
Greece vs Scotland prediction: Vangelis Pavlidis to feature in narrow win for the hosts
Greece vs Scotland betting tips
Greece to win, both teams to score – 15/4 William Hill
Vangelis Pavlidis to score anytime – 2/1 Bet365
Scotland travel to Athens to take on Greece in the first leg of their Nations League play-off on Thursday night, with Steve Clarke's side looking to stay in the top tier of the competition.
A late Andy Robertson winner against Poland in November has given Scotland a second chance at avoiding relegation from the Nations League A tier, with Greece looking to take their place ahead of this two-leg shootout.
Greece lost just one match as they finished runners-up to England on goal difference alone in their B-tier group, while the Scots finished third despite encouraging performances against Croatia and Portugal.
After Thursday's first leg, there will be a quick turnaround for the second leg at Hampden Park on Sunday (23 March).
And the Greeks are the early favourites for the tie, with football betting sites pricing them at 1/1 to grab the win on Thursday compared to odds of 29/10 for the Scots.
Greece vs Scotland Betting: Hosts should earn narrow first-leg lead
Greece come into the match as fairly heavy favourites according to betting sites, with the odds reflecting their positive performances in their B group, which included a win over England at Wembley.
Ivan Jovanovic's side beat both Finland and Ireland home and away across that campaign too, showcasing plenty of ability against sides that are similar in stature to the Scots.
However, Scotland punched well above their weight in their League A campaign, with narrow losses to Portugal and Croatia showing that Steve Clarke's side have the ability to hurt top teams when everything clicks.
The question, then, is whether it will click in Athens. Greece last lost at home to the Netherlands in October 2023, and the quality throughout the squad suggests they'll have enough to overcome a resolute Scotland side.
Nevertheless, it is worth noting that Scotland only failed to score once in their league campaign, despite the quality of opposition.
To that end, a wager on Greece to win but both teams to score could offer value at 15/4 with William Hill.
Greece vs Scotland prediction 1: Greece to win, both teams to score – 15/4 William Hill
Greece vs Scotland Tips: Pavlidis to lead hosts to victory
Benfica striker Vangelis Pavlidis is the in-form man for Greece, having scored 20 goals and grabbed nine assists so far this season at club level – including a remarkable Champions League hat-trick against Barcelona in January.
While he has not been able to replicate that same form at international level, his brace in the 2-1 win over England in October once again showed that he has the ability to hurt top sides.
And Pavlidis will once again carry the main goal threat for Greece this time out, with likely support from winger Christos Tzolis and attacking midfielder Anastasios Bakasetas.
With that in mind, a bet on Pavlidis to score anytime could present good value at 2/1.
Greece vs Scotland prediction 2: Vangelis Pavlidis to score anytime – 2/1 Bet365
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an hour ago
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The Old Firm have both been put out in early rounds in the past. You can train as much as you want and have friendlies - but you can't replicate that intensity of competitive football. It's going to be really difficult." New head coach Russell Martin has yet to dip his hand in European management. His possession-based, attack-minded approach could well set the heather alight in Scotland, although in the Premier League with Southampton, it failed to bear fruit. Ange Postecoglou was criticised for his refusal to switch it up on the European scene while at Celtic and Martin might face similar reproval should he remain stubborn on the continent. Regardless, his systematic style will be beneficial for his squad, according to Naismith. "It definitely makes things easier as a player when the manager has a clear, definite way of playing. "Players want simplicity in terms of their role. The style can be complex but as long as the player can understand it simply, it makes it easier. 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He's not the tallest but very comfortable on the ball, quick and dynamic both going forward and defensively. "Probably the biggest thing I remember about Max is his attitude with sport. As a young player he was so deceptive to learn and get better and be better. That's why he got into a good Norwich team in the Championship and into the Premier League and eventually Barca come and ask him for you. That tells you a lot about him. "His career has maybe stumbled recently but he's definitely somebody with a high potential. He's got good experience and he's played at a really good level against some top players. I think he'd be a good signing. I think he's somebody who would raise the quality of the squad. If we go back to the previous remit, he's probably been signing young players and developing them. I think he's somebody who comes in and challenges right away." While getting his squad in a sufficient enough state to contest crucial European qualifiers is first up on Martin's Rangers agenda, Naismith thinks getting the club back to the top of the pile in Scotland must be his overarching target. In years gone by, the Govan side's ability to stumble against Scottish Premiership cannon-fodder yet pull off shock results against European teams of a considerable pedigree has been impressive. "I think success domestically has to be the first aim," admits Naismith. "It's not as clear cut as saying it's one over the other - because Rangers can have both. "But what won't be accepted is what's happened in previous years where it's been: 'Oh we've done well in Europe but we're 10 or 15 points behind in the league'. That just won't wash. That's what has to change. Rangers have to beat the other teams in the league. If you look at the points they dropped against teams from the mid-to-low end of the table, it was unacceptable. That's how the gap goes from being four points - where there is still pressure on the team at the top - to that big a gap where it becomes easy and the team at the top can cruise."