advice, which recommended RPZs stay in place while an alternative system of rent controls is formulated. The Central Bank's Robert Kelly said the changes will 'be painful for renters'. He said: 'It's likely to be positive in terms of the level of supply, as they have rent resets within them. But the pain felt by households is not even, due to the housing crisis'. Good news for the investor - bad news for the renter. The Irish Mirror's Crime Writers Michael O'Toole and Paul Healy are writing a new weekly newsletter called Crime Ireland. Click here to sign up and get it delivered to your inbox every week Mike Allen from Focus Ireland called it 'a solution that says 'we can deliver more housing, but you won't be able to afford to live in it'. That's not a solution.' I was at the Raise the Roof rally outside the Dail on Tuesday. I've been attending such protests since 2015, usually with my son Luc and his friend Filip. I've seen them grow from little boys into young men, over the time. They're now taller than Eoin O Broin, who they first met at these protests when they were six or seven. And yet it is still going on. Childhoods continue to be lost to it. This latest move makes it clear the crisis is actually profit-driven policy. At the rally, Sinn Féin leader Mary Lou McDonald said they had gathered at the rally to call out the Government's "spoof and outright lies". TD Paul Murphy correctly called it a 'manufactured crisis' that 'transfers wealth from workers to a tiny few at the top, the corporate landlords and developers'. Deputy Rory Hearne said it is 'clearly government policy to have a permanent housing crisis'. For a government to do that to its own people is, in my view, tantamount to treason.


Irish Examiner
14 hours ago
- Irish Examiner
Housing commencements fall to 10-year low for the month of May
Home building has hit another dismal low-point, with new data confirming that last month's housing commencement figures were worst seen in May for 10 years. Last month, housing commencements - the number of new residential projects that have officially begun construction - were less than half the number of May last year. With the exception of May 2020, when covid-19 shut the construction sector, the May 2025 figure is the worst since 2015, with just 1,024 homes getting underway. Department of Housing statistics show that, in the first five months of the year, just under 5,000 homes have been officially commenced in Ireland, set against an initial government target to deliver 41,000 homes. Minister for housing James Browne has said this target is now 'not realistic' and that 'we're coming off a much lower base from last year than was expected'. The latest figures come as thousands of people are set to participate in a Raise the Roof protest at the National Monument in Cork City on Saturday, with trade unions and opposition parties urging the public to turn out to highlight the impact of the housing crisis on society. A commencement is a formal notice a developer must lodge to notify that that construction or a significant alteration to a building is beginning. There is no penalty if the work is never undertaken. Although it had been seen as an indication of how many homes would be built in the short-to-medium term, doubts have been cast on the reliability of these statistics, given a flood of notices were lodged at times last year prior to the expiry of Government incentives. Nevertheless, the fall in commencements to levels not seen since before the pandemic is viewed as a negative indicator of housing supply. The Central Bank has forecast that just 32,500 new homes will be built this year. Separately, the Central Statistics Office (CSO) said on Friday that the volume of building in the residential sector fell 10.6% in the first quarter of 2025 compared to the same time last year. Sinn Féin's housing spokesperson Eoin Ó Broin said the drop in housing commencements 'isn't surprising news'. Minister for housing James Browne has said he is committed to enacting a 'step change' in the housing department and will clear 'the dead wood out of the way so that homes can get delivered'. Photo: Leah Farrell/© 'It's why the Central Bank have revised their estimates and appears the Government will miss their targets not just this year but in 2026 and 2027 as well," he said. 'There's still an ongoing delay in the approval of vital social and affordable housing projects, and I suspect this accounts for a significant proportion of the shortfall in commencements. There is far too much bureaucracy and red tape.' Minister Browne has said he is committed to enacting a 'step change' in the housing department and will clear 'the dead wood out of the way so that homes can get delivered'. A spokesperson for the Department of Housing said the dip in commencement notices in the early months of 2025 "is not unexpected given the extraordinary number lodged in the last two years in response to Government measures to accelerate supply, principally through the Development Levy Waiver and Water Connection Rebate – notices were lodged for almost 102,000 new homes in 2023 and 2024 combined". The lower number of notices lodged over the first five months of 2025 likely reflects a shift in focus in the construction sector to progressing the homes already in the pipeline, they added. "Feedback from the sector suggests significantly increased activity on sites around the country – the Department of Housing is working with local authorities to gauge the level of activity currently underway in respect of the notices received in 2023 and 2024. Our initial analysis suggests almost 90% of the associated sites have been activated so far, auguring well for the completion of many of these units in 2025 and 2026."

Irish Times
19 hours ago
- Irish Times
Delays to housing plan could push it back to September
The Government is discussing a delay to publishing its new housing plan until after the summer. The plan, which is to replace the last coalition's Housing for All approach, was due to be published during July, but it looks as though it could slip into September before it is made publicly available. Senior Government figures said the new plan could not be completed until the publication of a review of how the State is going to fund its multi-year infrastructure delivery programme, which is now expected in late July. That review – of the National Development Plan (NDP) – is expected to add many billions in allocations for roads, public transport, the electricity grid and water infrastructure, among other things. But it needs to be completed before Minister for Housing James Browne publishes the coalition's roadmap for how it will hit its housing targets. READ MORE The potential to push back publication of the housing plan until September is said to have been discussed at a meeting of the Cabinet housing subcommittee. [ No 'special exemptions' for students under latest Rent Pressure Zone system, James Browne says Opens in new window ] While some Government sources believe there is concern about pushing back its publication, others say a delay would have support around the Cabinet table. A final decision on what to do regarding the publication date will have to be made in the coming weeks. It is unlikely that the plan can be unveiled in August, when much of the political system shuts down for the summer break, many civil servants are on leave, and the Dáil is not sitting. A spokeswoman for Mr Browne would not be drawn on a specific date for publication of the report, beyond saying it would be as soon as possible after the publication of the NDP review, which in turn will cover all public capital investment to 2035 and allocate funds from the Apple tax case and AIB share sales, among other sources of capital. Mr Browne's spokeswoman said work on the plan is 'at an advanced stage'. [ The Government is finally showing some political courage in tackling the housing crisis Opens in new window ] 'The next housing plan is due to be published after the publication of the National Development Plan as a matter of priority,' she said. 'This sequencing is necessary, as the housing plan must have certainty around the investment plans and capital programmes for the Department of Housing, Local Government and Heritage before the next plan can be finalised and published.' She said Mr Browne was not waiting for publication of the new plan before pushing forward with measures, including on Rent Pressure Zones reform, planning extensions and exemptions. The previous government also encountered delays when it was seeking to bring forward Housing for All under the former minister for housing, Darragh O'Brien. That document was due to be launched in July 2021, but was ultimately pushed back to September of that year, which drew criticism from the opposition.