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Japan vows to achieve wage-driven growth in draft policy blueprint

Japan vows to achieve wage-driven growth in draft policy blueprint

The Mainichi06-06-2025

TOKYO (Kyodo) -- The Japanese government has pledged to pursue economic growth driven by sustainable wage hikes, aiming to nearly double gross domestic product by around 2040, according to a draft policy blueprint unveiled Friday.
Facing uncertainty from higher U.S. tariffs and prolonged inflation weighing on household spending, Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba's government vowed in its draft economic and fiscal policy plan to achieve wage increases that outpace rising prices.
The blueprint, whose draft was presented to the Council on Economic and Fiscal Policy on Friday, is set to be finalized next week. Once adopted, it will serve as the basis for the government's budget and tax reform proposals for the next fiscal year.
Amid mounting concern about Japan's fiscal health, the worst among advanced economies, the Ishiba administration will continue striving to maintain market confidence, the draft said, with interest rates on longer-term government bonds on an upward trend.
But the timeline for attaining a surplus in the primary balance -- annual tax and nontax revenues minus spending other than debt-servicing costs -- was pushed back from fiscal 2025 to sometime between that year and fiscal 2026 through March 2027.
On the U.S. tariffs under President Donald Trump, the draft said the levies pose downside risks to Japan's export-reliant economy, as they could eventually dampen corporate and consumer sentiment, dragging down consumption and investment.
While negotiations are ongoing to urge the United States to review its trade policies, the Japanese government will implement measures to mitigate the negative impact on the broader economy, including support for corporate financing, the draft said.
As the country's working-age population is shrinking, the government promised to secure economic growth of about 3 percent, which would lead to GDP of 1,000 trillion yen ($7 trillion) by around 2040, up from its current level of 600 trillion yen.
To steadily deliver annual inflation-adjusted wage expansion of around 1 percent across Japan, the government said it will shore up small and mid-sized companies by helping them pass rising costs on to clients and strengthen their business foundations.

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