
White House Says Trump To Decide On Attacking Iran 'Within Next 2 Weeks'
The White House held a high stakes presser Thursday afternoon, as President Donald Trump also again convened his top national security officials in the situation room to hear intelligence officials and make key decisions on the Israel-Iran war, just prior. Of course, the biggest question that remains is: will the US directly enter the war against Iran? White House quoting Trump: 'Based on the fact that there's a substantial chance of negotiations that may or may not take place with Iran in the near future, I will make my decision whether or not to go within the next two weeks.'
Leavitt: Trump thinks 'substantial chance' of Iran negotiations
Leavitt: Witkoff has been in touch with Iran
Leavitt: Trump always interested in diplomatic solutions
Leavitt: it's the US belief that Iran has never been closer to a nuclear weapon
Leavitt: Iran can and should make a deal or face consequences
Leavitt: Trump remains in contact with Netanyahu
Leavitt: Iran is in a weakened position and we have sent a deal
Leavitt: Iran has all that it needs to achieve a nuclear weapon, it just needs a 'decision'
Oil slides on the 'two weeks' announcement, as the can gets kicked down the road:
The most pressing issues at stake:
Netanyahu has said the US has been 'helping a lot' – without defining specifics
Last ditch diplomacy working? Reuters reports in a breaking development that Iran held direct talks with US over de-escalation and potentially restarting nuclear negotiations.
The Guardian reports that Trump only wants to strike Iran only if the US can destroy the Fordow enrichment facility.
Destruction of Fordow would at least require the 30k pound bunker buster bomb, but still may not be effective in ending Iran's enrichment capacity.
Netanyahu says that while regime change in Tehran is not the current goal, the option is on the table.
Tactical nuke on the table?
Will the Iranians close the Strait of Hormuz, choking off global oil shipping?
Reports of US bases in the region taking protective and defensive measures
Israeli intelligence official says 'imminent collapse' of Iranian government is 'far from the truth' – NBC reports
Iran is warning that a 'third party intervention' would spark an immediate military response.
Donald Trump has suggested to defense officials it would make sense for the US to launch strikes against Iran only if the so-called 'bunker buster' bomb was guaranteed to destroy the critical uranium enrichment facility at Fordow, according to people familiar with the deliberations.
Trump was told that dropping the GBU-57s, a 13.6-tonne (30,000lb) bomb would effectively eliminate Fordow but he does not appear to be fully convinced, the people said, and has held off authorizing strikes as he also awaits the possibility that the threat of US involvement would lead Iran to talks.
The effectiveness of GBU-57s has been a topic of deep contention at the Pentagon since the start of Trump's term, according to two defense officials who were briefed that perhaps only a tactical nuclear weapon could be capable of destroying Fordow because of how deeply it is buried.
Tactical nukes now?
And there's much, much more that needs to be considered. Likely full American military entry in to the war would spiral into full regime change in Iran. What comes next?
Iran as a society is much larger, and with an even more complex ethnic division than neighboring Iraq… and we all remember the pandora's box and US 'forever war' very well. Soon after Saddam's toppling came the rise of ISIS and hellish decade-plus long Syrian proxy war. Have the politicians already forgotten? (or more likely they don't care…) Adding to the chaos would be the IRGC likely closing the vital Strait of Hormuz – which would send oil prices skyrocketing.
By the day's end we are likely to find out whether Trump will stick by being negotiator in chief… or war hawk in chief… will he listen to the likes of Tulsi Gabbard and Tucker Carlson, or to Lindsey Graham and Mark Levin? Meanwhile…
CNN put together a clip of Tulsi Gabbard testifying recently that "Iran is not building a nuclear weapon" followed by Trump saying "I don't care what she said" pic.twitter.com/28CxeosC51 — Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) June 18, 2025
As Israel's war with Iran nears the end of its first week, each side continued to inflict destruction from above in Thursday's opening hours. In a development certain to be exploited by proponents of US intervention, the largest hospital in southern Israel reportedly received 'extensive' damage after suffering a hit from an Iranian ballistic missile. Meanwhile, defying warnings of radiation dangers from the International Atomic Energy Agency, the Israeli Air Force bombed Iran's Arak heavy water reactor, even though Iran modified it pursuant to the 2015 nuclear deal to make it incapable of producing weapons-grade plutonium.
In its initial retaliatory strikes on Israel, Iran had largely confined its missile barrages to the night. However, after the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) observed significant success in evading Israel's highly-hyped Iron Dome, Iranian barrages are now increasingly coming in broad daylight, as they did on Thursday morning in a 30-missile strike that caused dozens of injuries, six of them severe:
One of Iran's missiles struck Soroka Hospital in the southern city of Beersheba, with health officials saying the explosion caused extensive damage along with injuries. Iran said the missile was aimed at a nearby Israeli military intelligence facility; the Times said the nearest military facility it knows of is over two kilometers away. Verified by the Times , this video captures the sound of the thunderous explosion blast and the huge mushroom cloud that rose up from the impact at the hospital:
Israeli President Isaac Herzog emphasized that the hospital has a staff of 'Jews and Arabs work[ing] side by side…caring for Israelis of all faiths and our neighbors the Palestinians.' Thanks in large part to a Wednesday evacuation of the floor that was struck, no fatalities have been reported at the hospital, and only minor injuries. Israeli officials quickly condemned the attack. 'The missile fired toward Soroka Medical Center is an act of terror and crosses a red line,' Health Minister Uriel Buso told Times of Israel . Israeli critics will be quick to point out Israel's enormously destructive campaign in Gaza has damaged or destroyed 94% of the hospitals in the territory.
The Iranian barrage also caused major damage in the major city of Ramat Gan, an important business and educational hub just 5 kilometers east of Tel Aviv. With many modern skyscrapers, Ramat Gan has been nicknamed 'the Manhattan of Israel.' Some of those shiny skyscrapers were shattered on Thursday morning, as two people were seriously injured:
On the other side of the war map, Israeli bombs and missiles rained down on Iran, with the Israeli military announcing 40 fighter jets hit dozens of facilities, including the Arak heavy water reactor, and a facility in Natanz that Israel claims Iran is using to develop a nuclear weapon. In March, the US intelligence community said it continues to conclude that, true to its decades of assurances, Iran is not pursuing a nuclear weapon.
Ironically, Israel's attack on Arak helps draw attention to the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) nuclear deal that Trump withdrew the United States from in 2018, sowing the seeds of the war that's raging today. In compliance with that deal, Iran filled the heavy water reactor core with cement so it would be incapable of producing weapons-grade plutonium. Other JCPOA modifications were also in progress at the Arak facility. In announcing its Thursday strike, the IDF even referred to it as the 'inactive nuclear reactor in Arak' — which only helps underscore the fact that the original nuclear deal was fully achieving its purpose, and it was only discarded in deference to Israel and its Western collaborators looking for a false pretense for war, one that's astonishingly similar to the one used for the disastrous invasion of Iraq.
Earlier in the day, Israel had warned Iranians to evacuate from the vicinity of the reactor, using social media posts that featured satellite imagery of the facility in a red circle. However, Israel's warning came after reports that Iranians were enduring a near-total loss of internet access more than 12 hours at the last report. The outage was reportedly the work of the Iranian government; the New York Times said the move was likely motivated in part by fear of Israeli cyberattacks. Earlier this week, Israel's US ambassador cryptically promised 'some surprises on Thursday night and Friday that will make [Israel's explosive-beeper] operation [in Lebanon] almost seem simple.'
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Gulf Insider
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Iran would first have to take uranium it's already enriched to 60% and enrich it to 90%. That's probably the easiest part. Next, they'd have to construct a nuclear explosive device, and miniaturize it so it can fit inside a missile warhead. As an alternative, US intel analysts speculate that Iran could build a crude, 10,000-pound Hiroshima-style bomb that would have to be dropped by plane — which wouldn't be a particularly credible deterrent. The analysts say that, contrary to Israeli claims, it would take between several months and a year to have a missile-ready warhead after a hypothetical decision to pursue one. Of course, it's always worth noting that Netanyahu has been warning of an imminent Iranian nuclear bomb since 1992 — when he said they would have one by 1997 at the latest. 🤯 WOW:2,780 year old israelite tablet finally translated to reveal its message:'Persia is only weeks away from developing a nuclear weapon' — Not Sure Gnosis 🦈 (@ViceLitty) June 18, 2025 The US assessment that Iran has not decided to pursue a nuclear weapon comes three months after the same conclusion was shared with Congress by Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard, which in turn came 18 years after the intelligence community first made that assessment. When confronted with Gabbard's testimony in the wake of Israel's bombing-and-mass-assassination attack on Iran, Trump told a reporter, 'I don't care what she said. They were very close to getting a nuke.' Vice President JD Vance offered his own flimsy deflection in a social media post, writing 'Tulsi's testimony was in March, and a lot has changed since then.' Thursday's remarks from senior intel officials severely undercut Trump's and Vance's characterizations. Unlike nuclear-weapon-state Israel, Iran is a signatory to the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) and has long insisted that its nuclear program is peaceful. In 2015, Iran signed the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), by which it agreed to physical modifications, additional monitoring and other provisions that would assure outsiders that the country would be incapable of enriching uranium to a weapons-grade level. Though Iran was in full compliance, President Trump withdrew the United States from the JCPOA in 2018 and reimposed harsh economic sanctions on the country — having promised to do so in a 2016 presidential campaign fueled by $45 million from Israel-focused billionaires Sheldon and Miriam Adelson. His JCPOA withdrawal came just a month after Trump appointed archetypal Iran hawk and neocon John Bolton as National Security Advisor. After several days of the feeling that US engagement in Israel's war could be imminent, Trump's setting of a two-week timeframe for making that enormously consequential decision partially reflects his wariness that Iran could turn into a failed state if the Ayatollah's regime is toppled, according to administration officials who talked to the New York Post . One of the insiders said '[He] doesn't want it to turn into Libya…There are two reasons Trump talks about Libya: the first is the chaos after what we did to Gaddafi. The second is the Libya intervention made it more difficult to negotiate deals with countries like North Korea and Iran.' Seeking to appease the West, Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi famously surrendered his nuclear development program in 2003, only to be the victim of a US-NATO regime-change campaign in 2011 that culminated in his being anally raped with a bayonet and then savagely beaten to death. That dark chapter looms as a stark cautionary tale for rulers all around the world facing American demands. Meanwhile, Libyans continue to suffer from the result of that Barack Obama-Hillary Clinton toppling of Gaddafi, which led to utter chaos, blacks being sold in open-air slave markets and illegal immigrants pouring into Europe as they flee the Western-cultivated Hell-scape. Insiders say Trump has also raised the specter of the disastrous outcomes of US interventions in Afghanistan and Iraq. Trump's confrontation with the ghosts of failed interventions — past, present and future — comes as Tucker Carlson, other major conservative figures and legions of MAGA social-media users are urging him not to get America involved in another foreign policy disaster. Is the growing right-wing uproar having an effect?