Astros vs. A's prediction: MLB player props, picks, best bets
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Luis Severino has made it known that he's not a big fan of playing in Sacramento.
The ex-Yankee and ex-Met vocalized his frustrations with Sutter Health Park earlier this year, acknowledging its 'tough' to pitch in his new home.
His numbers thus far in California's capital bear that sentiment.
Severino has a whopping 7.10 ERA at Sutter Health Park this season, which is the fifth-highest in baseball among starters with at least seven outings at their home park.
He has allowed six homers and 19 doubles across nine outings at Sutter Health, which are puzzling numbers considering what he's done on the road.
Away from Sacramento, Severino has a 0.93 ERA in six starts while not allowing a single home run, suggesting that there really is something bothering him at his home ballpark.
Severino has a shot to get right against the Astros on Wednesday, but the ballpark once again won't be doing him any favors.
Luis Severino delivers a pitch during the second inning of the A's 6-4 win over the Royals on June 13, 2025.
AP
Weather forecasts call for toasty near-100-degree weather in Sacramento, meaning the ball will likely be flying out of what has been the most hitter-friendly park in the league this season.
The A's have let Severino pitch deep into games at Sutter Health despite his lack of success, going at least five innings at home in all but one start, so we want to avoid taking the under on his strikeout or out player props.
Learn all you need to know about MLB Betting
Instead, I'm targeting the over on his earned runs line.
Severino has given up at least three runs in seven of his nine outings at home, and it'll be tough to avoid hitting that number once again on Wednesday.
The play: Luis Severino Over 3 Earned Runs
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Dylan Svoboda is a versatile writer and analyst across many sports. He's particularly knowledgeable about the big three — MLB, the NFL and the NBA.
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