
Truist upgrades Peloton stock, says 'the BS' has been cleaned up
Peloton is finally showing signs of sustained growth after an extended recovery, according to Truist. "Three years+ after we downgraded PTON to Hold from Buy, we believe the stock is finally nearing a point where the company's improving fundamentals should support a gradual recovery of its equity," analyst Youssef Squali wrote in a Monday note. Truist upgraded the fitness equipment stock to buy from hold, and reiterated its $11 per share price target. The firm's forecast calls for nearly 75% upside from Friday's $6.29 close. In premarket trading Monday, shares were up more than 5%. PTON YTD mountain Peloton stock in 2025. The stock was one of the pandemic-era darlings as consumers rushed to purchase Peloton bikes amid lockdown orders. It spent heavily to support the rapid growth only to have demand dry up, forcing CEO changes and layoffs as well as efforts to stave off a cash crunch . The company has producing back-to-back better-than-expected quarterly results in October 2024 and February 2025 . Peloton's fiscal second-quarter results earlier this year saw the company inch closer to profitability, and the analyst expects to see revenue growth return in fiscal 2026. "We believe the stock is finally nearing a point where the company's improving fundamentals should support a gradual recovery of its equity," Squali said. "With the BS cleaned up and [operating expenses] materially reduced to ensure sustained [free cash flow] profitability, we believe the new leadership is refocusing on revenue growth (in FY26, by our est.)." Peloton stock has slipped about 28% in 2025. Get Your Ticket to Pro LIVE Join us at the New York Stock Exchange! Uncertain markets? Gain an edge with CNBC Pro LIVE , an exclusive, inaugural event at the historic New York Stock Exchange. In today's dynamic financial landscape, access to expert insights is paramount. As a CNBC Pro subscriber, we invite you to join us for our first exclusive, in-person CNBC Pro LIVE event at the iconic NYSE on Thursday, June 12. Join interactive Pro clinics led by our Pros Carter Worth, Dan Niles and Dan Ives, with a special edition of Pro Talks with Tom Lee. You'll also get the opportunity to network with CNBC experts, talent and other Pro subscribers during an exciting cocktail hour on the legendary trading floor. Tickets are limited!
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Peloton leveraged its connectivity to great advantage several years ago, during the COVID pandemic, and has continued to use it as an important selling point that differentiates it from its competition. Peloton has built a community of 6 million members, making it one of the world's largest interactive fitness platforms, however its recent financial results weren't a particularly strong affair. In the last reported quarter, for fiscal 3Q25, the company saw a 13% year-over-year decline in sales. The revenue hit was strongest in the connected fitness segment, at 27%, but also included a 4% decline in subscription revenue. In total, Peloton's revenue came to $624 million. As noted, that was down 13% YoY – although the figure did beat the forecast by $2.67 million. The company's bottom line came to a net loss; the EPS of ($0.12) missed expectations – by 6 cents per share. The company has recognized the weaknesses and is actively working to address them. In January, Peloton launched its Personalized Plans programs and had enrolled 500,000 members by the end of its fiscal Q3 on March 31. Looking ahead to the end of fiscal year 2025, on June 30, Peloton expects to realize an adjusted EBITDA in the range of $330 million to $350 million and to bring in approximately $250 million in free cash flow. This stock has caught the attention of Truist analyst Youssef Squali, who believes that the headwinds have been priced in and that management will likely succeed in its plans to restart revenue and earnings growth. Squali says of Peloton, 'With the BS cleaned up and Opex materially cut to ensure sustainable FCF profitability, the new leadership is now squarely focused on improving the customer experience to drive revenue growth. Mgmt will guide to FY26 in early August, which is likely to be flattish, implying positive Y/Y revenue growth in 2H26, the first time since 2021. 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Disclaimer: The opinions expressed in this article are solely those of the featured analysts. The content is intended to be used for informational purposes only. It is very important to do your own analysis before making any investment. Disclaimer & DisclosureReport an Issue