logo
Iran adapts to maintain oil exports during conflict, trackers say

Iran adapts to maintain oil exports during conflict, trackers say

Zawya19 hours ago

Iran is maintaining crude oil supply by loading tankers one at a time and moving floating oil storage much closer to China, two vessel tracking firms told Reuters, as the country seeks to keep a key source of revenue while under attack from Israel.
The conflict between Iran and Israel which broke out last week poses a fresh hurdle for Iran, which uses a shadow fleet of tankers to conceal their origin and skirt U.S. sanctions reinstated in 2018 over its nuclear programme.
Crude exports from Iran, OPEC's third-largest producer, mainly head to China. Loadings have so far been largely unaffected by the conflict with Israel, the trackers said.
Iran has loaded 2.2 million barrels per day of crude oil so far this week, marking a five-week high, the latest data from analytics firm Kpler showed.
Energy infrastructure in both countries has been targeted in missile exchanges between the two countries, including the Haifa oil refinery in Israel and Iran's South Pars gas field, though Iran's major crude exporting facility at Kharg island has so far been spared.
All of the loadings from Kharg Island this week took place from the site's eastern jetty, said Homayoun Falakshai, head of crude oil analysis at tracking firm Kpler.
Kharg Island is situated deep inside the Persian Gulf, some 30 km off the Middle Eastern nation's south west coast.
"NIOC may believe it is less risky than the other main jetty located on the western side, in open waters," Falakshai said, referring to Iran's state oil firm National Iranian Oil Co.
Large oil tankers are now approaching Kharg Island one at a time, leaving the second jetty on the western side of the island unused for several days, with 15-16 more Iranian tankers scattered across the wider Persian Gulf area.
Iranian oil exports have been steady so far this year at around 1.7 million bpd, the International Energy Agency said on Tuesday, despite U.S. sanctions on Chinese customers since March.
Iran has moved part of its 40 million barrel floating storage fleet, which sits on 36 different vessels, much closer to China to minimise the impact of any disrupions on buyers, ship tracking firm Vortexa told Reuters.
Around ten tankers, carrying approximately 8 million barrels of Iranian crude, are now stationed directly offshore China, Vortexa said, moving from the Singapore area where a further 20 million barrels are located.
The remaining 12 or so million barrels were in the Persian Gulf at the start of the month, Vortexa added, but their current location was not clear.
Having floating storage allows tankers to load crude oil without an immediate fixed destination to head to.
"Iran has been moving these barrels eastwards even without firm orders to strategically place the barrels closer to the end buyers in a time of heightened geopolitical risk," Vortexa's senior China market analyst Emma Li said
Moving barrels closer to China would offset the impact of up to two weeks of disrupted Iranian loadings, Vortexa added.
(Reporting by Robert Harvey, editing by Alex Lawler, Dmitry Zhdannikov and Elaine Hardcastle)

Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Israel-Iran conflict: Etihad, Emirates and flydubai flights delayed, cancelled or rerouted
Israel-Iran conflict: Etihad, Emirates and flydubai flights delayed, cancelled or rerouted

The National

timean hour ago

  • The National

Israel-Iran conflict: Etihad, Emirates and flydubai flights delayed, cancelled or rerouted

UAE airlines continue to suspend and reroute flights as attacks between Israel and Iran intensify. Ben Gurion Airport in Tel Aviv is shut until further notice, Iran has declared its airspace closed and Iraq has suspended civilian operations at all its airports. Etihad Airways The UAE's national carrier has cancelled services to and from Tel Aviv until and including June 30, as Israel places its air defence systems on high alert. The airline's flights to Amman in Jordan have also been suspended for June 20. These flights between Abu Dhabi and Beirut have a revised schedule for June 21: EY581: Departs Abu Dhabi (AUH) at 10:00, arrives Beirut (BEY) at 13:10 EY582: Departs Beirut (BEY) at 14:05, arrives Abu Dhabi (AUH) at 19:00 EY583: Departs Abu Dhabi (AUH) at 14:00, arrives Beirut (BEY) at 17:05 EY584: Departs Beirut (BEY) at 18:00, arrives Abu Dhabi (AUH) at 22:55 'Etihad continues to experience disruption to several services due to airspace closures and the ongoing regional situation,' an Etihad representative told The National in a statement. The Abu Dhabi airline is helping disrupted passengers with alternative travel arrangements. Emirates All Emirates flights to Amman in Jordan and Beirut in Lebanon have been suspended until and including June 22. Further, all Emirates flights to Tehran in Iran and Baghdad and Basra in Iraq have been suspended until and including June 30. Customers connecting through Dubai with final destinations in Iraq, Iran, Jordan, Lebanon, as well as customers with onward flydubai connections will not be accepted for travel at their point of origin until further notice, Emirates said. The airline also urged customers departing from or arriving at Dubai International Airport to check their flight status on for the latest information. Flydubai Flydubai has cancelled all flights to and from Iran, Iraq, Israel and Syria until June 30. Passengers connecting through Dubai with final destinations in any of those countries or airports will not be accepted for travel at their point of origin until further notice. Wizz Air Wizz Air Abu Dhabi has suspended all flights to and from Ben Gurion Airport until further notice. While operations between Abu Dhabi and Amman are scheduled to resume on June 20, the airline said flights from Europe to Queen Alia International Airport in Amman will remain suspended until September 15. The carrier said it will offer free rebooking, or a full refund in Wizz credits or in the original form of payment, to customers affected by cancellations. Air Arabia Sharjah's Air Arabia has suspended all flights to and from Jordan until June 20, and to and from Iran, Iraq, Russia, Armenia, Georgia and Azerbaijan until June 30. Passengers connecting through Sharjah or Abu Dhabi with final destinations in any of the above flights will not be accepted for travel at their point of origin until further notice, the airline said. Regional flights Qatar Airways The airline has temporarily halted flights to Iran and Iraq as well as to Syria's Damascus International Airport (DAM), without announcing a resumption date yet. The affected airports in Iran include: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKIA) Mashhad International Airport (MHD) Shiraz International Airport (SYZ) The affected airports in Iraq include: Baghdad International Airport (BGW) Erbil International Airport (EBL) Basra International Airport (BSR) Sulaymaniyah International Airport (ISU) Najaf International Airport (NJF) Oman Air The Oman Air website lists all flights to and from Amman as cancelled until June 24. Kuwait Airways Kuwait Airways has announced a temporary suspension of flights to and from Amman, Beirut and Dubai until June 30. Gulf Air The Bahrain national carrier's website states flights to and from Amman, as well as Baghdad and Najaf in Iraq stand cancelled until June 27. Syrian Airlines Syrian Airlines announced on Thursday that it has diverted flights scheduled from Damascus International Airport on June 20 to Aleppo International Airport due to the continued closure of airspace and air corridors leading to the airport in Damascus. The airline stated that the following flights will operate from Aleppo International Airport, starting Friday: Aleppo – Abu Dhabi – Aleppo Aleppo – Dubai – Aleppo Aleppo – Riyadh – Aleppo Aleppo – Sharjah – Aleppo Aleppo – Istanbul – Aleppo The airline also announced it will begin providing regular ground transportation between the Damascus and Aleppo airports, coinciding with the arrival of Sharjah and Kuwait flights to the latter. International airlines In North America US carrier Delta Air Lines said travel to, from or through Tel Aviv 'might be impacted' until August 31. United Airlines has suspended flights to Dubai until June 25 and to Tel Aviv until August 1. American Airlines has temporarily suspended flights between Philadelphia International Airport and Doha, Qatar, until June 22. Air Canada has cancelled all flights to Tel Aviv until September 8. It has also suspended its daily, non-stop service between Toronto and Dubai until June 21. In Europe Air France has suspended services to and from Tel Aviv until further notice, while Dutch carrier KLM has cancelled them until at least July 1. Irish low-cost carrier Ryanair – which cancelled flights to Tel Aviv in May – has extended the suspension until August 31 and cancelled flights to Amman until July 11. Greece's Aegean Airlines has cancelled all flights to and from Tel Aviv until July 12. Latvia's airBaltic announced all flights to and from the Israeli city are cancelled until June 23. EL AL Israel Airlines said it has suspended commercial flights to and from Israel. Swiss Air Lines has halted all flights to Tel Aviv through October 25 and to Beirut until July 31. Austrian Airlines and Brussels Airlines have both cancelled flights to Tel Aviv until July 31. Russia's Aeroflot has cancelled flights between Moscow and Tehran. Lufthansa suspended Tel Aviv and Tehran services until and including July 31; flights to Jordan until and including July 11; and to Beirut until and including June 30. Romanian flag carrier Tarom has suspended all commercial flights to and from Tel Aviv, Beirut and Amman.

Oil prices drop but on track to post a weekly gain fuelled by Israel-Iran air strikes
Oil prices drop but on track to post a weekly gain fuelled by Israel-Iran air strikes

The National

timean hour ago

  • The National

Oil prices drop but on track to post a weekly gain fuelled by Israel-Iran air strikes

Oil prices fell on Friday but are on track to post a third consecutive weekly gain as air strikes between Israel and Opec member Iran stoked supply concerns in global markets. Brent, the benchmark for two thirds of the world's oil, was down 2.66 per cent at $76.75 a barrel at 10.33am UAE time. West Texas Intermediate, the gauge that tracks US crude, was trading 0.19 per cent lower at $75 a barrel. 'Oil prices have been the primary market expression of the dynamics of the current Israel-Iran war,' Edward Bell, acting group head of research and chief economist at Emirates NBD, said. 'Oil assets, whether production sites or export infrastructure or ships, have not been directly targeted in the exchange of fire between the two countries, but markets are nevertheless pricing in security of supply concerns.' Prices have been trading higher since the conflict broke out between Iran and Israel on June 13. Brent and WTI surged as much as 13 per cent in the first few hours of trading after the conflict began due to supply-related concerns. They settled around 8 per cent higher on the first day. Iran is the third-biggest producer of oil among the Opec group, with a total production of 3.3 million barrels per day. Concerns have also grown that the Strait of Hormuz, a key sea passage in the Arabian Gulf that helps oil tankers transport about 20 million barrels of oil and refined products every day, would be shut by Iran. US President Donald Trump said he will decide 'in the next two weeks' whether his country will join Israel's war on Iran, White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt said on Thursday. If the US joins the conflict, it is expected to further stoke tensions in the region and affect oil markets. 'Oil markets are accustomed to geopolitical risk and there is slack available in the market to absorb at least some of the anxiety over supply security,' Mr Bell said. He added that spare capacity within Opec+ is estimated at around 5 million barrels per day, 'though with the caveat that much of that capacity is reliant on access to the Strait of Hormuz to make it out to seaborne markets'. Spare capacity is the volume of production that can be brought on within 30 days and sustained for at least three months. Mr Bell also added there had been no material interruption to shipping in the Gulf region and oil continued to be exported from key market, including the UAE. "We're starting to hear impressive forecasts – as is always the case in escalation markets, with some pointing to a potential jump in crude prices to the $130–$150 per barrel range if Iran were to block oil and gas flows through the Strait of Hormuz, where 20 per cent of global supply transits," said Ipek Ozkardeskaya, a senior analyst at Swissquote Bank. Citigroup analysts expect oil to spike to about $90 per barrel if the Strait of Hormuz is closed. However, a prolonged halt to shipping through the crucial waterway would be unlikely, Bloomberg reported, citing Citigroup analysts Anthony Yuen and Eric Lee.

Will Trump abandon 'America First' to join Israel's war on Iran?
Will Trump abandon 'America First' to join Israel's war on Iran?

Middle East Eye

time2 hours ago

  • Middle East Eye

Will Trump abandon 'America First' to join Israel's war on Iran?

Two leaders obsessed by their political legacies, and one also by his own cult of personality, are escalating the already highly tense situation in the Middle East to dangerous new peaks. Israel's unprovoked attack on Iran this month marks the riskiest chapter yet of a dream that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has been chasing for four decades: regime change in Tehran. Israel seems determined to modify in its favour, once and for all, the overall strategic balance of the Middle East. Its ongoing quest to destroy Hamas and ethnically cleanse Gaza must be framed in this context, alongside the decapitation of Hezbollah's political and military leadership in Lebanon. To a certain extent, the collapse of the Assad regime in Syria fits into the same strategy, even if the final chapter of the Syrian ordeal has not been written yet - and it may not necessarily be positive for Israel. Now Netanyahu has decided to attack Iran - not with a ground invasion, which would be militarily impossible, but through precision air strikes to eliminate the nation's military leadership and the capabilities that Israel deems most dangerous to its own existence, including nuclear and ballistic-missile sites. New MEE newsletter: Jerusalem Dispatch Sign up to get the latest insights and analysis on Israel-Palestine, alongside Turkey Unpacked and other MEE newsletters Israel's attacks have so far killed more than 600 people in Iran, including more than 250 civilians, according to a US-based human rights group. Tel Aviv's primary stated purpose is to permanently prevent Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon that could be deployed against Israel. Its secondary goal is to create a legitimacy crisis and stir internal dissent within Iran, aiming to bring about the collapse of the Islamic Republic. Its ideal outcome would be the installation of a pro-western regime that would bring Iran, together with Saudi Arabia, into the fold of the Abraham Accords for a period of 'peace and development' according to terms and conditions conceived, imposed and enforced by American and Israeli hegemony. Perception of vulnerability In this context, the future for Palestinians is deeply uncertain. At best, they could continue to be caged in their enclaves in the occupied West Bank and Gaza, constantly harassed (if not killed) by Israeli settlers and soldiers. At worst, they could be forcibly transferred elsewhere. In line with his cult of personality, US President Donald Trump appears tempted to join this master plan, detecting that this time, it could succeed. With its regional allies severely degraded, Iran is perceived in both Washington and Tel Aviv as more vulnerable than ever before. Whether this perception is right or wrong is another matter. Should Netanyahu's dream become reality, Trump wants to be a part of it, and to take a large share of the credit for upending the Middle East's political landscape. Netanyahu, meanwhile, would cement his role in power, skip the Israeli justice system, and potentially go down in history as the man who eliminated the key threats Israel has faced since its creation in 1948. Trump has a problem: his Maga constituency, to whom he promised 'America First' and no more endless wars In previous weeks, the Trump administration had attempted to move ahead with the so-called Libya option, which would entail Iran's voluntary relinquishment of its nuclear enrichment programme through a mediated deal. Of course, the Libya precedent must sound terrible to the Iranian leadership, having watched the fate that western nations ultimately meted out to Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi. The US initially hinted that Iran could keep its nuclear enrichment programme under strict international monitoring, provided that it dispose of its accumulated stockpile of uranium enriched to 60 percent purity. Then, as often happens, the White House backtracked and demanded zero enrichment, bending once again to the whims of Netanyahu. At the time of writing, the international community was still waiting for Trump's decision on whether to directly join the war on Iran. This is a crucial decision, because in order to credibly dismantle the Iranian nuclear programme and its alleged military dimensions, it will be necessary to destroy the Fordow facility, buried under a mountain. Only the US owns the 'bunker buster' bombs that could do the job, and the planes to deliver such a high payload on target. Massive deja vu But Trump has a problem: his Maga constituency, to whom he promised 'America First' and no more endless wars. Former Trump strategist Steve Bannon has issued a stern warning about joining the war against Iran - and to get a sense of how much the winds are shifting among the Maga base, just watch conservative commentator Tucker Carlson's excoriating interview with Senator Ted Cruz, one of the more ardent Israel supporters in Congress. The saddest element of all this, however, is the massive sense of deja vu arising from this latest chapter of US involvement in the Middle East. All the issues related to Iran's nuclear programme are purely speculative. This past March, Tulsi Gabbard, the US director of national intelligence, told Congress that the intelligence community 'continues to assess that Iran is not building a nuclear weapon and Supreme Leader [Ali] Khamenei has not authorised the nuclear weapons programme he suspended in 2003'. In other words, no imminent threat, contrary to Israel's assertions. Why Netanyahu is frantically trying to pull the US into Israel's war on Iran Read More » In 2003, the Bush administration claimed to have intelligence showing evidence of weapons of mass destruction to justify its invasion of Iraq. Within months, these claims were shown to be false. This time around, US intelligence agencies have reached the conclusion that Iran is not building a nuclear weapon - but apparently ignoring this assessment, the president might be sleepwalking into another war of choice that, in Bannon's own words, could 'tear the country apart'. Trump's support for Israel's latest wave of aggression suggests that the real issue is not Iran's nuclear programme, but Iran itself in the current political configuration. US military assets are being moved into position ahead of a possible attack, although no final decision has been taken. In such cases, it would not be surprising to see a false flag operation, quickly attributed to Iran through clever spinning by complacent media, in order to push inexperienced, ignorant and impulsive leaders to take the 'right' decision. Trump, unfortunately, perfectly fits this description. The views expressed in this article belong to the author and do not necessarily reflect the editorial policy of Middle East Eye.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store