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Baht Weakens Amid Turmoil in Thailand's Ruling Coalition

0220 GMT — The baht weakens in morning Asian session amid turmoil in Thailand's ruling coalition government. Thai Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra faces political fallout after a leaked phone call between her and Cambodia's former leader Hun Sen related to the border dispute between the two countries, CIMB research analysts say in commentary. The knock-on effect has been that Bhumjaithai, the second-largest party in the coalition, is withdrawing from the government. This leaves the government with a slim majority and there are worries over political stability, the CIMB analysts add. USD/THB rises 0.4% to 32.79. (ronnie.harui@wsj.com)
0045 GMT — Asian currencies consolidate against the dollar as traders assess the Fed's hawkish tone and ongoing Middle East tensions. The FOMC's statement and Fed Chair Powell's remarks overnight indicate deepening worry over inflation despite signs of economic slowdown. Meanwhile, the Israel-Iran conflict has continued, with Israel's military saying it struck more than 20 military targets in and around Tehran. USD/KRW is little changed at 1,376.34; AUD/USD edges 0.1% lower to 0.6502; USD/SGD is steady at 1.2856. (ronnie.harui@wsj.com)

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Does The Market Have A Low Tolerance For GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd.'s (NYSE:GHG) Mixed Fundamentals?
Does The Market Have A Low Tolerance For GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd.'s (NYSE:GHG) Mixed Fundamentals?

Yahoo

time28 minutes ago

  • Yahoo

Does The Market Have A Low Tolerance For GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd.'s (NYSE:GHG) Mixed Fundamentals?

It is hard to get excited after looking at GreenTree Hospitality Group's (NYSE:GHG) recent performance, when its stock has declined 18% over the past three months. We, however decided to study the company's financials to determine if they have got anything to do with the price decline. Stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, and therefore we decided to pay more attention to the company's financial performance. Specifically, we decided to study GreenTree Hospitality Group's ROE in this article. Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders. This technology could replace computers: discover the 20 stocks are working to make quantum computing a reality. Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula: Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity So, based on the above formula, the ROE for GreenTree Hospitality Group is: 7.2% = CN¥107m ÷ CN¥1.5b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2024). The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every $1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of $0.07. See our latest analysis for GreenTree Hospitality Group We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes. On the face of it, GreenTree Hospitality Group's ROE is not much to talk about. Next, when compared to the average industry ROE of 19%, the company's ROE leaves us feeling even less enthusiastic. For this reason, GreenTree Hospitality Group's five year net income decline of 16% is not surprising given its lower ROE. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. Such as - low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital. That being said, we compared GreenTree Hospitality Group's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 33% in the same 5-year period. Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is GreenTree Hospitality Group fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide. In spite of a normal three-year median payout ratio of 27% (that is, a retention ratio of 73%), the fact that GreenTree Hospitality Group's earnings have shrunk is quite puzzling. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating. Moreover, GreenTree Hospitality Group has been paying dividends for six years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer consistent dividends even though earnings have been shrinking. Overall, we have mixed feelings about GreenTree Hospitality Group. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. 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We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned. Error while retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error while retrieving data Error while retrieving data Error while retrieving data Error while retrieving data

Here's what a post-Ayatollah Iran could look like if war with Israel leads to regime's fall
Here's what a post-Ayatollah Iran could look like if war with Israel leads to regime's fall

Yahoo

timean hour ago

  • Yahoo

Here's what a post-Ayatollah Iran could look like if war with Israel leads to regime's fall

As the Iranian regime reels from sustained Israeli strikes on military and nuclear infrastructure, debate is intensifying over what could come next. Experts say the end of the Islamic Republic is no longer unthinkable — but warn that what replaces it could either lift the country toward a freer future or plunge it into instability. Reza Pahlavi, the exiled crown prince of Iran and a prominent opposition figure, posted yesterday, "Sources inside Iran say that the regime's command and control structures are collapsing at a rapid pace. Meanwhile, the international community is beginning to realize that the Islamic Republic has no future. Our discussions about a post-Islamic Republic Iran have begun." "The first thing is revolution is too broad a word," said Behnam Taleblu, senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies. "The better words are evolution and devolution, meaning if you get something better or something worse. Because this is the Middle East, and fundamentally, things can get worse, not better, when you introduce an exogenous shock." Trump To Make Iran Decision 'Within The Next Two Weeks' Given 'Chance' Of Negotiations, Leavitt Says Taleblu cautioned that both the Iranian opposition and Western governments have failed to prepare for regime collapse because of a long-standing reluctance to engage with the idea of regime change. "By not being able to articulate the necessary political strategy... we are most unprepared," he said. Read On The Fox News App Beni Sabti, an Iran expert at Israel's Institute for National Security Studies, sees four scenarios emerging from the current moment — one of which, he warns, is far worse than the others. "The Iranian people are currently leaderless, low-energy, and disillusioned since the women's protests," Sveti told Fox News Digital. "One scenario is collapse from within, similar to the Soviet Union. A brigade commander inside the Revolutionary Guards, supported by a circle of loyalists, could decide to rebel from within the regime." Sabti said that after Israel eliminated many Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) generals, Iran's regular army may now be better positioned to rise. "It might even align with disillusioned elements of the revolutionary guards," he said. "Because they know the system and its bureaucracy, insiders could quietly organize something from within. There would be casualties, but it could unfold as a relatively quiet historical event." Taleblu supports the idea that a regime transition could emerge from within, but notes that Iran has spent decades "coup-proofing." "It has promoted more based on zeal than capability. So it's less likely that you could have a classic military coup d'état emerge," he said. "That doesn't mean it can't happen, but it would take a significant amount of politicking and maneuvering." Israel's 'Resounding' Military Campaign Against Iran Could Be Historic Turning Point, Experts Say The second scenario Sabti outlined is a popular uprising sparked by the release of political prisoners. "There are many political leaders in Iranian prisons," he said. "If some are freed, they could rally the public. They were once part of the regime but tried to shift course and now support relations with the U.S. It would still be a very cold peace with Israel—but not hostile." Taleblu noted that Iranian society has already undergone a significant shift over the past decade. "Large swaths of the Iranian population—80% is probably a minimum number—hate this regime," he said. "The protests since 2017, especially 'Women, Life, Freedom,' were triggered not just by politics, but by economic, social, even environmental issues." A third possibility, Sabti said, is the return of exiled leaders. "There's deep romantic nostalgia toward the monarchy," he said. "Maybe in a later phase, if infighting breaks out, people might rally around a symbolic figure—'Come back and be a symbol.' That could strengthen the revolution." Taleblu acknowledged that figures like Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi could play a role, but not as rulers. "Think of the diaspora as a bridgehead into a new Iran—not the definers of the new Iran," he said. "The people inside Iran should be the ones shaping the next Iran." The fourth — and worst — scenario, according to Sabti, is that the regime survives. "That's the worst option," he said bluntly. Everything You Need To Know About Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Supreme Leader Of Iran Taleblu agreed, warning that survival would bring an even more repressive future. "If the Islamic Republic survives, it will survive in a more radical fashion—more military, less clergy," he said. "There's debate: does it become like Turkey or Pakistan, or does it become even more messianic? The older IRGC are corrupt; the younger ones are messianic." One of the most contentious questions looming over all these scenarios is the future role of Iran's non-Persian communities, including the Ahwazi, Baloch, Azeris, and Kurds. Aref Al-Kaabi, executive president of the State of Ahwaz, told Fox News Digital in a written statement that without trust-building between these communities and the Persian opposition, change will remain elusive. "In my opinion, regime change in Iran is possible if the following conditions are met: continued Israeli strikes... support for non-Persian components... international will... and bridges of trust between Arabs, Kurds, Baloch, Azeris, and the Persian opposition," Al-Kaabi said. "If these conditions are met, I believe the regime's fall will only be a matter of days." He said that in recent days, the IRGC launched widespread arrests in Ahwaz to prevent mobilization. "Most of those arrested are Arabs from Abadan, Bushehr, Sheyban, and Shoaibiya," he said. Al-Kaabi also criticized the Persian opposition abroad. "They view us—Arabs, Kurds, Azeris, Baloch—as separatists and refuse to work with us. That stubbornness is one of the main reasons the regime is still in power." Taleblu warned against Western attempts to divide the country. "The way to unite the Iranian population is not to talk about balkanization," he said. "That would be an own goal of moral and strategic proportions."Original article source: Here's what a post-Ayatollah Iran could look like if war with Israel leads to regime's fall

Indian Regulator Cites Air India for Past Safety Lapses, Removes 3 Officials
Indian Regulator Cites Air India for Past Safety Lapses, Removes 3 Officials

Skift

time2 hours ago

  • Skift

Indian Regulator Cites Air India for Past Safety Lapses, Removes 3 Officials

While the June 12 crash is a separate issue, wider scrutiny of safety practices may bring more such checks in the coming months. Skift's coverage of the Air India crash is offered free to all readers. India's aviation regulator on Saturday ordered Air India to remove three senior employees from crew scheduling duties, citing previous violations of pilot rest and licensing rules. The action is not directly related to the June 12 crash of AI 171 crash in Ahmedabad, which brought additional scrutiny to Air India's operations. The Directorate General of Civil Aviation (DGCA) said multiple violations were discovered after Air India switched its internal crew scheduling software last year. 'Repeated and serious violations (were) voluntarily disclosed by M/s Air India concerning flight crew being scheduled and operated despite lapses in licensing, rest, and recency requirements,' the DGCA said. In aviation, "recency" refers to the requirement for pilots to have recently performed takeoffs and landings or simulator sessions to maintain valid licenses. The regulator said the findings point to systemic failures in crew scheduling and internal oversight. Who Was Held Responsible? The DGCA ordered Air India to remove three officials from operational roles and launch disciplinary action against them within 10 days. One was Vice President of the Integrated Operations Control Centre (IOCC), the central hub of an airline's day-to-day operations that brings together key departments like crew scheduling, maintenance, and network planning to ensure flights run safely and in line with regulations. In a short statement, Air India said it has followed the regulator's order. 'We acknowledge the regulator's directive and have implemented the order. In the interim, the company's Chief Operations Officer will provide direct oversight to the IOCC,' an Air India spokesperson said. No further details were shared by the airline. The DGCA order also warned that, 'Any future violation... will attract strict enforcement action, including but not limited to penalties, license suspension, or withdrawal of operator permissions.' A Show-Cause Notice In a separate but related matter, the DGCA also issued a show-cause notice to the airline. This was for Flight AI133 from Bengaluru to London on May 16 and 17. DGCA said both flights had exceeded the 10-hour limit set for crew flight time, a clear violation of existing safety rules. The DGCA said the airline must explain why action should not be taken for these violations. If Air India fails to reply within seven days, the DGCA could act on the matter without further input. In an update on Saturday, Air India said it has started releasing interim financial support to families affected by the June 12 crash of its Boeing 787-8 aircraft in Ahmedabad. The airline had announced an interim payment of INR 2.5 million (around $29,000) each to the families of the deceased and to the sole survivor, to help address immediate financial needs. This amount is separate from the INR 10 million (approximately $116,000) support already announced by Tata Sons. The airline said a centralized help desk, set up on June 15, is managing the compensation process. This single-window system is helping families by speeding up paperwork and guiding them through the claim process. 'The interim compensation began being released from 20 June 2025,' Air India said. 'Three families have received payments so far, and the remaining claims are currently being processed.' The help desk is also working with local authorities and insurance representatives to avoid delays and reduce the burden on families during this period.

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